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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1948
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Retail
$8.2B
Michael M. Manley
AutoNation, Inc. operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Domestic, Import, and Premium Luxury. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 339 new vehicle franchises from 247 stores. Automotive finance and insurance products comprise vehicle services and other protection products.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = AN ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$AN AUTONATION, INC. | 50 | 49 | 64 | 58 | 10.6x | 5.2x | 28.3% | 4.6% | 18.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 515.0x | $8.2B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
AUTONATION, INC. (AN) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 50.4/100. It ranks #1948 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for AN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 49 | 57 | -8DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 58 | 59 | -1NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 64 | 71 | -7DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 24 | 11 | +13ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 74 | 80 | -6DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 45 | 46 | -1NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 18.0% vs WACC 6.0% (spread +12.0%)
GM 18% vs sector 37%, OM 5% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover 5.05x
Rev growth 9%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 13.4x, Net debt/EBITDA 4.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate AUTONATION, INC. (AN) as a Hold with a composite score of 50.4/100 at a current price of $197.98. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
AUTONATION, INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 50.4/100 places it at rank #1948 in our full universe.
Narrow
High
Poor
Undervalued
Returns on equity of 28.3% exceed cost of capital.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 515% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
AUTONATION, INC. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns AUTONATION, INC. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 50.4/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1948 of 7,333 stocks, AN presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 49/100, AN shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 28.3% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 18.0% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of 2.4% (sector avg: 2.4%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
AN's value score of 64/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 10.55x, an EV/EBITDA of 5.18x, a P/B ratio of 2.99x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
AUTONATION, INC.'s investment score of 24/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 8.6% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of 4.6% (sector: 3.6%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
AN demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 58/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 8.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.95 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
AN shows good financial stability with a score of 74/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.95 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 515.00x (sector avg: 0.7x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 45/100 for AN suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 515.00x). With a $8.2B market cap (mid-cap), AUTONATION, INC. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
AUTONATION, INC. is a mid-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1948 of 7,333 overall (73rd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 28.3% exceeding the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of 4.7% above the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While AN currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (74) vs Investment (24) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 43% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 195% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 52% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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