What is the rating for ALUR stock?

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (ALUR) has a "Avoid" rating based on our 6-factor quantitative model. It has a composite score of 30.8 and ranks #4477 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe with a 1-star rating.

Is ALUR a good stock to buy?

Based on our quantitative analysis, ALUR receives a "Avoid" rating with 1 out of 5 stars. Key factors include: Quality score of 39.6, Value score of 30.5, and Momentum score of 8.6. The timing score is 33, indicating "Bearish" entry conditions. This is not investment advice - please conduct your own research.

What sector is ALUR in?

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (ALUR) operates in the Manufacturing sector, specifically in the Medical Equipment industry. It has a market capitalization of $0.13 billion.

What is ALUR's P/E ratio?

P/E ratio data is not currently available for ALUR.

Does ALUR pay a dividend?

ALUR does not currently pay a dividend.

What is ALUR's market cap?

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (ALUR) has a market capitalization of $0.13 billion, making it a micro-cap stock.

What are the risks of investing in ALUR?

Key risk factors for ALUR include: higher volatility, and general market risk. As with all investments, there is risk of loss.

How does ALUR compare to peers?

Within the Manufacturing sector, ALUR ranks #4477 overall with a quality score of 39.6/100 and value score of 30.5/100.

What is ALUR's revenue growth?

ALUR has revenue growth of -77.4% year-over-year.

What is ALUR's composite score?

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (ALUR) has a composite score of 30.8/100, which places it at rank #4477 out of 7,333 stocks. This score is derived from our proprietary 6-factor quantitative model that evaluates quality, value, momentum, investment efficiency, stability, and short interest.

How does ALUR compare to the S&P 500?

ALUR ranks in the top 39% of all stocks in our coverage universe with a composite score of 30.8. This places it below the market median.

What are the bull and bear cases for ALUR?

Bull case: ALUR scores highest in short interest at 56.5/100, indicating strong performance in this area. Bear case: The weakest factor is momentum at 8.6/100, which may present a risk. Our overall assessment is Avoid with 1 out of 5 stars.

Is ALUR overvalued or undervalued?

ALUR appears overvalued based on our value factor score of 30.5/100.

What is ALUR's momentum score?

ALUR has a momentum score of 8.6/100, placing it in the weak category. This suggests recent price weakness and potential selling pressure.

When is ALUR's next earnings date?

For the latest earnings date and analysis for ALUR, visit our earnings calendar or check the ALUR stock page for real-time updates. Our AI-generated earnings reports provide in-depth analysis after each quarterly report.

Is ALUR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (ALUR) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 30.8/100. It is ranked #4477 out of 7,333 stocks. Key factor scores: Quality 40/100, Value 31/100, Momentum 9/100. The timing signal is "Bearish". This is quantitative analysis only — not investment advice.

What is the stock rating for ALUR?

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (ALUR) has a "Avoid" rating and 1-star score. The composite score of 30.8 ranks it #4477 among 7,333 U.S. stocks. Ratings are updated weekly using academically-proven factor models.

What sector is ALUR in?

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. operates in the Manufacturing sector (Medical Equipment industry) with a market cap of $132 million. It is classified as a micro-cap stock.

Does ALUR pay a dividend?

ALUR does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.

What is ALUR's P/E ratio?

P/E ratio data is not currently available for ALUR, which may indicate the company is not yet profitable.

How profitable is ALUR?

ALUR's quality factor score is 40/100. Gross margin: 63.9%. ROE: 44.1% vs sector average -2.5%. High margins suggest pricing power and competitive moats.

How is ALUR valued compared to peers?

ALUR's value factor score is 31/100 (higher = cheaper). Key multiples: . Trading at a premium relative to peers.

What is ALUR's debt level?

Debt data is not available for ALUR.

ALUR has a beta of 1.24, meaning it amplifies market moves. Stability score: 27/100.

Does ALUR have high short interest?

ALUR's short interest factor score is 57/100 (higher = less short selling). Moderate short interest.

ALUR Stock Analysis — ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. Price Target & Forecast 2026

Metric Entity	2024	2023	2022
Revenue	$32M39.9%	$53M16.7%	$64M
Cost of Revenue	$11M11.4%	$12M11.2%	$13M
Gross Profit	$22M48.2%	$41M18.2%	$51M
Operating Expenses	$72M40.5%	$121M45.7%	$83M
Operating Income	-$50M36.5%	-$79M147.0%	-$32M
EBITDA	$7M108.7%	-$78M142.7%	-$32M
Net Income	-$26M67.6%	-$81M113.6%	-$38M
EPS (Diluted)	$-11.64403.9%	$-2.3153.0%	$-1.51

