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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1844
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Computer Hardware
$776M
Ravi Venkatesan
Cantaloupe, Inc., a digital payment and software services company, provides technology solutions for the unattended retail market. The company offers integrated solutions for payments processing, logistics, and back-office management. It also provides ePort, an integrated payment device that is deployed in self-service, unattended market applications such as vending, amusement, arcade, commercial laundry, air/vacuum, car wash, and others.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = CTLP ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | 28.5% | 8.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.4% | -4.6% | 3.3% | 0.0x | $141.8B | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | 46.1% | 16.6% | 51.3% | 31.9% | 26.8% | -4.0% | 1.0% | 25.0x | $272.1B | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | 10.3% | 3.1% | 24.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 25.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | 2.2% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | -8.5% | 2.2% | 16.0x | $18.9B | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 35.5% | 19.8% | 48.7% | 29.2% | 24.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 32.0x | $181.9B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | 11.8% | 8.8% | 45.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 25.7% | 3.7% | 0.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.6% | 7.0% | 66.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $115M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | 22.6% | 4.9% | 71.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 124.0x | $72.1B | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | 3.0% | 1.1% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 67.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | 8.2% | 3.5% | 55.3% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.0x | $87.0B | VS | |
$CTLP CANTALOUPE, INC. | 51 | 61 | 49 | 42 | 14.6x | 25.4x | 20.5% | 13.6% | 100.0% | 4.8% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 15.0x | $776M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -2.5% | -0.1% | 42.5% | 1.3% | -0.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
CANTALOUPE, INC. (CTLP) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 51.1/100. It ranks #1844 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Bottom-line conversion
Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
Ravi Venkatesan
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
220
61
28
82
Audit Verdict: Average governance indicators based on financial metrics.
No recent insider transactions available for CTLP
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for CTLP.
View All RatingsMaterial decline in asset turnover efficiency detected
High margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
ROE proxy 20.5% (sector -2.5%)
GM 100% vs sector 43%, OM 5% vs sector 1%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 16%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
Our model assigns CANTALOUPE, INC. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 51.1/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1844 of 7,333 stocks, CTLP presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 61/100, CTLP shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 20.5% (sector avg: -2.5%), gross margins of 100.0% (sector avg: 42.5%), net margins of 17.2% (sector avg: -0.2%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 49/100, CTLP appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 14.63x, an EV/EBITDA of 25.38x, a P/B ratio of 3.00x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
CANTALOUPE, INC.'s investment score of 28/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 15.9% vs. a sector average of 5.9% and a return on assets of 13.6% (sector: -0.1%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
CTLP is currently showing below-average momentum at 42/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 15.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.77 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
CTLP shows good financial stability with a score of 82/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.77 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 15.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
CANTALOUPE, INC.'s short interest score of 37/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 15.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $776M (small-cap), CTLP carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
CANTALOUPE, INC. is a small-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1844 of 7,333 overall (75th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 20.5% exceeding the -2.5% sector median and operating margins of 4.8% above the 1.3% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While CTLP currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (82) vs Investment (28) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 121% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 926% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 135% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
AUDIT DATA AS OF DEC 31, 2025 (Q3 FY2025)
We rate CANTALOUPE, INC. (CTLP) as a Hold with a composite score of 51.1/100 at a current price of $10.30. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling for existing holders. Our factors are split, and the overall profile suggests patience is warranted.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in stability (82th percentile) and quality (61th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in investment (28th percentile) and momentum (42th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a Narrow Moat rating (52/100), Low uncertainty, and Exemplary capital allocation.
Key items to watch: quarterly earnings execution and sector-level competitive dynamics. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
CANTALOUPE, INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 51.1/100 places it at rank #1844 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $776M in market capitalization, CANTALOUPE, INC. is a small-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Revenue is growing at 16%, though momentum at the 42th percentile suggests the market has not yet fully recognized this trajectory. This potential disconnect between fundamental improvement and market recognition could represent an opportunity for patient investors if the growth trend persists.
