Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast
Company Overview — What Does Alto Neuroscience, Inc. Do?
We are a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a mission to redefine psychiatry by leveraging neurobiology to develop personalized and highly effective treatment options. Building on more than a decade of research by our founder, Dr. Amit Etkin, we aim to deeply understand brain function and match patients to the right medication more efficiently through the use of treatments that, if approved, are tailored to specific patient populations. As a result, we believe we can help patients avoid the often lengthy process of trying multiple ineffective treatments before finding one to which they respond, potentially helping patients get better faster. Through insights derived from our scalable and proprietary Precision Psychiatry Platform, or our Platform, which applies rigorous data science and robust analytics to data gathered by neurocognitive assessments, electroencephalography, and wearable devices, we aim to discover brain-based biomarkers to better identify which patients are more likely to respond to our novel product candidates. Our approach is designed to improve patient outcomes and increase the likelihood of clinical success and commercial impact of our product candidates by using neurobiological profiles to identify more homogeneous patient groups. We build upon and leverage vast data sets of longitudinal clinical and biomarker data from thousands of patients across central nervous system, or CNS, disorders, which we believe serves as a foundation for applying our approach across numerous patient populations. Ultimately, if we are successful, we believe our approach can substantially improve upon the traditional, all-comer approach to CNS drug development. Our current pipeline consists of five clinical-stage assets initially targeting major depressive disorder, or MDD, and schizophrenia populations characterized by independent brain-based biomarkers. Each of our clinical-stage product candidates has been evaluated through at least initial Phase 1 clinical trials and observed to be well tolerated. Our most advanced programs, including our two product candidates being evaluated in ongoing late-stage (Phase 2b or later) trials, are supported by prospectively replicated evidence of clinical activity in biomarker-characterized populations. We have successfully completed Phase 2a trials for our two most advanced product candidates, ALTO-100 and ALTO-300, in more than 200 patients each. In each of these trials, we identified patient populations more likely to respond based on objectively defined biomarker profiles, and then prospectively replicated these biomarker findings in independent datasets from within the same trial. We leveraged these biomarker findings to initiate a placebo-controlled, double-blind, randomized Phase 2b trial for each candidate in patients with MDD characterized by an objective biomarker. Specifically, in the ALTO-100 Phase 2b trial we are enrolling 266 patients with MDD characterized by a cognitive biomarker, and we expect to report topline data from this trial in the second half of 2024; and in the ALTO-300 Phase 2b trial we are enrolling 200 patients with MDD characterized by an electroencephalography, or EEG, biomarker, and we expect to report topline data from this trial in the first half of 2025. We estimate one or both of these two independent biomarkers are present in approximately three-quarters of the overall MDD population. In addition to our two most advanced programs, we expect to initiate Phase 2 proof-of-concept, or POC, trials evaluating ALTO-101 and ALTO-203 in the first half of 2024. ALTO-101 is being developed for patients with cognitive impairment associated with schizophrenia, or CIAS, and ALTO-203 is being developed for patients with MDD and higher levels of anhedonia, or the lack of motivation or pleasure. We expect to report topline data from these trials in 2025 and the first half of 2025, respectively. We also plan to develop ALTO-202, our novel, oral N-methyl-D-aspartate, or NMDA, receptor antagonist, for the treatment of patients with MDD. Our Platform and differentiated approach aim to disrupt the trial-and-error method that is currently standard practice in CNS drug development and clinical care. The data we leverage in connection with the development and application of our Platform comes from multiple sources, including proprietary research, commercial licenses, and publicly available databases. Data we have generated through our own clinical trials, combined with various data sets acquired through licenses or research collaborations, amount to approximately 250 terabytes of clinical and biomarker data, which have been used to develop and enhance our methodologies aimed at discovering predictive biomarkers. Our Platform and approach employ modern tools for measuring human neurobiology together with rigorous data science analytics to discover, and prospectively replicate, biomarker signatures. We use these signatures to identify drug responders, or patients that may demonstrate better clinical response to our novel product candidates. We believe this approach has the potential to increase the probability of clinical success by magnifying the impact of each product candidate, thereby yielding a differentiated drug profile. However, our approach to the discovery and development of product candidates based on our Platform is novel and has not been used for the approval of other CNS products. We currently anticipate that the modalities we use to define brain-based biomarkers, for some of our product candidates, may require