Stock	Rating	Score▼	Quality	Value	Momentum	P/E	EV/EBITDA	ROE	ROA	Gross Mgn	Op Mgn	Net Mgn	Rev Growth	Div Yield	D/E	Mkt Cap	AUDIT
$UL UNILEVER PLC		78	96	98	59	-	-	28.5%	8.0%	100.0%	100.0%	10.4%	-4.6%	3.3%	0.0x	$141.8B	VS
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV		77	89	86	83	-	-	46.1%	16.6%	51.3%	31.9%	26.8%	-4.0%	1.0%	25.0x	$272.1B	VS
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD		76	81	87	85	-	-	10.3%	3.1%	24.1%	7.2%	4.7%	14.3%	0.8%	25.0x	$11.4B	VS
$MT ArcelorMittal		75	71	98	85	-	-	2.2%	1.5%	9.3%	5.3%	2.2%	-8.5%	2.2%	16.0x	$18.9B	VS
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE		75	85	87	84	20.9x	13.6x	35.5%	19.8%	48.7%	29.2%	24.7%	4.4%	0.8%	32.0x	$181.9B	VS
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP		75	84	86	85	-	-	11.8%	8.8%	45.9%	11.3%	11.1%	25.7%	3.7%	0.0x	$1.8B	VS
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc.		74	83	90	79	16.3x	11.9x	7.6%	7.0%	66.5%	17.1%	15.6%	39.0%	0.0%	0.0x	$115M	VS
$GSK GSK plc		74	84	90	70	-	-	22.6%	4.9%	71.2%	12.8%	9.4%	1.7%	5.9%	124.0x	$72.1B	VS
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd.		74	80	91	83	-	-	3.0%	1.1%	20.9%	7.3%	1.3%	3.0%	0.9%	67.0x	$1.2B	VS
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV		74	84	97	63	-	-	8.2%	3.5%	55.3%	25.9%	12.4%	0.7%	1.7%	0.0x	$87.0B	VS
$ALUR ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC.		31	40	31	9	-	-	44.1%	-125.9%	63.9%	-232.1%	-189.7%	-77.4%	0.0%	-	$132M
SECTOR BENCH	-	-	-	-	-	22.3x	11.5x	-2.5%	-0.1%	42.5%	1.3%	-0.2%	5.9%	0.0%	0.2x	-	REF

EQUITY RESEARCH REPORT

FEBRUARY 2026|BLANK CAPITAL CORE|SPOT: $1.30

AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)

Moat rating

No Moat31

Risk ProfileHigh

Capital StewardshipPoor

Valuation auditOvervalued

01EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Avoid

We rate ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (ALUR) as Avoid with a composite score of 30.8/100 at a current price of $1.30. The stock falls in the bottom quintile of our universe across key quantitative factors, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.

The rating is primarily driven by strength in quality (40th percentile) and investment (35th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in momentum (9th percentile) and stability (27th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (31/100), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.

Key items to watch: momentum to confirm whether the current price trend has legs; the path to profitability. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.

DATA AUDIT PERIOD: Q2 FY2025 FINANCIALS FILED SEP 30, 2025. DAILY FACTOR WEIGHTS APPLIED.

02STRATEGY & OUTLOOK

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 30.8/100 places it at rank #4477 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $132M in market capitalization, ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. is a small-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.

Revenue contraction of -77% combined with momentum at the 9th percentile paints a cautious picture of the near-term business outlook. The market appears to be pricing in continued challenges, and a catalyst for reversal is not clearly visible from current data.

The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 64% (+21.4pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of -232% (-233.4pp vs sector) and net margins of -189.7%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of -297%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.

03ECONOMIC MOAT

No Moat

MOAT INTENSITY AUDIT31/100

NONENARROWWIDE MOAT

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY SPREAD (ROIC vs WACC)

ROIC

-28.4%

WACC

6.0%

SPREAD

-34.4%

0%15%30% CAP-YIELD

PILLARSCORE

04VALUATION & DRIVERS

METRICENTITYSECTORSPREAD

P/EN/A22.3xN/A

P/BN/A2.6xN/A

P/S0.8x2.4x-68%

EV/EBITDAN/A11.5xN/A

At a current price of $1.30, ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. is trading at a premium to fundamental value. Our value factor score of 31/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The premium valuation implies the market is pricing in significant future growth or quality improvements that are not yet fully reflected in current fundamentals.

The stock currently trades at P/S of 0.8x. We evaluate these multiples in the context of both absolute levels and sector-relative positioning to form our valuation view.

05FINANCIAL HEALTH

METRICVALUESECTORSTATUS

Gross Margin64%43%STRONG

Operating Margin-232%1%CONCERN

Net Margin-189.7%-0.2%CONCERN

ROE44.1%-2.5%STRONG

ROA-125.9%-0.1%CONCERN

D/E

06RISK / REWARD VARIANCE

BULL THESIS

[1]

Gross margins of 64% signal strong pricing power and brand/IP advantages — businesses with margins above 40% have historically demonstrated more resilient earnings through economic cycles.

[2]

Returns on equity of 44.1% exceed the cost of equity for most companies, indicating genuine shareholder value creation and a reinvestment engine that compounds wealth over time.

