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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1460
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Restaurants, Hotels, Motels
$675M
Gregory S. Levin
As of April 19, 2022, BJ's Restaurants, Inc. operated 213 restaurants in 29 states. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Huntington Beach, California.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = BJRI ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$BJRI BJs RESTAURANTS INC | 54 | 41 | 46 | 73 | 26.2x | 29.5x | 9.3% | 3.3% | 74.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | -5.7% | 0.0% | 25.0x | $675M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
BJs RESTAURANTS INC (BJRI) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 53.5/100. It ranks #1460 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for BJRI.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 41 | 31 | +10ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 73 | 82 | -9DRAG |
| VALUATION | 46 | 47 | -1NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 47 | 86 | -39DRAG |
| STABILITY | 59 | 65 | -6DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 68 | 78 | -10DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 9.3% (sector 9.6%)
GM 74% vs sector 37%, OM 2% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth -6%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate BJs RESTAURANTS INC (BJRI) as a Hold with a composite score of 53.5/100 at a current price of $40.40. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
BJs RESTAURANTS INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 53.5/100 places it at rank #1460 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at -6% and momentum in the 73th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Low
Standard
Fair Value
Gross margins of 74% signal strong pricing power.
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
BJs RESTAURANTS INC represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns BJs RESTAURANTS INC a Hold rating, with a composite score of 53.5/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1460 of 7,333 stocks, BJRI presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
BJRI's quality score of 41/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 9.3% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 74.5% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of 2.3% (sector avg: 2.4%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 46/100, BJRI appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 26.20x, an EV/EBITDA of 29.49x, a P/B ratio of 2.44x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
With an investment score of 47/100, BJRI exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -5.7% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of 3.3% (sector: 3.6%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
BJRI shows strong momentum characteristics with a score of 73/100. The stock has been trending above key moving averages, indicating solid demand from institutional buyers. Revenue growth stands at -5.7% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.03 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. This level of momentum typically signals sustained investor confidence and favorable near-term price action.
With a stability score of 59/100, BJRI exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.03 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 25.00x (sector avg: 0.7x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
BJRI carries a short interest score of 68/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 25.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $675M market cap (small-cap), BJs RESTAURANTS INC offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
BJs RESTAURANTS INC is a small-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1460 of 7,333 overall (80th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 9.3% trailing the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of 2.3% below the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While BJRI currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Quality (41) is the limiting factor — improvement here would lift the composite score most.
EV/EBITDA 224% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Gross Margin 100% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Mizuho analyst Nick Setyan maintains BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $39 to $42.
American restaurant chain BJ’s Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) will be announcing earnings results this Wednesday after market close. Here’s what to look for.