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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#767
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Shipping Containers
$15.8B
Daniel W. Fisher
Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries. The company also develops spacecraft, sensors and instruments, radio frequency systems, and other technologies for the civil, commercial, and national security aerospace markets. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and tests satellites, remote sensors, and ground station control hardware and software.
Headcount
21.0K
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = BALL ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BALL BALL Corp | 59 | 55 | 72 | 62 | 19.5x | 10.5x | 16.9% | 4.7% | 17.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 14.2% | 1.6% | 260.0x | $15.8B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
BALL Corp (BALL) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 59.2/100. It ranks #767 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Indianapolis, Colorado
Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for BALL.
View All RatingsROIC 13.1% vs WACC 7.2% (spread +5.9%)
GM 18% vs sector 44%, OM 8% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 1.98x
Rev growth 14%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 13.3x, Net debt/EBITDA 3.8x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate BALL Corp (BALL) as a Hold with a composite score of 59.2/100 at a current price of $66.89. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
BALL Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 59.2/100 places it at rank #767 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 14% and momentum in the 62th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
Narrow
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Returns on equity of 16.9% exceed cost of capital.
Value factor score of 72 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 260% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
BALL Corp represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns BALL Corp a Hold rating, with a composite score of 59.2/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #767 of 7,333 stocks, BALL presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 55/100, BALL shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 16.9% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 17.7% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 7.0% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
BALL carries a solid value score of 72/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 19.51x, an EV/EBITDA of 10.52x, a P/B ratio of 3.29x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
BALL Corp's investment score of 34/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 14.2% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 4.7% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
BALL demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 62/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 14.2% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.45 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
BALL Corp earns an excellent stability score of 86/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.45 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 260.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
The short interest score of 48/100 for BALL suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 260.00x). With a $15.8B market cap (large-cap), BALL Corp may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
BALL offers a modest dividend yield of 1.6%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
BALL Corp is a large-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #767 of 7,333 overall (90th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 16.9% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 8.3% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While BALL currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (86) vs Investment (34) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 8% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 987% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 60% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Ball (BALL) has been in focus after reporting fourth quarter and full year 2025 results alongside fresh 2026 guidance, combining detailed earnings figures with a projection for comparable diluted EPS growth of more than 10%. See our latest analysis for Ball. The recent earnings beat and 2026 guidance have arrived after a strong run in the share price, with a 30 day share price return of 19.99% and a 90 day share price return of 41.45%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 37.08% contrasts...
Amcor merged with Berry Global last April, creating a huge consumer and healthcare packaging portfolio and positioning it to realize high operating synergies.
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Exploring the Latest 13F Filing and Tepper's Investment Strategy
Ball Corporation (NYSE:BALL), the leading global provider of sustainable aluminum packaging for beverages, personal and home care products, will present at the Bank of America 2026 Global Agriculture and Materials Conference on February 26, 2026.