us to develop and obtain FDA approval of a companion diagnostic for the accompanying product candidate. We expect to initiate discussions with the FDA concerning the development of companion diagnostics at our end of Phase 2 meetings with respect to ALTO-100 and ALTO-300. The modalities we use to define brain-based biomarkers include: • Computerized Neurocognitive Battery: Neurocognitive tasks have been used over many decades of neuropsychological assessment to help researchers understand cognitive functioning across core domains such as memory, processing speed, attention, and executive functioning. We have implemented digital versions of well-validated neurocognitive tasks in our proprietary battery, Spectra, which we use to test and characterize patients across cognitive domains. • Electroencephalogram (EEG): An EEG is a non-invasive test measuring electrical activity in the brain. While more commonly used to assess seizures, EEG has a long track record of sensitivity to clinically relevant brain wave patterns across neuropsychiatric disorders and treatments. We leverage machine learning to identify potentially useful features from EEG signals. • Wearable Devices: We use wearable devices to analyze patient sleep and activity patterns. Through correlating these patterns with drug intervention outcomes, we aim to derive biomarker signatures that may predict therapeutic responses. --- In addition to identifying likely drug responders, we deploy our Platform in early-stage clinical development aimed to robustly characterize drug effects on the human brain using these biomarker modalities, thereby informing dose and indication selection for later-stage clinical development in a patient population characterized by the applicable biomarker. Together with our process for identifying likely drug responders, our approach is meaningfully differentiated from traditional, all-comer CNS drug development, wherein often little is known about the effects of a drug on the human brain. The traditional approach has resulted in high rates of failure in CNS drug development across all phases of clinical development, with a 7.3% and 6.2% likelihood of approval from Phase 1 in psychiatry and neurology, respectively. With our differentiated approach, we aim to improve upon the high failure rates in late-stage clinical development in CNS through better characterizing our product candidates, and the populations we are targeting with them, early in development. Our Platform is unproven and clinical evidence to support our approach is preliminary and limited at this time, and, as such, there can be no guarantee that our approach will result in an increased rate of approval for our therapeutic candidates. Mental health conditions are a leading cause of disability globally. Current estimates suggest that over 50% of the U.S. population will be diagnosed with a psychiatric disorder during their lifetime, with an estimated $280 billion spent on mental health services in the United States in 2020. We believe limitations of currently available treatments, which are often ineffective in a large portion of patients, are a key driver of these rising costs. We believe better outcomes can be achieved through precision medications tailored specifically to address heterogenous alterations in brain functioning seen across individual patients within any psychiatric diagnosis. While personalized medicine has made significant advances in fields like oncology, neuropsychiatry drug development and patient treatment remain largely untargeted. The magnitude of the populations and clinical need within our two lead indications, MDD and schizophrenia, are significant. MDD is one of the most prevalent and incapacitating medical conditions, with an estimated 21 million, or 8.3% of, adults in the United States experiencing at least one major depressive episode in 2021. Despite the availability of approved medications, a significant majority of patients do not achieve adequate response after standard treatment protocols. Moreover, most antidepressants work through similar mechanisms, with little true innovation to address patients who do not respond to medications that primarily target monoamine neurotransmitters, such as serotonin and dopamine. Schizophrenia is a life-long, highly debilitating mental health disorder affecting approximately 2.8 million adults in the United States as of 2020. Currently available medications generally target positive symptoms of schizophrenia, and there are no approved medications for the cognitive and negative symptoms despite their prevalence and often strong correlation with functional impairment. Alto Neuroscience, Inc. was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware in March 2019. Our principal executive office is located at 369 South San Antonio Road, Los Altos, CA. Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) is classified as a small-cap stock in the Healthcare sector, specifically within the Pharmaceutical Products industry. The company is led by CEO Amit Etkin, headquartered in LOS ALTOS, California. With a market capitalization of $748M, ANRO is one of the notable companies in the Healthcare sector.
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) Stock Rating — Hold (April 2026)
As of April 2026, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 37.6/100 and 3 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.ANRO ranks #720 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Healthcare sector, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. ranks #48 of 838 stocks, placing it in the top 10% of its Healthcare peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).
