Is BBAI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 26.9/100. It is ranked #4,040 out of 4,446 stocks. Key factor scores: Quality 22/100, Value 22/100, Momentum 32/100. The timing signal is "Neutral". This is quantitative analysis only — not investment advice.

What is the stock rating for BBAI?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has a "Avoid" rating and 1-star score. The composite score of 26.9 ranks it #4,040 among 4,446 U.S. stocks. Ratings are updated weekly using academically-proven factor models.

What sector is BBAI in?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. operates in the Technology sector (Computer Software industry) with a market cap of $1.63 billion. It is classified as a small-cap stock.

Does BBAI pay a dividend?

BBAI does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.

What is BBAI's P/E ratio?

BBAI has a trailing P/E ratio of 403.00x. The Technology sector average is 45.3x. This above-average P/E reflects growth expectations or premium valuation.

How profitable is BBAI?

BBAI's quality factor score is 22/100. Gross margin: 23.6%. ROE: -49.1% vs sector average -1.4%. Margins are moderate to low, reflecting competitive market dynamics.

How is BBAI valued compared to peers?

BBAI's value factor score is 22/100 (higher = cheaper). Key multiples: P/E 403.0x. Trading at a premium relative to peers.

What is BBAI's debt level?

BBAI's debt-to-equity ratio is 17%. Sector average: 43%. Low leverage suggests conservative financial management.

BBAI has a beta of 2.38, meaning it amplifies market moves. Stability score: 16/100.

Does BBAI have high short interest?

BBAI's short interest factor score is 36/100 (higher = less short selling). Elevated short interest may indicate bearish sentiment or short squeeze potential.

BBAI Stock Analysis: Top Small-Cap Avoid (Score 26.9/100) | Blank Capital Research

Data Series	1D	5D	1M	YTD	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y
BBAI	+0.91%	-7.26%	-18.43%	-38.52%	+16.90%	-	-	-
Industry Proxy XLK	+0.39%	+4.88%	+2.05%	-0.94%	-26.62%	-	-	-
U.S. Market SPY	-0.07%	+3.60%	+0.34%	-0.36%	+29.52%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Market	+0.98%	-10.87%	-18.76%	-38.16%	-12.62%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Sector	+0.52%	-12.14%	-20.47%	-37.58%	+43.53%	-	-	-

Metric	BBAI	Benchmark
P/E Ratio	403.0x	+790%
EV/EBITDA	—	—
Price / Book	2.7x

Stock Entity	Score▼	Quality	Value	Momentum	P/E Ratio	ROE	Gross Margin	Net Margin	Rev Growth	D/E Ratio	Market Cap	Compare
VRSN VERISIGN INC/CA	56	79	59	40	30.7x	-41.1%	88.0%	50.6%	8.3%	-87.0x	$23.0B	VS
IHS IHS Holding Ltd	55	42	63	63	-	-616.0%	48.0%	-96.1%	-	365.0x	$2.8B	VS
LHX L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. /DE/	55	50	52	66	37.5x	9.0%	25.5%	8.1%	10.3%	110.0x	$66.1B	VS
ESP ESPEY MFG & ELECTRONICS CORP	53	48	44	71	25.8x	12.8%	29.0%	17.1%	-11.7%	66.0x	$169M	VS
NYAX Nayax Ltd.	52	38	46	78	-	-13.6%	44.6%	-1.8%	-	30.0x	$2.2B	VS
ESE ESCO TECHNOLOGIES INC	52	49	40	69	65.6x	7.4%	40.8%	10.4%	16.3%	9.0x	$7.6B	VS
INTT INTEST CORP	52	50	32	72	-	-3.2%	43.1%	-3.1%	-22.8%	46.0x	$179M	VS
KARO Karooooo Ltd.	49	50	72	53	-	117.1%	69.5%	20.3%	-	10.0x	$1.6B	VS
MTC MMTec, Inc.	47	32	40	96	-	-1,370.8%	81.6%	-4,879.7%	-	120.0x	$136M	VS
CCLD CareCloud, Inc.	47	38	71	60	12.4x	18.5%	48.0%	9.6%	10.6%	47.0x	$154M	VS
BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.	27	22	22	32	403.0x	-49.1%	23.6%	-226.0%	-16.7%	17.0x	$1.6B

Key Ratio	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021
Gross Margin %	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Operating Margin %	-1.1%	-1.7%	-0.8%	-0.3%	-0.7%	-0.5%
EBITDA Margin %	-0.9%	-1.6%	-0.8%	-0.2%	-0.7%	-0.5%
Net Margin %	-2.3%	-2.3%	-1.9%	-0.4%	-0.8%	-0.8%
FCF Margin %	146.2%	-	-	-	-	-
ROE %	-0.5%	-0.5%	7,957.6%	89.7%	321.3%	-1.0%
ROA %	-0.3%	-0.3%	-0.9%	-0.3%	-0.6%	-0.3%
ROIC %	-0.2%	-23.5%	-79.5%	-24.1%	-55.8%	-19.6%