The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 100% (+57.5pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 5% (+3.5pp vs sector) and net margins of 17.2%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 17%. This conversion rate is typical for the sector, suggesting a standard cost structure without notable efficiency advantages or disadvantages.
At a current price of $10.30, CANTALOUPE, INC. is trading near fair value based on current fundamentals. Our value factor score of 49/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. Valuation metrics are mixed, with no strong signal of mispricing in either direction.
The stock currently trades at a P/E of 14.6x (a 34% discount to the sector median of 22.3x), EV/EBITDA of 25.4x (at a premium), P/B of 3.0x, P/S of 2.5x. The below-sector P/E suggests possible undervaluation or the market pricing in near-term headwinds.
Gross margins of 100% signal strong pricing power and brand/IP advantages — businesses with margins above 40% have historically demonstrated more resilient earnings through economic cycles.
Returns on equity of 20.5% exceed the cost of equity for most companies, indicating genuine shareholder value creation and a reinvestment engine that compounds wealth over time.
Revenue growth of 16% confirms the business is expanding its addressable market — growth at this level typically supports multiple expansion and attracts institutional capital.
A conservative balance sheet (15% D/E) provides financial flexibility for acquisitions, buybacks, or weathering economic downturns without dilution.
Return on assets of 13.6% indicates efficient deployment of the full asset base, not just equity capital.
We assign a Low uncertainty rating to CANTALOUPE, INC.. The company exhibits strong financial stability with a beta of 0.77, conservative leverage (15% D/E), and a stability factor in the 82th percentile. The predictable nature of the business model and solid financial position reduce the range of potential outcomes, giving us confidence in our fair value estimate.
We identify no major risk factors at this time. The company's stability factor sits at the 82th percentile with quality at the 61th percentile, both of which support our low-risk assessment. The absence of material leverage, profitability, or volatility concerns reduces the likelihood of a permanent capital loss scenario.
Key risk mitigants include: healthy gross margins of 100% provide a buffer against cost pressures; conservative leverage (15% D/E) limits balance sheet risk; above-average stability (82th percentile) suggests predictable business dynamics. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.
We rate CANTALOUPE, INC.'s capital allocation as Exemplary. Management demonstrates a strong track record of balancing reinvestment with shareholder returns, evidenced by returns on equity of 20.5%, disciplined leverage (15% D/E), best-in-class net margins of 17.2%. Exemplary allocators typically generate returns on equity above 20% while maintaining debt-to-equity below 50% — CANTALOUPE, INC. meets this high bar.
The balance sheet remains conservatively managed, providing financial flexibility for opportunistic investments while maintaining a margin of safety for shareholders. We note that the combination of 13.6% return on assets and controlled leverage suggests management is deploying capital at rates well above the cost of capital — the hallmark of exemplary stewardship.
In summary, CANTALOUPE, INC. receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 51.1/100 (rank #1844 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a Narrow Moat (52/100, trend: stable), Low uncertainty, and Exemplary capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 52/100.
Our analysis supports a neutral stance on CANTALOUPE, INC.. While the quantitative profile is not weak enough to warrant selling, it lacks the multi-factor strength required for a buy recommendation. Existing holders should maintain positions and monitor for catalysts — either fundamental improvement or valuation compression — that would shift the risk-reward balance.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We assign CANTALOUPE, INC. a Narrow Moat rating with a composite moat score of 52/100. The company possesses identifiable competitive advantages, though they are less entrenched than those of wide-moat peers. Our analysis indicates that CANTALOUPE, INC. can sustain above-average returns on invested capital for at least 10 years, with the strongest contributor being margin superiority at 17.2/20.
The strongest moat sources are margin superiority (17.2/20) and growth durability (16.9/20). GM 100% vs sector 43%, OM 5% vs sector 1%. Rev growth 16%, 11yr history. These pillars form the core of CANTALOUPE, INC.'s competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include reinvestment efficiency (0/20) and financial resilience (8.4/20). Capital turnover N/A. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect CANTALOUPE, INC.'s moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers include gross margins of 100% providing a solid profitability foundation, robust top-line growth of 16% expanding the revenue base, returns on equity of 20.5% driving shareholder value creation. The margin cascade from 100% gross to 5% operating to 17.2% net reveals the company's cost structure and reinvestment intensity. Our analysis indicates that the profit engine is high-quality and likely sustainable, with the quality factor at the 61th percentile.