ANRO Stock Price and 52-Week Range
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) currently trades at $22.40. The 52-week high for ANRO is $25.17, which means the stock is currently trading -11.0% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $1.60, putting the stock 1300.0% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 0 shares, suggesting relatively thin trading activity.
Is ANRO Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) carries a value factor score of 32/100 in the Blank Capital model, signaling premium valuation that prices in significant future growth. The price-to-book ratio stands at 6.11x, versus the sector average of 2.75x.
At current multiples, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. trades at a premium to most Healthcare peers. This elevated valuation may be justified if the company can sustain above-average growth rates and profitability, but it also creates downside risk if earnings disappoint expectations.
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) earns a quality factor score of 27/100, signaling below-average profitability metrics relative to the broader market. The return on equity (ROE) is -57.2%, compared to the Healthcare sector average of -43.5%, which is below typical expectations for high-quality companies. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at -43.4% versus the sector average of -33.1%.
Profitability is below benchmark levels, which may reflect industry headwinds, elevated reinvestment, or structural challenges.
ANRO Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 32.0%, compared to the Healthcare sector average of 32.0%. The low leverage indicates a conservative balance sheet with significant financial flexibility. The current ratio is 15.42x, indicating strong short-term liquidity. Total debt on the balance sheet is $20M. Cash and equivalents stand at $138M.
ANRO has a beta of 1.18, meaning it is roughly in line with the broader market in terms of price volatility. The stability factor score for Alto Neuroscience, Inc. is 27/100, suggesting elevated price swings that may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios.
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend
In TTM 2026, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. reported revenue of $0 and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.52. Net income for the quarter was $-64M. Operating income came in at $-68M.
In Q3 2025, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. reported revenue of $0 and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.52. Net income for the quarter was $-14M. Operating income came in at $-15M.
In Q2 2025, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. reported revenue of $0 and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.65. Net income for the quarter was $-18M. Operating income came in at $-19M.
In Q1 2025, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. reported revenue of $0 and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.56. Net income for the quarter was $-15M. Operating income came in at $-16M.
Over the past 8 quarters, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. has experienced revenue contraction from $0 to $0. Investors analyzing ANRO stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.
ANRO Dividend Yield and Income Analysis
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) does not currently pay a dividend. This is common among smaller companies in the Pharmaceutical Products industry that prefer to reinvest cash flows into business expansion rather than returning capital to shareholders. Income-focused investors looking for Healthcare dividend stocks may want to explore other Healthcare stocks or use the stock screener to filter by dividend yield.
ANRO Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) has a momentum factor score of 76/100, indicating strong price momentum with the stock outperforming the majority of the market over recent periods. Stocks with high momentum scores have historically tended to continue their outperformance in the near term. The investment factor score is 25/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 5/100 signals elevated short interest, which can indicate bearish sentiment among institutional investors.
ANRO vs Competitors — Healthcare Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison
Within the Healthcare sector, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) ranks #48 out of 838 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places ANRO in the top decile of all Healthcare stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include ASTRAZENECA PLC (AZN) with a score of 61.4/100, Sol-Gel Technologies Ltd. (SLGL) with a score of 56.6/100, VIEMED HEALTHCARE, INC. (VMD) with a score of 53.4/100, Innoviva, Inc. (INVA) with a score of 52.7/100, and JOHNSON & JOHNSON (JNJ) with a score of 51.7/100.
Comparing ANRO against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full ANRO vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how Alto Neuroscience, Inc. stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.
ANRO Next Earnings Date
No upcoming earnings date has been announced for Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.
Should You Buy ANRO? — Investment Thesis Summary
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. presents a balanced picture with arguments on both sides. The quality score of 27/100 flags below-average profitability. The value score of 32/100 indicates premium valuation. Price momentum is positive at 76/100, suggesting the trend favors buyers. High volatility (stability score 27/100) increases portfolio risk.
In summary, Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO) earns a Hold rating with a composite score of 37.6/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on ANRO stock.
Related Resources for ANRO Investors
Explore more research and tools: ANRO vs S&P 500 comparison, top Healthcare stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare ANRO head-to-head with peers: ANRO vs AZN, ANRO vs SLGL, ANRO vs VMD.