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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#929
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Shipping Containers
$2.0B
Andres A. Lopez
O-I Glass, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass containers to food and beverage manufacturers. The company produces glass containers for alcoholic beverages, including beer, flavored malt beverages, spirits, and wine. It is also involved in the production of glass packaging for various food items, soft drinks, tea, juices, and pharmaceuticals.
Headcount
24.0K
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = OI ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$OI O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ | 58 | 52 | 77 | 63 | 13.5x | 90.1x | -3.5% | -0.5% | 16.6% | 0.4% | -0.8% | -4.4% | 0.0% | 540.0x | $2.0B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ (OI) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 57.7/100. It ranks #929 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Perrysburg, Ohio
Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for OI.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 52 | 48 | +4NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 63 | 65 | -2NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 77 | 81 | -4NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 46 | 86 | -40DRAG |
| STABILITY | 74 | 76 | -2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 18 | 3 | +15ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -0.8% vs WACC 6.7% (spread -7.5%)
GM 17% vs sector 44%, OM 0% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 1.41x, R&D intensity 0.7%
Rev growth -4%, 10yr history
Interest coverage -0.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ (OI) as a Hold with a composite score of 57.7/100 at a current price of $14.86. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 57.7/100 places it at rank #929 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at -4% and momentum in the 63th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
High
Poor
Undervalued
Value factor score of 77 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 540% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ a Hold rating, with a composite score of 57.7/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #929 of 7,333 stocks, OI presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 52/100, OI shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -3.5% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 16.6% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of -0.8% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
OI carries a solid value score of 77/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 13.50x, an EV/EBITDA of 90.13x, a P/B ratio of 1.62x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
With an investment score of 46/100, OI exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -4.4% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of -0.5% (sector: 0.9%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
OI demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 63/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at -4.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.00 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
OI shows good financial stability with a score of 74/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.00 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 540.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/'s short interest score of 18/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 540.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $2.0B (small-cap), OI carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ is a small-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #929 of 7,333 overall (87th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -3.5% trailing the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 0.4% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While OI currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (77) vs Short Int. (18) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 686% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 82% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 62% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
O-I Glass (OI) is back in focus after reporting fourth quarter and full year 2025 results that included lower sales, a higher net loss, and an update on its completed share repurchase program. See our latest analysis for O-I Glass. Those results and the completion of the buyback tranche come after a strong 90 day share price return of 21.68% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 36.23%. This suggests recent momentum has been building despite the longer term 3 year total shareholder return...
O-I Glass reported strong Q3 earnings, beating analyst estimates with flat net sales and a significant improvement in net income. The company raised its full-year earnings guidance, driving a 14% stock price surge.
O-I Glass (OI) to invest in the electrification and decarbonization of its plant in Veauche.
Analysts have given O-I Glass, Inc. (NYSE:OI) a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating, with an average 12-month price target of $18.22. Despite mixed Q4 results where EPS beat estimates but revenue fell short, institutional ownership remains exceptionally high at 97.24%. Several firms recently updated their ratings and price targets, contributing to the overall positive outlook.
Analysts have provided new ratings for companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector, including O-I Glass (OI), Amer Sports, Inc. (AS), and Meituan (MPNGF). O-I Glass received a "Strong Buy" consensus with an average price target of $18.71, Amer Sports, Inc. also garnered a "Strong Buy" with a $47.22 average price target, and Meituan obtained a "Moderate Buy" with a $15.10 average price target, though one analyst maintained a "Hold" rating. These ratings reflect varying levels of confidence in the future performance of these companies.