IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Blank Capital Research ("BCR") is a technology platform, not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. The algorithmically generated signals, scores, and rankings provided on this site ("God Mode" Signals) are for informational and research purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or solicit an offer to buy any securities.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
© 2026 Blank Capital Research. All rights reserved. System Version: Aegis V8 (God Mode).
Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2803
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Restaurants, Hotels, Motels
$380M
John W. Peyton
Dine Brands Global, Inc. owns, franchises, operates, and rents full-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 1,611 Applebee's franchised restaurants, and 1,751 IHOP franchised and area licensed restaurants.
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = DIN ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. | 45 | 25 | 15 | 83 | 9.6x | 24.2x | 482.9% | 2.7% | 42.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | - | $380M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 45.0/100. It ranks #2803 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
Sign in to join the discussion.
Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for DIN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 25 | 6 | +19ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 83 | 92 | -9DRAG |
| VALUATION | 15 | 7 | +8ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 36 | 63 | -27DRAG |
| STABILITY | 59 | 65 | -6DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 50 | 53 | -3NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 0.8% vs WACC 3.7% (spread -3.0%)
GM 42% vs sector 37%, OM 8% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover 0.21x
Rev growth 5%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 0.5x, Net debt/EBITDA 101.3x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN) as a Reduce with a composite score of 45.0/100 at a current price of $30.60. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
Dine Brands Global, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 45.0/100 places it at rank #2803 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 5% and momentum in the 83th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Medium
Standard
Fair Value
Gross margins of 42% signal strong pricing power.
Returns on equity of 482.9% exceed cost of capital.
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Dine Brands Global, Inc. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Dine Brands Global, Inc. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 45.0/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2803 out of 7,333 stocks. DIN's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
DIN's quality score of 25/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 482.9% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 42.2% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of 5.7% (sector avg: 2.4%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
DIN registers a value score of just 15/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 9.64x, an EV/EBITDA of 24.23x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
Dine Brands Global, Inc.'s investment score of 36/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 4.8% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of 2.7% (sector: 3.6%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
DIN shows strong momentum characteristics with a score of 83/100. The stock has been trending above key moving averages, indicating solid demand from institutional buyers. Revenue growth stands at 4.8% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.02 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. This level of momentum typically signals sustained investor confidence and favorable near-term price action.
With a stability score of 59/100, DIN exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.02. While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
The short interest score of 50/100 for DIN suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include small-cap liquidity risk. With a $380M market cap (small-cap), Dine Brands Global, Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Dine Brands Global, Inc. offers an attractive dividend yield of 8.3%, placing it among the higher-yielding stocks in its peer group. A yield this high can provide meaningful income, but investors should verify the payout is sustainable by examining the payout ratio, free cash flow coverage, and any history of dividend cuts.
Dine Brands Global, Inc. is a small-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2803 of 7,333 overall (62nd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 482.9% exceeding the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of 8.1% above the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While DIN currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Upgrade catalyst
Improvement in Value (15) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 166% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 4936% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 13% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Toast, a cloud-based software and service provider for the restaurant industry, has seen its stock surge 41% in the past 7 weeks. While the company has shown strong growth, it faces potential risks from a possible recession and competition from larger players. Investors should consider the industry backdrop and valuation before deciding whether to invest in Toast.
Although the revenue and EPS for Dine Brands (DIN) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended March 2024, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
Looking beyond Wall Street's top -and-bottom-line estimate forecasts for Dine Brands (DIN), delve into some of its key metrics to gain a deeper insight into the company's potential performance for the quarter ended March 2024.
Cracker Barrel abandoned its new logo after widespread criticism, with the company quickly reverting to its original design following negative public and social media reactions. The incident highlighted ongoing challenges for the restaurant chain, which has experienced stagnant revenue and declining profits.