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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4063
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Restaurants, Hotels, Motels
$545M
Lee D. Fenton
Bally's Corporation engages in casinos and resorts, and online gaming businesses in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 14 casinos that comprise 14,900 slot machines, 500 game tables, and 3,900 hotel rooms. The company owns and manages Twin River Hotel in Lincoln, Rhode Island; Tiverton Casino & Hotel in. Delaware; Hard Rock Hotel & Casino in Biloxi, Mississippi; Vicksburg Casino in. Mississippi; Black Hawk hotel in Black Hawk, Colorado; Shreveport Casino in Louisiana; Lake Tahoe Casino Resort in Lake. Tahoe
Headcount
10.5K
HQ Base
Pending Verification
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = BALY ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$BALY Bally's Corp | 36 | 24 | 24 | 60 | - | 38.4x | -114.8% | -7.9% | 56.0% | -7.3% | -23.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 717.0x | $545M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
Bally's Corp (BALY) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 35.5/100. It ranks #4063 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for BALY.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 24 | 5 | +19ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 60 | 62 | -2NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 24 | 13 | +11ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 34 | 54 | -20DRAG |
| STABILITY | 28 | 20 | +8ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 13 | 1 | +12ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 0.0% vs WACC 5.8% (spread -5.7%)
GM 56% vs sector 37%, OM -7% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover 0.19x
Rev growth 7%, 7yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 45.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Bally's Corp (BALY) as Avoid with a composite score of 35.5/100 at a current price of $13.25. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Bally's Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 35.5/100 places it at rank #4063 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 56% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 717% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Bally's Corp represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Bally's Corp with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 35.5/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4063 of 7,333 stocks, BALY falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
Bally's Corp registers a weak quality score of just 24/100, indicating significant profitability challenges. The company reports a return on equity of -114.8% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 56.0% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of -23.2% (sector avg: 2.4%). Low quality scores are often associated with businesses in turnaround mode, early-stage growth, or structurally challenged industries.
BALY registers a value score of just 24/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 38.35x, a P/B ratio of 1.36x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
Bally's Corp's investment score of 34/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 6.8% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of -7.9% (sector: 3.6%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
BALY demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 60/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 6.8% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.32 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
BALY's stability score of 28/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.32 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 717.00x (sector avg: 0.7x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
Bally's Corp's short interest score of 13/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.32), elevated leverage (D/E: 717.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $545M (small-cap), BALY carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Bally's Corp is a small-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4063 of 7,333 overall (45th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -114.8% trailing the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of -7.3% below the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While BALY currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Short Int. (13) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 321% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 1297% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 50% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) is back in focus after reporting record 2025 results, beating fourth quarter funds from operations and revenue expectations, finalizing the Bally’s Lincoln acquisition, and affirming a quarterly dividend of $0.78 per share. See our latest analysis for Gaming and Leisure Properties. The record 2025 results and fresh Bally’s Lincoln deal come as Gaming and Leisure Properties’ share price has gained 9.8% over the past 90 days and 4.1% over the past month,...
WYOMISSING, Pa., Feb. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (NASDAQ: GLPI) (“GLPI” or the “Company”) today announced record results for the fourth quarter and year-ended December 31, 2025. GLPI has posted a supplemental earnings presentation, which highlights the events of the quarter, recent developments, and future considerations, that can be accessed at www.glpropinc.com. Financial Highlights Three Months Ended December 31, Year Ended December 31,(in millions, excep

Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) announced the acquisition of Bally's Lincoln real estate assets in Rhode Island for $700 million. The deal adds a fifth property to GLPI's Bally's Master Lease II agreement with an 8.0% capitalization rate and is expected to be immediately accretive to AFFO per share while maintaining leverage below target ranges.

While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Bally's (BALY) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended March 2024, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.