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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2967
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Measuring And Control Equipment
$243M
Walter R. Wheeler
Geospace Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures instruments and equipment used in the oil and gas industry. The company operates through three segments: Oil and Gas Markets, Adjacent Markets, and Emerging Markets. The Emerging Markets segment designs and sells products used for border and perimeter security surveillance.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = GEOS ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | 28.5% | 8.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.4% | -4.6% | 3.3% | 0.0x | $141.8B | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | 46.1% | 16.6% | 51.3% | 31.9% | 26.8% | -4.0% | 1.0% | 25.0x | $272.1B | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | 10.3% | 3.1% | 24.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 25.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | 2.2% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | -8.5% | 2.2% | 16.0x | $18.9B | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 35.5% | 19.8% | 48.7% | 29.2% | 24.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 32.0x | $181.9B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | 11.8% | 8.8% | 45.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 25.7% | 3.7% | 0.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.6% | 7.0% | 66.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $115M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | 22.6% | 4.9% | 71.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 124.0x | $72.1B | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | 3.0% | 1.1% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 67.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | 8.2% | 3.5% | 55.3% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.0x | $87.0B | VS | |
$GEOS GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP | 44 | 56 | 37 | 47 | 60.1x | 16.8x | -9.0% | -7.2% | 26.2% | -18.6% | -16.7% | -1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $243M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -2.5% | -0.1% | 42.5% | 1.3% | -0.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP (GEOS) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 44.0/100. It ranks #2967 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Bottom-line conversion
Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
Walter R. Wheeler
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
650
56
48
20
Audit Verdict: Lower quality and stability scores may indicate governance concerns.
No recent insider transactions available for GEOS
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for GEOS.
View All RatingsMaterial decline in asset turnover efficiency detected
High margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 56 | 47 | +9ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 47 | 33 | +14ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 37 | 16 | +21ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 48 | 89 | -41DRAG |
| STABILITY | 20 | 4 | +16ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 68 | 79 | -11DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -9.0% (sector -2.5%)
GM 26% vs sector 43%, OM -19% vs sector 1%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 17.5%
Rev growth -1%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 44.0/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2967 out of 7,333 stocks. GEOS's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 56/100, GEOS shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -9.0% (sector avg: -2.5%), gross margins of 26.2% (sector avg: 42.5%), net margins of -16.7% (sector avg: -0.2%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 37/100, GEOS appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 60.07x, an EV/EBITDA of 16.78x, a P/B ratio of 1.04x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
With an investment score of 48/100, GEOS exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -1.1% vs. a sector average of 5.9% and a return on assets of -7.2% (sector: -0.1%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
GEOS is currently showing below-average momentum at 47/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -1.1% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.46 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP registers a low stability score of 20/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.46 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
GEOS carries a short interest score of 68/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.46), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $243M market cap (micro-cap), GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2967 of 7,333 overall (60th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -9.0% trailing the -2.5% sector median and operating margins of -18.6% below the 1.3% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While GEOS currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Stability (20) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 46% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 263% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 38% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF DEC 31, 2025 (Q3 FY2025)
We rate GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP (GEOS) as a Reduce with a composite score of 44.0/100 at a current price of $9.34. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential and elevated risk of underperformance relative to peers over the next 12 months.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in quality (56th percentile) and investment (48th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in stability (20th percentile) and value (37th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (31/100), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.
Key items to watch: the path to profitability. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 44.0/100 places it at rank #2967 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $243M in market capitalization, GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP is a small-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Revenue contraction of -1% combined with momentum at the 47th percentile paints a cautious picture of the near-term business outlook. The market appears to be pricing in continued challenges, and a catalyst for reversal is not clearly visible from current data.
The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 26% (-16.3pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of -19% (-19.9pp vs sector) and net margins of -16.7%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of -64%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.
At a current price of $9.34, GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP is trading at a premium to fundamental value. Our value factor score of 37/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The premium valuation implies the market is pricing in significant future growth or quality improvements that are not yet fully reflected in current fundamentals.
