GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast
Company Overview — What Does GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO Do?
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides fiber-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. It operates through three segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. The company offers coated unbleached kraft (CUK), coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and solid bleached sulfate paperboard (SBS) to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers; and paperboard packaging products, such as folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers primarily to consumer packaged goods, quick-service restaurants, and foodservice companies; and barrier packaging products that protect against moisture, hot and cold temperature, grease, oil, oxygen, sunlight, insects, and other potential product-damaging factors. It also offers various laminated, coated, and printed packaging structures that are produced from its CUK, CRB, and SBS, as well as other grades of paperboards that are purchased from third-party suppliers; designs and manufactures specialized packaging machines that package bottles and cans, and non-beverage consumer products; and installs its packaging machines at customer plants and provides support, service, and performance monitoring of the machines. The company markets its products primarily through sales offices and broker arrangements with third parties in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) is classified as a mid-cap stock in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Shipping Containers industry. The company is led by CEO Michael P. Doss and employs approximately 24,000 people, headquartered in ATLANTA, Georgia. With a market capitalization of $2.8B, GPK is one of the notable companies in the Industrials sector.
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)
As of April 2026, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 45.2/100 and 2 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.GPK ranks #3,111 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Industrials sector, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO ranks #525 of 752 stocks, placing it in the lower half of its Industrials peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).
GPK Stock Price and 52-Week Range
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) currently trades at $9.67. The stock gained $0.02 (0.2%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for GPK is $26.40, which means the stock is currently trading -63.4% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $9.46, putting the stock 2.2% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 4.0M shares, reflecting moderate market activity.
Is GPK Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) carries a value factor score of 73/100 in the Blank Capital model, suggesting the stock trades at a meaningful discount to its fundamental earning power. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 5.23x, compared to the Industrials sector average of 28.33x — a discount of 82%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 0.84x, versus the sector average of 2.23x. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.32x, compared to 0.50x for the average Industrials stock. On an enterprise value basis, GPK trades at 8.91x EV/EBITDA, versus 5.70x for the sector.
Based on these multiples, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO appears attractively valued relative to both its sector peers and the broader market. Value-oriented investors may find the current entry point compelling, particularly if the company's fundamental quality metrics also score well.
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) earns a quality factor score of 50/100, indicating solid business quality with consistent operational execution. The return on equity (ROE) is 16.1%, compared to the Industrials sector average of 8.9%, which is within a healthy range. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at 4.6% versus the sector average of 3.3%.
On a margin basis, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO reports gross margins of 20.6%, compared to 35.8% for the sector. The operating margin is 10.6% (sector: 6.2%). Net profit margin stands at 6.2%, versus 3.9% for the average Industrials stock. Revenue growth is running at -2.1% on a trailing basis, compared to 6.4% for the sector. The overall profitability profile is adequate, though there may be room for margin expansion.
GPK Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO has a debt-to-equity ratio of 163.0%, compared to the Industrials sector average of 70.0%. This elevated leverage warrants close monitoring, as it increases the company's sensitivity to rising interest rates and economic downturns. The current ratio is 1.30x, suggesting adequate working capital coverage. Total debt on the balance sheet is $5.43B. Cash and equivalents stand at $120M.
GPK has a beta of 0.63, meaning it is less volatile than the S&P 500, making it a relatively defensive holding. The stability factor score for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO is 57/100, reflecting average volatility within the normal range for its sector.
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend
In TTM 2026, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO reported revenue of $8.73B and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.48. Net income for the quarter was $538M. Gross margin was 20.6%. Operating income came in at $926M.
In FY 2025, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO reported revenue of $8.62B and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.48. Net income for the quarter was $444M. Gross margin was 18.6%. Revenue grew -2.2% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $804M.
In Q3 2025, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO reported revenue of $2.19B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.48. Net income for the quarter was $142M. Gross margin was 19.8%. Revenue grew -1.2% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $234M.
In Q2 2025, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO reported revenue of $2.20B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.35. Net income for the quarter was $104M. Gross margin was 19.1%. Revenue grew -1.5% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $193M.
Over the past 8 quarters, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $2.24B to $8.73B. Investors analyzing GPK stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.
GPK Dividend Yield and Income Analysis
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) currently pays a dividend yield of 2.2%. At this yield, a $10,000 investment in GPK stock would generate approximately $$220.00 in annual dividend income. The net margin of 6.2% provides reasonable coverage for the dividend, though investors should monitor payout sustainability.
GPK Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) has a momentum factor score of 14/100, signaling weak relative price performance. Stocks with low momentum scores have historically tended to continue underperforming in the near term. The investment factor score is 34/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 66/100 reflects moderate short selling activity.
GPK vs Competitors — Industrials Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison
Within the Industrials sector, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) ranks #525 out of 752 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places GPK in the lower half of all Industrials stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include South Bow Corp (SOBO) with a score of 56.5/100, TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD (TEN) with a score of 61.4/100, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock CORP (GLDD) with a score of 56.7/100, Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (TPH) with a score of 57.3/100, and Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. (CCO) with a score of 52.2/100.
Comparing GPK against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full GPK vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.
GPK Next Earnings Date
No upcoming earnings date has been announced for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.
Should You Buy GPK? — Investment Thesis Summary
The quantitative profile for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO suggests caution. The value score of 73/100 suggests attractive pricing relative to fundamentals. Momentum is weak at 14/100, a headwind for near-term performance.
In summary, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) earns a Reduce rating with a composite score of 45.2/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on GPK stock.
Related Resources for GPK Investors
Explore more research and tools: GPK vs S&P 500 comparison, top Industrials stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare GPK head-to-head with peers: GPK vs SOBO, GPK vs TEN, GPK vs GLDD.