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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2824
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Restaurants, Hotels, Motels
$13.6B
Mark S. Hoplamazian
Hyatt Hotels Corporation operates as a hospitality company in the United States and internationally. The company manages, franchises, licenses, owns, and leases portfolio of properties. As of December 31, 2021, the company's hotel portfolio consisted of approximately 515 hotels, comprising 171,399 rooms worldwide.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = H ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$H Hyatt Hotels Corp | 45 | 27 | 30 | 67 | 36.8x | 23.8x | 12.0% | 3.1% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 284.0x | $13.6B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
Hyatt Hotels Corp (H) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 44.9/100. It ranks #2824 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for H.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 27 | 9 | +18ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 67 | 72 | -5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 30 | 23 | +7ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 23 | 7 | +16ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 62 | 67 | -5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 29 | 19 | +10ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 1.2% vs WACC 7.4% (spread -6.2%)
GM 19% vs sector 37%, OM 10% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover 1.34x
Rev growth 5%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 0.9x, Net debt/EBITDA 65.6x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Hyatt Hotels Corp (H) as a Reduce with a composite score of 44.9/100 at a current price of $164.06. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
Hyatt Hotels Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 44.9/100 places it at rank #2824 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 5% and momentum in the 67th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
High
Poor
Fair Value
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 36.8x leaves little room for execution misses.
Leverage of 284% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Hyatt Hotels Corp represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Hyatt Hotels Corp receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 44.9/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2824 out of 7,333 stocks. H's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
H's quality score of 27/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 12.0% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 19.0% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of 6.8% (sector avg: 2.4%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 30/100, H appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 36.81x, an EV/EBITDA of 23.84x, a P/B ratio of 4.44x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Hyatt Hotels Corp's investment score of 23/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 4.9% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of 3.1% (sector: 3.6%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
H demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 67/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 4.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.25 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
With a stability score of 62/100, H exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.25 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 284.00x (sector avg: 0.7x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
Hyatt Hotels Corp's short interest score of 29/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.25), elevated leverage (D/E: 284.00x). At $13.6B (large-cap), H carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
H offers a modest dividend yield of 0.4%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
Hyatt Hotels Corp is a large-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2824 of 7,333 overall (61st percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 12.0% exceeding the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of 10.4% above the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While H currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Investment (23) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 162% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 26% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 49% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
During the period, deal value spiked 229.8% compared to the prior half as investors prioritized quality over quantity, according to KPMG.
The Justice Department’s release of millions of files relating to its investigation into the late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein has shaken the upper echelons of power across the globe, resulting in high-profile firings and resignations in the U.S. and abroad and a number of active criminal investigations overseas
Attia denied any involvement in criminal activity and said he did not take part in sexual abuse or exploitation.
Hyatt Hotels (H) continues to attract attention after recent share gains, with the stock closing at $171.84. Investors are weighing that move against the company’s latest financial snapshot and its broader return profile. See our latest analysis for Hyatt Hotels. The recent 2.31% 1 day share price return, building on a 4.92% 30 day share price return, sits alongside a 1 year total shareholder return of 23.24% and a 5 year total shareholder return of 97.79%. This suggests momentum has been...