The margin profile shows gross margins of 100%, operating margins of 5%, net margins of 17.2%. Return metrics include ROE of 20.5% and ROA of 13.6%. Relative to the Manufacturing sector, gross margins are 57.5 percentage points above the sector median of 43%, and ROE of 20.5% compares to a sector median of -2.5%.
The balance sheet reflects a conservatively managed balance sheet with D/E of 15%, revenue growth of 16%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting CANTALOUPE, INC. at higher leverage than the typical peer. The combination of low leverage and healthy profitability provides significant financial resilience and strategic optionality.
Even high-quality stocks face risks from valuation compression, competitive disruption, or macro shocks that are difficult to quantify in advance.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Ratings for Cantaloupe (NASDAQ:CTLP) were provided by 4 analysts in the past three months, showcasing a mix of bullish and bearish perspectives. In the table below, you'll find a summary of their recent ratings, revealing the shifting sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the previous months. Bullish Somewhat Bullish Indifferent Somewhat Bearish Bearish Total Ratings 2 2 0 0 0 Last 30D 0 1 0 0 0 1M Ago 0 0 0 0 0 2M Ago 1 0 0 0 0 3M Ago 1 1 0 0 0 The 12-month price targets, analyzed by analysts, offer insights with an average target of $10.0, a high estimate of $10.00, and a low estimate of $10.00. Staying constant with the previous average price target, the current average remains unchanged. Breaking Down Analyst Ratings: A Detailed Examination A comprehensive examination of how financial experts perceive Cantaloupe is derived from recent analyst actions. The following is a detailed summary of key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets. Analyst Analyst Firm Action Taken Rating Current Price Target Prior Price Target Gary Prestopino Barrington Research Maintains Outperform $10.00 $10.00 Mark Palmer Benchmark Maintains Buy $10.00 - Mark Palmer Benchmark Announces Buy $10.00 - Gary Prestopino Barrington Research Maintains Outperform $10.00 - Key Insights: Action Taken: Responding to changing market dynamics and company performance, analysts update their recommendations. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise', ...Full story available on Benzinga.com
Analysts' ratings for Cantaloupe (NASDAQ:CTLP) over the last quarter vary from bullish to bearish, as provided by 5 analysts. The table below summarizes their recent ratings, showcasing the evolving sentiments within the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months. Bullish Somewhat Bullish Indifferent Somewhat Bearish Bearish Total Ratings 1 4 0 0 0 Last 30D 0 1 0 0 0 1M Ago 0 3 0 0 0 2M Ago 0 0 0 0 0 3M Ago 1 0 0 0 0 Providing deeper insights, analysts have established 12-month price targets, indicating an average target of $10.0, along with a high estimate of $10.00 and a low estimate of $10.00. This current average is unchanged from the previous average price target. Decoding Analyst Ratings: A Detailed Look A comprehensive examination of how financial experts perceive Cantaloupe is derived from recent analyst actions. The following is a detailed summary of key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets. Analyst Analyst Firm Action Taken Rating Current Price Target Prior Price Target Gary Prestopino Barrington Research Maintains Outperform $10.00 $10.00 Gary Prestopino Barrington Research Maintains Outperform $10.00 $10.00 Gary Prestopino Barrington Research Maintains Outperform $10.00 $10.00 Gary Prestopino Barrington Research Maintains Outperform $10.00 $10.00 Mark Palmer Benchmark Maintains Buy $10.00 - Key Insights: Action Taken: Analysts adapt their recommendations to changing market conditions and company performance. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their response to recent ...Full story available on Benzinga.com
While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Cantaloupe (CTLP) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended March 2024, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Besides Wall Street's top -and-bottom-line estimates for Cantaloupe (CTLP), review projections for some of its key metrics to gain a deeper understanding of how the company might have fared during the quarter ended March 2024.
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