BEAR THESIS

[1]

The Avoid rating (composite 30.8/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.

[2]

Revenue decline of -77% signals business deterioration — declining revenues make it difficult to grow into the current valuation and often precede further negative revisions.

[3]

Thin net margins of -189.7% provide limited cushion against cost pressures, competitive pricing, or macroeconomic headwinds — even small changes in costs could swing the company to a loss.

07RISK & UNCERTAINTY

High

We assign a High uncertainty rating to ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC.. Key risk factors include current negative profitability (net margin -189.7%), below-average price stability (27th percentile). The wide range of potential outcomes widens our fair value estimate and increases the possibility of permanent capital impairment. Investors considering this name should size positions accordingly and demand a meaningful margin of safety before initiating.

Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: current negative profitability (net margin -189.7%); below-average price stability (27th percentile). Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 27th percentile and quality factor at the 40th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.

Key risk mitigants include: healthy gross margins of 64% provide a buffer against cost pressures. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile warrants caution and disciplined position management.

08CAPITAL STEWARDSHIP

Poor

We rate ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC.'s capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include negative profitability, weak asset returns (ROA -125.9%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.

Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.

09RESEARCH VERDICT

Final RatingAvoid

Composite Score30.8/100

Universe Rank#4477 / 7,333

Moat ratingNo Moat (31)

UncertaintyHigh

EfficiencyPoor

In summary, ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. receives a Avoid rating with a composite score of 30.8/100 (rank #4477 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (31/100, trend: stable), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 28/100.

Our analysis does not support a constructive view on ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC. at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, high uncertainty, and poor capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.

10REGULATORY NOTICE

Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.

EQUITY RESEARCH REPORT

FEBRUARY 2026|BLANK CAPITAL CORE|SPOT: $1.30

AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)

Moat rating

No Moat31

Risk ProfileHigh

Capital StewardshipPoor

Valuation auditOvervalued

01EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Avoid

DATA AUDIT PERIOD: Q2 FY2025 FINANCIALS FILED SEP 30, 2025. DAILY FACTOR WEIGHTS APPLIED.

02STRATEGY & OUTLOOK

03ECONOMIC MOAT

No Moat

MOAT INTENSITY AUDIT31/100

NONENARROWWIDE MOAT

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY SPREAD (ROIC vs WACC)

ROIC

-28.4%

WACC

6.0%

SPREAD

-34.4%

0%15%30% CAP-YIELD

PILLARSCORE

04VALUATION & DRIVERS

METRICENTITYSECTORSPREAD

P/EN/A22.3xN/A

P/BN/A2.6xN/A

P/S0.8x2.4x-68%

EV/EBITDAN/A11.5xN/A

The stock currently trades at P/S of 0.8x. We evaluate these multiples in the context of both absolute levels and sector-relative positioning to form our valuation view.

05FINANCIAL HEALTH

METRICVALUESECTORSTATUS

Gross Margin64%43%STRONG

Operating Margin-232%1%CONCERN

Net Margin-189.7%-0.2%CONCERN

ROE44.1%-2.5%STRONG

ROA-125.9%-0.1%CONCERN

D/E

06RISK / REWARD VARIANCE

BULL THESIS

[1]

Gross margins of 64% signal strong pricing power and brand/IP advantages — businesses with margins above 40% have historically demonstrated more resilient earnings through economic cycles.

[2]

Returns on equity of 44.1% exceed the cost of equity for most companies, indicating genuine shareholder value creation and a reinvestment engine that compounds wealth over time.

BEAR THESIS

[1]

The Avoid rating (composite 30.8/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.

[2]

Revenue decline of -77% signals business deterioration — declining revenues make it difficult to grow into the current valuation and often precede further negative revisions.

[3]

Thin net margins of -189.7% provide limited cushion against cost pressures, competitive pricing, or macroeconomic headwinds — even small changes in costs could swing the company to a loss.

07RISK & UNCERTAINTY

High

08CAPITAL STEWARDSHIP

Poor

09RESEARCH VERDICT

Final RatingAvoid

Composite Score30.8/100

Universe Rank#4477 / 7,333

Moat ratingNo Moat (31)

UncertaintyHigh

EfficiencyPoor

ALUR

ALLURION TECHNOLOGIES, INC.

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01EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

02STRATEGY & OUTLOOK

03ECONOMIC MOAT

04VALUATION & DRIVERS

05FINANCIAL HEALTH

06RISK / REWARD VARIANCE

07RISK & UNCERTAINTY

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01EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

02STRATEGY & OUTLOOK

03ECONOMIC MOAT

04VALUATION & DRIVERS

05FINANCIAL HEALTH

06RISK / REWARD VARIANCE

07RISK & UNCERTAINTY

08CAPITAL STEWARDSHIP

09RESEARCH VERDICT

10REGULATORY NOTICE

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