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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3993
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Restaurants, Hotels, Motels
$116M
Daniel R. Lee
Full House Resorts, Inc. owns, develops, invests in, operates, manages, and leases casinos in the United States. The company owns and operates the Silver Slipper Casino and Hotel in Hancock County, Mississippi, which has 757 slot machines and 24 table games, a surface parking lot, and a 129 hotel rooms. The Rising Star Casino Resort in Rising Sun, Indiana, has 642 slot machines, a land-based pavilion with approximately 31,500 square feet of meeting and convention space.
Headcount
1.2K
HQ Base
Wilmington, Nevada
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = FLL ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$FLL FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC | 36 | 44 | 52 | 14 | - | 11.3x | -255.5% | -5.6% | 93.4% | 2.1% | -12.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 3330.0x | $116M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC (FLL) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 36.2/100. It ranks #3993 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for FLL.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 44 | 41 | +3NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 14 | 8 | +6ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 52 | 58 | -6DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 29 | 29 | 0NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 39 | 38 | +1NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 42 | 38 | +4NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 0.6% vs WACC 3.0% (spread -2.4%)
GM 93% vs sector 37%, OM 2% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover 0.18x
Rev growth 6%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 0.3x, Net debt/EBITDA 31.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC (FLL) as Avoid with a composite score of 36.2/100 at a current price of $2.33. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 36.2/100 places it at rank #3993 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 93% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 3330% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 36.2/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #3993 of 7,333 stocks, FLL falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
FLL's quality score of 44/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -255.5% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 93.4% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of -12.0% (sector avg: 2.4%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
FLL's value score of 52/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 11.34x, a P/B ratio of 5.72x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC's investment score of 29/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 6.1% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of -5.6% (sector: 3.6%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 14/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 6.1% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.26 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
FLL's stability score of 39/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.26 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3330.00x (sector avg: 0.7x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
The short interest score of 42/100 for FLL suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.26), elevated leverage (D/E: 3330.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. With a $116M market cap (micro-cap), FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
FULL HOUSE RESORTS INC is a micro-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3993 of 7,333 overall (46th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -255.5% trailing the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of 2.1% below the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While FLL currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (14) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 25% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 2764% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 151% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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