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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4005
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Business Services
$550M
Seth Grae
Lightbridge Fuel focuses on developing and commercializing metallic nuclear fuels that could enhance resistance of nuclear fuel in existing and new nuclear reactors. The company was formerly known as Thorium Power, Ltd. and changed its name to Lightbridge Corporation in 2009.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = LTBR ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | 21.3% | 18.6% | 64.5% | 35.7% | 39.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $644M | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | 15.4% | 12.6% | 38.7% | 17.1% | 17.0% | -39.7% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $439M | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 28.1% | 16.8% | 48.1% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 78.6% | 0.0% | 37.0x | $220M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | 12.4% | 2.9% | 100.0% | 28.2% | 26.2% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 264.0x | $19.4B | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.6% | 7.8% | 43.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $857M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 18.0% | 4.6% | 97.3% | 52.2% | 32.7% | -3.4% | 0.0% | 271.0x | $8.0B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | 9.4% | 4.9% | 55.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 1.3% | 7.0x | $78.0B | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | 22.1% | 15.6% | 62.5% | 28.1% | 28.7% | -1.0% | 2.8% | 9.0x | $56.6B | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 21.4% | 8.0% | 100.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 27.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$LTBR LIGHTBRIDGE Corp | 36 | 21 | 32 | 58 | - | - | -9.8% | -9.7% | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 1.0x | $550M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.3% | 1.9% | 59.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
LIGHTBRIDGE Corp (LTBR) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 36.1/100. It ranks #4005 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
Seth Grae
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
6
21
25
22
Audit Verdict: Lower quality and stability scores may indicate governance concerns.
No recent insider transactions available for LTBR
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for LTBR.
View All RatingsHigh margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 21 | 5 | +16ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 58 | 61 | -3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 32 | 25 | +7ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 25 | 14 | +11ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 22 | 12 | +10ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 56 | 70 | -14DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -9.8% (sector 5.3%)
GM N/A vs sector 60%, OM N/A vs sector 4%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth N/A, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
Our quantitative model flags LIGHTBRIDGE Corp with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 36.1/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4005 of 7,333 stocks, LTBR falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
LIGHTBRIDGE Corp registers a weak quality score of just 21/100, indicating significant profitability challenges. The company reports a return on equity of -9.8% (sector avg: 5.3%). Low quality scores are often associated with businesses in turnaround mode, early-stage growth, or structurally challenged industries.
With a value score of 32/100, LTBR appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 2.72x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
LIGHTBRIDGE Corp's investment score of 25/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include a return on assets of -9.7% (sector: 1.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
LTBR demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 58/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth data is not currently available, while a beta of 2.28 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
LIGHTBRIDGE Corp registers a low stability score of 22/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 2.28 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
The short interest score of 56/100 for LTBR suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 2.28), small-cap liquidity risk. With a $550M market cap (small-cap), LIGHTBRIDGE Corp may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
LIGHTBRIDGE Corp is a small-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4005 of 7,333 overall (45th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -9.8% trailing the 5.3% sector median. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While LTBR currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Quality (21) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 285% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Debt/Equity 300% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
Div. Yield NaN% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)
We rate LIGHTBRIDGE Corp (LTBR) as Avoid with a composite score of 36.1/100 at a current price of $13.01. The stock falls in the bottom quintile of our universe across key quantitative factors, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in momentum (58th percentile) and value (32th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in quality (21th percentile) and stability (22th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (20/100), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.
Key items to watch: quarterly earnings execution and sector-level competitive dynamics. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is narrowing, which raises the risk of a future downgrade if the trend persists.
LIGHTBRIDGE Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 36.1/100 places it at rank #4005 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $550M in market capitalization, LIGHTBRIDGE Corp is a small-cap player in the Services space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Momentum indicators (58th percentile) are neutral regarding the near-term price trend. Revenue growth data is unavailable, limiting our ability to confirm whether momentum is fundamentally supported.
Margin data is not available for LIGHTBRIDGE Corp, which limits our assessment of the company's cost structure and operating efficiency. We rely on factor-based signals to infer business quality in the absence of detailed margin data.
At a current price of $13.01, LIGHTBRIDGE Corp is trading at a premium to fundamental value. Our value factor score of 32/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The premium valuation implies the market is pricing in significant future growth or quality improvements that are not yet fully reflected in current fundamentals.
The stock currently trades at P/B of 2.7x. We evaluate these multiples in the context of both absolute levels and sector-relative positioning to form our valuation view.
A conservative balance sheet (1% D/E) provides financial flexibility for acquisitions, buybacks, or weathering economic downturns without dilution.
The Avoid rating (composite 36.1/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.
Below-average quality (21th percentile) raises durability concerns about the fundamental profile and increases the risk of negative earnings surprises.
High beta of 2.28 means amplified losses in market selloffs — in a broad market correction, this stock would likely decline more than the index.
We assign a High uncertainty rating to LIGHTBRIDGE Corp. Key risk factors include elevated market sensitivity (beta of 2.28), below-average price stability (22th percentile), weak quality scores (21th percentile). The wide range of potential outcomes widens our fair value estimate and increases the possibility of permanent capital impairment. Investors considering this name should size positions accordingly and demand a meaningful margin of safety before initiating.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: elevated market sensitivity (beta of 2.28); below-average price stability (22th percentile); weak quality scores (21th percentile). Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 22th percentile and quality factor at the 21th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
Key risk mitigants include: conservative leverage (1% D/E) limits balance sheet risk. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile warrants caution and disciplined position management.
We rate LIGHTBRIDGE Corp's capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include low returns on equity (-9.8%), weak asset returns (ROA -9.7%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — LIGHTBRIDGE Corp significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.
Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.
In summary, LIGHTBRIDGE Corp receives a Avoid rating with a composite score of 36.1/100 (rank #4005 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (20/100, trend: narrowing), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 32/100.
Our analysis does not support a constructive view on LIGHTBRIDGE Corp at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, high uncertainty, and poor capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign LIGHTBRIDGE Corp a meaningful economic moat, scoring 20/100 on our composite assessment. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, margin superiority, reached only 11.5/20.
The strongest moat sources are margin superiority (11.5/20) and financial resilience (7/20). GM N/A vs sector 60%, OM N/A vs sector 4%. Interest coverage N/A. These pillars form the core of LIGHTBRIDGE Corp's competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include reinvestment efficiency (0/20) and economic value creation (0.7/20). Capital turnover N/A. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Narrowing. ROIC has declined at ~352.4pp per year, and operating margins show fundamental deterioration. Investors should monitor these indicators closely — a sustained narrowing trend often precedes material downgrades in our moat assessment.
Key profit drivers are not clearly identifiable from current fundamentals. This may reflect a company in transition, a cyclical downturn, or structural challenges in the business model. We assign a quality factor of 21/100 which further underscores our concern regarding earnings sustainability.
Return metrics include ROE of -9.8% and ROA of -9.7%. Relative to the Services sector, sector comparison data is limited, and ROE of -9.8% compares to a sector median of 5.3%.
The balance sheet reflects a conservatively managed balance sheet with D/E of 1%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting LIGHTBRIDGE Corp at higher leverage than the typical peer. Overall balance sheet health is adequate for the current business environment.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
RESTON, Va., Feb. 10, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Lightbridge Corporation (“Lightbridge” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: LTBR), an advanced nuclear fuel technology company, will announce its financial results for fiscal year 2025 on Wednesday, February 25, after the market closes. Lightbridge will host a conference call on Thursday, February 26, at 4:00 p.m. ET with the investment community to discuss the Company’s financial results and provide an update on its fuel development activities. CONFERENCE CA
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