Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast
Company Overview — What Does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Do?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire management, relief and suppression, and firefighting services to federal and state government agencies in the United States. It offers fire suppression services, such as direct fire suppression aerial firefighting support services for ground crew to drop large amounts of water quickly and directly on wildfires. The company also provides aerial surveillance services, including fire suppression aircraft over an incident and tactical coordination with the incident commander through its manned and unmanned aircraft. It operates an aircraft fleet of 21 planes. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) is classified as a micro-cap stock in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Business Services industry. The company is led by CEO Timothy Sheehy and employs approximately 166 people, headquartered in BELGRADE, Montana. With a market capitalization of $111M, BAER is one of the notable companies in the Industrials sector.
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)
As of April 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 40.7/100 and 2 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.BAER ranks #2,442 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Industrials sector, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ranks #397 of 752 stocks, placing it in the lower half of its Industrials peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).
BAER Stock Price and 52-Week Range
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) currently trades at $2.21. The stock gained $0.03 (1.4%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for BAER is $3.44, which means the stock is currently trading -35.8% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $1.02, putting the stock 116.2% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 362K shares, suggesting relatively thin trading activity.
Is BAER Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) carries a value factor score of 46/100 in the Blank Capital model, indicating fair valuation relative to historical norms. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 2.51x, compared to the Industrials sector average of 28.33x — a discount of 91%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 1.32x, versus the sector average of 2.23x. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.65x, compared to 0.50x for the average Industrials stock. On an enterprise value basis, BAER trades at 5.04x EV/EBITDA, versus 5.70x for the sector.
Overall, BAER's valuation appears roughly in line with sector benchmarks, suggesting the market is pricing the stock fairly given its current fundamentals and growth trajectory. Neither deep value nor significantly overpriced, the stock occupies a middle ground on valuation.
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) earns a quality factor score of 29/100, signaling below-average profitability metrics relative to the broader market. The return on equity (ROE) is 96.5%, compared to the Industrials sector average of 8.9%, which demonstrates strong shareholder value creation. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at 14.1% versus the sector average of 3.3%.
On a margin basis, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. reports gross margins of 40.6%, compared to 35.8% for the sector. The operating margin is 15.4% (sector: 6.2%). Net profit margin stands at -1.3%, versus 3.9% for the average Industrials stock. Revenue growth is running at 421.6% on a trailing basis, compared to 6.4% for the sector. Profitability is below benchmark levels, which may reflect industry headwinds, elevated reinvestment, or structural challenges.
BAER Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 260.0%, compared to the Industrials sector average of 70.0%. This elevated leverage warrants close monitoring, as it increases the company's sensitivity to rising interest rates and economic downturns. The current ratio is 2.43x, indicating strong short-term liquidity. Total debt on the balance sheet is $222M. Cash and equivalents stand at $55M.
BAER has a beta of 1.30, meaning it is more volatile than the broader market — a $10,000 investment in BAER would be expected to move 30.2% more than the S&P 500 on any given day. The stability factor score for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is 30/100, suggesting elevated price swings that may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios.
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend
In TTM 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $179M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.42. Net income for the quarter was $47M. Gross margin was 40.6%. Operating income came in at $67M.
In FY 2025, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $123M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.42. Net income for the quarter was $4M. Gross margin was 42.1%. Revenue grew 24.6% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $4M.
In Q3 2025, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $68M and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.50. Net income for the quarter was $35M. Gross margin was 68.9%. Revenue grew 5.2% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $39M.
In Q2 2025, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $31M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.12. Net income for the quarter was $308,000. Gross margin was 39.2%. Revenue grew 136.3% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $6M.
Over the past 8 quarters, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $13M to $179M. Investors analyzing BAER stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.
BAER Dividend Yield and Income Analysis
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) does not currently pay a dividend. This is common among smaller companies in the Business Services industry that prefer to reinvest cash flows into business expansion rather than returning capital to shareholders. Income-focused investors looking for Industrials dividend stocks may want to explore other Industrials stocks or use the stock screener to filter by dividend yield.
BAER Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) has a momentum factor score of 61/100, reflecting neutral trend characteristics. The stock is neither significantly outperforming nor underperforming the broader market on a momentum basis. The investment factor score is 21/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 51/100 reflects moderate short selling activity.
BAER vs Competitors — Industrials Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison
Within the Industrials sector, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) ranks #397 out of 752 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places BAER in the lower half of all Industrials stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include South Bow Corp (SOBO) with a score of 56.5/100, TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD (TEN) with a score of 61.4/100, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock CORP (GLDD) with a score of 56.7/100, Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (TPH) with a score of 57.3/100, and Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. (CCO) with a score of 52.2/100.
Comparing BAER against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full BAER vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.
BAER Next Earnings Date
No upcoming earnings date has been announced for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.
Should You Buy BAER? — Investment Thesis Summary
The quantitative profile for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. suggests caution. The quality score of 29/100 flags below-average profitability. Price momentum is positive at 61/100, suggesting the trend favors buyers. High volatility (stability score 30/100) increases portfolio risk.
In summary, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) earns a Reduce rating with a composite score of 40.7/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on BAER stock.
Related Resources for BAER Investors
Explore more research and tools: BAER vs S&P 500 comparison, top Industrials stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare BAER head-to-head with peers: BAER vs SOBO, BAER vs TEN, BAER vs GLDD.