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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#239
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Shipping Containers
$3.2B
Ole G. Rosgaard
Greif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Land Management segment owns 175,000 acres of timber properties in the southeastern United States.
Headcount
12.0K
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = GEF ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GEF GREIF, INC | 66 | 67 | 95 | 58 | 13.3x | 9.7x | 10.7% | 5.8% | 21.4% | 11.4% | 7.3% | -31.6% | 3.3% | 22.0x | $3.2B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
GREIF, INC (GEF) receives a "Buy" rating with a composite score of 66.0/100. It ranks #239 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 4-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Delaware, Ohio
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Top-rated overall — multiple factors aligned for strong entry
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for GEF.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 67 | 77 | -10DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 58 | 57 | +1NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 95 | 98 | -3NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 32 | 44 | -12DRAG |
| STABILITY | 86 | 91 | -5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 63 | 75 | -12DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 10.7% (sector -1.9%)
GM 21% vs sector 44%, OM 11% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth -32%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate GREIF, INC (GEF) as a Buy with a composite score of 66.0/100 at a current price of $73.70. The stock scores above average across the majority of our quantitative factors and ranks #239, reflecting a favorable risk-reward profile.
GREIF, INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 66.0/100 places it at rank #239 in our full universe.
No Moat
Low
Standard
Undervalued
Value factor score of 95 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
GREIF, INC represents a buy based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
GREIF, INC receives a Buy rating with a composite score of 66.0/100 and 4 out of 5 stars, ranking #239 of 7,333 stocks in our universe. GEF displays a favorable combination of factors that positions it above the majority of the market. While not without risk, the quantitative profile supports a constructive outlook.
GEF earns a quality score of 67/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 10.7% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 21.4% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 7.3% (sector avg: 1.0%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
From a valuation perspective, GEF scores an exceptional 95/100, indicating the stock trades at a deep discount relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 13.34x, an EV/EBITDA of 9.67x, a P/B ratio of 1.43x. A value score this high suggests the market may be significantly underpricing the company's earnings power, assets, or cash flow generation.
GREIF, INC's investment score of 32/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -31.6% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 5.8% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
GEF demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 58/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at -31.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.74 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
GREIF, INC earns an excellent stability score of 86/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.74 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 22.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
GEF carries a short interest score of 63/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 22.00x). At $3.2B market cap (mid-cap), GREIF, INC offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
GEF pays a solid dividend yield of 3.3%, contributing an income component to total returns. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
GREIF, INC is a mid-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #239 of 7,333 overall (97th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 10.7% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 11.4% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (95) vs Investment (32) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 16% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 664% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 51% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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IBC demand is rising as reusable bulk packaging boosts logistics efficiency, cuts costs, and ensures safe, compliant handling across global industries. NEWARK, DELAWARE / ACCESS Newswire / February 20, 2026 / The global Intermediate Bulk Container ...
If you are wondering whether Greif is still reasonably priced after its recent run, you are not alone. This article will focus squarely on what you might be paying for each dollar of the business. The stock last closed at US$76.82, with returns of 3.5% over 7 days, 6.8% over 30 days, 12.2% year to date, 30.2% over 1 year, 18.4% over 3 years and 90.6% over 5 years. This naturally raises questions about how much value is already reflected in the price. Recent coverage of Greif has highlighted...