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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2381
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Transportation
$68.4B
Keith E. Creel
Canadian Pacific Railway Limited owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada and the United States. The company transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur. It also transports intermodal traffic comprising retail goods in overseas containers.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CP CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN | 48 | 37 | 36 | 42 | 19.6x | 14.7x | 8.3% | 4.5% | 72.0% | 35.4% | 26.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 86.0x | $68.4B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.2% | 52.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3x | - | REF |
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN (CP) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 47.7/100. It ranks #2381 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for CP.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 37 | 30 | +7ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 42 | 37 | +5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 36 | 35 | +1NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 44 | 74 | -30DRAG |
| STABILITY | 68 | 70 | -2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 60 | 70 | -10DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 6.2% vs WACC 8.7% (spread -2.5%)
GM 72% vs sector 53%, OM 35% vs sector 15%
Capital turnover 0.22x
Rev growth 2%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 12.6x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN (CP) as a Reduce with a composite score of 47.7/100 at a current price of $86.99. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 47.7/100 places it at rank #2381 in our full universe.
No Moat
Low
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 72% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 47.7/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2381 out of 7,333 stocks. CP's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
CP's quality score of 37/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 8.3% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of 72.0% (sector avg: 52.6%), net margins of 26.5% (sector avg: 7.7%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 36/100, CP appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 19.60x, an EV/EBITDA of 14.69x, a P/B ratio of 1.64x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
With an investment score of 44/100, CP exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 1.6% vs. a sector average of 4.2% and a return on assets of 4.5% (sector: 3.2%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
CP is currently showing below-average momentum at 42/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 1.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.71 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
CP shows good financial stability with a score of 68/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.71 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 86.00x (sector avg: 1.3x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
CP carries a short interest score of 60/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 86.00x). At $68.4B market cap (large-cap), CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
CP offers a modest dividend yield of 0.8%. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 1.4%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN is a large-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2381 of 7,333 overall (68th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 8.3% trailing the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of 35.4% above the 14.8% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While CP currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Value (36) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 140% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 30% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 37% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

Warren Buffett denied working with Goldman Sachs on a potential railroad acquisition, but speculation continues about potential consolidation in the railroad sector, with Union Pacific exploring a merger with Norfolk Southern.

Recent statements by President Trump regarding potential changes to the status of the Panama Canal have raised concerns about possible impacts on various stocks and ETFs involved in shipping, logistics, and transportation.

Railroad stocks surged on news of progress in the U.S.-China trade deal, raising hopes for a recovery in imports. However, investors should be cautious as it may take time for volumes to fully recover, and retailers may remain cautious in the near term.
Rival railroad CEO says the STB's rejection of the initial UP-NS merger application shows the $85 billion deal is not a certainty. The post CPKC CEO ‘not drinking the merger Kool-Aid’ appeared first on FreightWaves.
Union Pacific delayed its revised merger application with Norfolk Southern after regulators clarified data formatting requirements, its CEO said. The post Union Pacific CEO explains delay in revised merger filing appeared first on FreightWaves.