Key Ratio

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

Gross Margin %

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

Operating Margin %

-1.1%

-1.7%

-0.8%

-0.3%

-0.7%

-0.5%

EBITDA Margin %

-0.9%

-1.6%

-0.8%

-0.2%

-0.7%

-0.5%

Net Margin %

-2.3%

-1.9%

-0.4%

-0.8%

FCF Margin %

146.2%

ROE %

-0.5%

7,957.6%

89.7%

321.3%

-1.0%

ROA %

-0.3%

-0.9%

-0.3%

-0.6%

-0.3%

ROIC %

-0.2%

-23.5%

-79.5%

-24.1%

-55.8%

-19.6%

Line Item	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021
	$142M	$128M	$158M	$155M	$155M	$146M
	—	$99M	$113M	$115M	$112M	$112M
	$34M	$28M	$45M	$41M	$43M	$34M
Gross Margin	23.6%	22.3%	28.6%	26.2%	27.7%	23.4%
	—	$95M	$80M	$71M	$85M	$107M
Research & Development	—	$17M	—	$5M	$8M	$6M
Depreciation	—	$15M	$12M	$8M	$8M	$7M
Total Operating Expenses	—	$242M	$179M	$80M	$154M	$113M
	-$144M	-$214M	-$133M	-$39M	-$111M	-$78M
EBIT	-$144M	-$214M	-$133M	-$39M	-$111M	-$78M
EBITDA	-$129M	-$199M	-$122M	-$31M	-$103M	-$71M
Operating Margin	-107.6%	-167.5%	-84.3%	-25.2%	-71.3%	-53.9%
EBITDA Margin	-91.3%	-155.6%	-76.8%	-20.1%	-66.3%	-48.9%
	—	—	—	—	$14M	$8M
	—	-$316M	-$296M	-$60M	-$123M	-$122M
Income Tax Expense	—	-$22M	-$256K	$101K	-$2M	$1M
	-$300M	-$294M	-$296M	-$60M	-$122M	-$124M
Net Margin	-226.0%	-230.2%	-186.8%	-38.9%	-78.5%	-84.9%
	$-0.82	$-0.82	$-1.27	$-0.40	$-0.95	$-1.15
Diluted EPS	$-0.82	$-0.82	$-1.27	$-0.40	$-0.95	$-1.15
Weighted Avg Basic	—	359M	234M	149M	128M	107M
Weighted Avg Diluted	—	359M	234M	149M	128M	107M

Line Item

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

$142M

$128M

$158M

$155M

$146M

—

$99M

$113M

$115M

$112M

$34M

$28M

$45M

$41M

$43M

$34M

Gross Margin

23.6%

22.3%

28.6%

26.2%

27.7%

23.4%

—

$95M

$80M

$71M

$85M

$107M

Research & Development

—

$17M

—

$5M

$8M

$6M

Depreciation

—

$15M

$12M

$8M

$7M

Total Operating Expenses

—

$242M

$179M

$80M

$154M

$113M

-$144M

-$214M

-$133M

-$39M

-$111M

-$78M

EBIT

-$144M

-$214M

-$133M

-$39M

-$111M

-$78M

EBITDA

-$129M

-$199M

-$122M

-$31M

-$103M

-$71M

Operating Margin

-107.6%

-167.5%

-84.3%

-25.2%

-71.3%

-53.9%

EBITDA Margin

-91.3%

-155.6%

-76.8%

-20.1%

-66.3%

-48.9%

—

$14M

$8M

—

-$316M

-$296M

-$60M

-$123M

-$122M

Income Tax Expense

—

-$22M

-$256K

$101K

-$2M

$1M

-$300M

-$294M

-$296M

-$60M

-$122M

-$124M

Net Margin

-226.0%

-230.2%

-186.8%

-38.9%

-78.5%

-84.9%

$-0.82

$-1.27

$-0.40

$-0.95

$-1.15

Diluted EPS

$-0.82

$-1.27

$-0.40

$-0.95

$-1.15

Weighted Avg Basic

—

359M

234M

149M

128M

107M

Weighted Avg Diluted

—

359M

234M

149M

128M

107M

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Last updated: April 2026

Company Overview — What Does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Do?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides decision support analytics solutions for the defense, intelligence, federal civilian, manufacturing, supply chain, logistics, and commercial markets. Its solutions enable customers to catalog, curate, manage, automate, and visualize data feeds that can be leveraged to inform decision-making and create decision advantages in various operational environments. The company is headquartered in Columbia, Maryland. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is classified as a small-cap stock in the Technology sector, specifically within the Computer Software industry. The company is led by CEO Amanda Long and employs approximately 660 people. With a market capitalization of $1.6B, BBAI is one of the notable companies in the Technology sector.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Rating — Avoid (April 2026)

As of April 2026, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. receives a Avoid rating with a composite score of 26.9/100 and 1 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.BBAI ranks #4,040 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Technology sector, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ranks #506 of 584 stocks, placing it in the lower half of its Technology peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).