The stock currently trades at a P/E of 60.1x (a 170% premium to the sector median of 22.3x), EV/EBITDA of 16.8x (at a premium), P/B of 1.0x, P/S of 1.1x. The above-sector P/E multiple suggests the market is pricing in superior growth or quality, which our analysis finds only partially justified by current fundamentals.
A conservative balance sheet (0% D/E) provides financial flexibility for acquisitions, buybacks, or weathering economic downturns without dilution.
The Reduce rating (composite 44.0/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.
A P/E of 60.1x leaves little room for execution misses — any earnings disappointment could trigger a sharp multiple compression.
Revenue decline of -1% signals business deterioration — declining revenues make it difficult to grow into the current valuation and often precede further negative revisions.
Thin net margins of -16.7% provide limited cushion against cost pressures, competitive pricing, or macroeconomic headwinds — even small changes in costs could swing the company to a loss.
We assign a High uncertainty rating to GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP. Key risk factors include elevated market sensitivity (beta of 1.46), current negative profitability (net margin -16.7%), below-average price stability (20th percentile). The wide range of potential outcomes widens our fair value estimate and increases the possibility of permanent capital impairment. Investors considering this name should size positions accordingly and demand a meaningful margin of safety before initiating.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: elevated market sensitivity (beta of 1.46); current negative profitability (net margin -16.7%); below-average price stability (20th percentile); elevated valuation multiple (P/E 60.1x) that leaves limited margin for error. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 20th percentile and quality factor at the 56th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
Key risk mitigants include: conservative leverage (0% D/E) limits balance sheet risk. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile warrants caution and disciplined position management.
We rate GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP's capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include low returns on equity (-9.0%), negative profitability, weak asset returns (ROA -7.2%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.
Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.
In summary, GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 44.0/100 (rank #2967 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (31/100, trend: stable), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 42/100.
Our analysis does not support a constructive view on GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, high uncertainty, and poor capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP a meaningful economic moat, scoring 31/100 on our composite assessment. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, growth durability, reached only 11.6/20.
The strongest moat sources are growth durability (11.6/20) and financial resilience (9.5/20). Rev growth -1%, 11yr history. Interest coverage N/A. These pillars form the core of GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP's competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include economic value creation (1.8/20) and margin superiority (2.2/20). ROE proxy -9.0% (sector -2.5%). Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP's moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers include declining revenues (-1%) that pressure the earnings outlook. The margin cascade from 26% gross to -19% operating to -16.7% net reveals the company's cost structure and reinvestment intensity. Our analysis indicates that profit quality is adequate though not exceptional, with the quality factor at the 56th percentile.
The margin profile shows gross margins of 26%, operating margins of -19%, net margins of -16.7%. Return metrics include ROE of -9.0% and ROA of -7.2%. Relative to the Manufacturing sector, gross margins are 16.3 percentage points below the sector median of 43%, and ROE of -9.0% compares to a sector median of -2.5%.
The balance sheet reflects a conservatively managed balance sheet with D/E of 0%, revenue growth of -1%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP in a relatively stronger balance sheet position. Overall balance sheet health is adequate for the current business environment.
High beta of 1.46 means amplified losses in market selloffs — in a broad market correction, this stock would likely decline more than the index.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
The share price of Geospace Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:GEOS) fell by 44.57% between February 3 and February 10, 2026, putting it among the Energy Stocks that Lost the Most This Week. Geospace Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:GEOS) is a technology-driven, market-leading provider of technology solutions that deliver situational awareness for energy exploration, security and surveillance, and industrial IoT applications. Geospace […]
Operator: Welcome to the Geospace Technologies First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Hosting the call today from Geospace is Mr. Rich Kelley, President and Chief Executive Officer.
Geospace (GEOS) Q1 2026 earnings call recap: revenue fell to $25.6M with a $9.8M loss; key segment trends, GeoVox, PRM timing—read now.
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