CAAP

We rate CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A. (CAAP) as a Hold with a composite score of 64.7/100 at a current price of $28.49. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling for existing holders. Our factors are split, and the overall profile suggests patience is warranted.

The rating is primarily driven by strength in momentum (82th percentile) and quality (75th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in investment (30th percentile) and stability (49th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a Narrow Moat rating (59/100), Medium uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation.

Key items to watch: sustainability of the current growth rate. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.

CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A. holds a lower-quartile position (#49 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 64.7/100 places it at rank #305 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $3.0B in market capitalization, CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A. is a mid-cap player in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.

The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 32% and momentum in the 82th percentile confirming positive market sentiment and institutional accumulation. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy. Investment factor at the 30th percentile indicates reinvestment patterns that investors should monitor for sustainability.

The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 33% (-22.3pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 22% (+4.2pp vs sector) and net margins of 16.7%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 51%. This efficient conversion suggests well-controlled operating costs and limited margin leakage between the gross and net levels.

At a current price of $28.49, CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A. appears undervalued relative to its fundamentals. Our value factor score of 70/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The stock screens as attractively priced on a majority of these measures, suggesting the market may be underappreciating the underlying fundamentals.

The stock currently trades at a P/E of 16.1x (roughly in line with the sector median of 16.9x), EV/EBITDA of 2.2x (discounted to peers), P/B of 3.5x, P/S of 0.7x. The below-sector P/E suggests possible undervaluation or the market pricing in near-term headwinds.

We assign a Medium uncertainty rating to CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A.. The stock presents a balanced risk profile: risk factors are within normal ranges. While not risk-free, the core business fundamentals are adequate to withstand moderate economic stress, and the range of potential outcomes around our fair value estimate is manageable.

We identify no major risk factors at this time. The company's stability factor sits at the 49th percentile with quality at the 75th percentile, both of which support our low-risk assessment. The absence of material leverage, profitability, or volatility concerns reduces the likelihood of a permanent capital loss scenario.

We identify limited risk mitigants at this time, which contributes to our medium uncertainty assessment. Investors should monitor for improvement in balance sheet metrics, margin stability, and business predictability that could warrant a downgrade in our risk assessment over time.

We rate CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A.'s capital allocation as Standard. Management has shown adequate — though not exceptional — stewardship of shareholder capital. Returns on equity stand at 90.4%, and the balance sheet is managed within acceptable parameters (D/E: 86%). Exemplary allocators typically sustain ROE above 20% and D/E below 50%; CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A. falls short on at least one dimension.

There is room for improvement in optimizing the capital structure or enhancing shareholder returns. Absent a dividend, the overall capital allocation framework would benefit from either higher reinvestment returns, improved balance sheet efficiency, or increased shareholder distributions. We will monitor for signs of strategic improvement that could warrant an upgrade.

In summary, CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A. receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 64.7/100 (rank #305 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a Narrow Moat (59/100, trend: stable), Medium uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 61/100.

Our analysis supports a neutral stance on CORPORACION AMERICA AIRPORTS S.A.. While the quantitative profile is not weak enough to warrant selling, it lacks the multi-factor strength required for a buy recommendation. Existing holders should maintain positions and monitor for catalysts — either fundamental improvement or valuation compression — that would shift the risk-reward balance.