BBAI Stock Price and 52-Week Range

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) currently trades at $3.34. The stock gained $0.05 (1.5%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for BBAI is $9.39, which means the stock is currently trading -64.4% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $2.36, putting the stock 41.5% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 18.2M shares, indicating strong institutional interest and high liquidity.

Is BBAI Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) carries a value factor score of 22/100 in the Blank Capital model, signaling premium valuation that prices in significant future growth. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 403.00x, compared to the Technology sector average of 45.27x — a premium of 790%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 2.68x, versus the sector average of 3.16x. The price-to-sales ratio is 11.58x, compared to 1.06x for the average Technology stock.

At current multiples, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. trades at a premium to most Technology peers. This elevated valuation may be justified if the company can sustain above-average growth rates and profitability, but it also creates downside risk if earnings disappoint expectations.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) earns a quality factor score of 22/100, signaling below-average profitability metrics relative to the broader market. The return on equity (ROE) is -49.1%, compared to the Technology sector average of -1.4%, which is below typical expectations for high-quality companies. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at -33.6% versus the sector average of -1.0%.

On a margin basis, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reports gross margins of 23.6%, compared to 50.9% for the sector. The operating margin is -107.6% (sector: -0.5%). Net profit margin stands at -226.0%, versus -1.5% for the average Technology stock. Revenue growth is running at -16.7% on a trailing basis, compared to 14.2% for the sector. Profitability is below benchmark levels, which may reflect industry headwinds, elevated reinvestment, or structural challenges.

BBAI Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 17.0%, compared to the Technology sector average of 43.0%. The low leverage indicates a conservative balance sheet with significant financial flexibility. The current ratio is 1.78x, suggesting adequate working capital coverage. Total debt on the balance sheet is $107M. Cash and equivalents stand at $457M.

BBAI has a beta of 2.38, meaning it is more volatile than the broader market — a $10,000 investment in BBAI would be expected to move 138.3% more than the S&P 500 on any given day. The stability factor score for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is 16/100, suggesting elevated price swings that may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

In TTM 2026, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $142M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.82. Net income for the quarter was $-300M. Gross margin was 23.6%. Operating income came in at $-144M.

In FY 2025, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $128M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.82. Net income for the quarter was $-294M. Gross margin was 22.3%. Revenue grew -19.3% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $-214M.

In Q3 2025, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $33M and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01. Net income for the quarter was $3M. Gross margin was 22.4%. Revenue grew -20.1% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $-22M.

In Q2 2025, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $32M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.71. Net income for the quarter was $-229M. Gross margin was 25.0%. Revenue grew -18.4% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $-90M.

Over the past 8 quarters, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $40M to $142M. Investors analyzing BBAI stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.

BBAI Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) does not currently pay a dividend. This is common among smaller companies in the Computer Software industry that prefer to reinvest cash flows into business expansion rather than returning capital to shareholders. Income-focused investors looking for Technology dividend stocks may want to explore other Technology stocks or use the stock screener to filter by dividend yield.

BBAI Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has a momentum factor score of 32/100, signaling weak relative price performance. Stocks with low momentum scores have historically tended to continue underperforming in the near term. The investment factor score is 37/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 36/100 signals elevated short interest, which can indicate bearish sentiment among institutional investors.

BBAI vs Competitors — Technology Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

Within the Technology sector, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) ranks #506 out of 584 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places BBAI in the lower half of all Technology stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include IHS Holding Ltd (IHS) with a score of 55.0/100, VERISIGN INC/CA (VRSN) with a score of 56.0/100, ESCO TECHNOLOGIES INC (ESE) with a score of 51.7/100, CareCloud, Inc. (CCLD) with a score of 46.9/100, and MMTec, Inc. (MTC) with a score of 47.4/100.

Comparing BBAI against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full BBAI vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.

BBAI Next Earnings Date

No upcoming earnings date has been announced for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.

Should You Buy BBAI? — Investment Thesis Summary

The quantitative profile for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. suggests caution. The quality score of 22/100 flags below-average profitability. The value score of 22/100 indicates premium valuation. Momentum is weak at 32/100, a headwind for near-term performance. High volatility (stability score 16/100) increases portfolio risk.

In summary, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) earns a Avoid rating with a composite score of 26.9/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on BBAI stock.

Related Resources for BBAI Investors

Explore more research and tools: BBAI vs S&P 500 comparison, top Technology stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare BBAI head-to-head with peers: BBAI vs IHS, BBAI vs VRSN, BBAI vs ESE.

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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Company Overview — What Does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Do?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Rating — Avoid (April 2026)

BBAI Stock Price and 52-Week Range

Is BBAI Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

BBAI Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

BBAI Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

BBAI Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

BBAI vs Competitors — Technology Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

BBAI Next Earnings Date

Should You Buy BBAI? — Investment Thesis Summary

Related Resources for BBAI Investors

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