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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3727
Positioning
Market Dominance
Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate
Trading
$1.4B
W. Matthew Kelly
JBG SMITH is an S&P 400 company that owns, operates, invests in and develops a dynamic portfolio of high-growth mixed-use properties in and around Washington, DC. The company is the exclusive developer for Amazon's new headquarters.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = JBGS ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$SII SPROTT INC. | 75 | 91 | 87 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PUK PRUDENTIAL PLC | 73 | 88 | 97 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NMR NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 72 | 81 | 92 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust | 69 | 82 | 80 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UFCS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC | 68 | 81 | 93 | 76 | 5.0x | 3.5x | 13.2% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 16.0x | $775M | VS | |
$SLF SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC | 68 | 83 | 95 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 68 | 75 | 63 | 77 | 21.3x | 15.7x | 24.0% | 13.7% | 41.7% | 32.4% | 26.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 30.0x | $25.7B | VS | |
$VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. | 67 | 69 | 77 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust | 67 | 64 | 82 | 91 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GLDM World Gold Trust | 66 | 54 | 85 | 92 | 11.3x | 11.3x | - | 20.9% | 100.0% | 97.1% | 554.8% | -19.0% | 0.0% | - | $32.0B | VS | |
$JBGS JBG SMITH Properties | 39 | 31 | 40 | 40 | - | 4.9x | -12.4% | -3.3% | 0.0% | -0.6% | -28.5% | -8.5% | 3.1% | 235.0x | $1.4B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 11.9x | 7.8x | 9.0% | 1.3% | 77.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 0.5x | - | REF |
JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 38.5/100. It ranks #3727 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for JBGS.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 31 | 37 | -6DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 40 | 39 | +1NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 40 | 42 | -2NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 35 | 59 | -24DRAG |
| STABILITY | 50 | 49 | +1NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 22 | 8 | +14ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -0.3% vs WACC 3.5% (spread -3.8%)
GM 0% vs sector 78%, OM -1% vs sector 18%
Capital turnover 0.21x
Rev growth -8%, 9yr history
Interest coverage -0.2x, Net debt/EBITDA 13.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) as Avoid with a composite score of 38.5/100 at a current price of $15.67. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
JBG SMITH Properties holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 38.5/100 places it at rank #3727 in our full universe.
No Moat
High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 235% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
JBG SMITH Properties represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags JBG SMITH Properties with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 38.5/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #3727 of 7,333 stocks, JBGS falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
JBGS's quality score of 31/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -12.4% (sector avg: 9.0%), gross margins of 0.0% (sector avg: 77.7%), net margins of -28.5% (sector avg: 21.9%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 40/100, JBGS appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 4.86x, a P/B ratio of 0.80x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
JBG SMITH Properties's investment score of 35/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -8.5% vs. a sector average of 10.7% and a return on assets of -3.3% (sector: 1.3%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
JBGS is currently showing below-average momentum at 40/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -8.5% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.65 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
With a stability score of 50/100, JBGS exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.65 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 235.00x (sector avg: 0.5x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
JBG SMITH Properties's short interest score of 22/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 235.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $1.4B (small-cap), JBGS carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
JBGS pays a solid dividend yield of 3.1%, contributing an income component to total returns. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 2.0%. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
JBG SMITH Properties is a small-cap company in the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3727 of 7,333 overall (49th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -12.4% trailing the 9.0% sector median and operating margins of -0.6% below the 18.1% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate peers.
While JBGS currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Short Int. (22) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 37% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 237% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 100% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

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