IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Blank Capital Research ("BCR") is a technology platform, not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. The algorithmically generated signals, scores, and rankings provided on this site ("God Mode" Signals) are for informational and research purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or solicit an offer to buy any securities.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Air Lease Corporation (AL) is a leading aircraft leasing company. It focuses on purchasing new, fuel-efficient aircraft directly from manufacturers and leasing them to airlines globally.
Investment Thesis
Air Lease is an institutional-grade vehicle for playing the multi-decade growth in global air travel. The company's strategy of maintaining one of the youngest and most fuel-efficient fleets in the industry makes its aircraft highly desirable to airlines looking to lower their operating costs and carbon footprint. With a massive, multi-year orderbook at fixed prices, AL is protected from inflationary pressures in aircraft manufacturing. As airlines prioritize leasing over purchasing to maintain balance sheet flexibility, AL's high-margin, long-term lease revenue provides exceptional earnings visibility.
Key Growth Drivers
Modern Fleet Advantage
Owning the newest aircraft types ensures high utilization rates and strong residual values, as these planes are the last to be grounded during downturns.
Fixed-Price Orderbook
A massive backlog of aircraft on order at historical prices provides a significant competitive advantage as current aircraft prices soar.
Global Airline Diversification
A customer base spanning major airlines in every geographic region reduces exposure to localized economic shocks or travel restrictions.
Valuation & Financial Modeling
AL trades at an attractive multiple of its book value. Given the structural shortage of new aircraft and the company's strong credit rating, we view the stock as deeply undervalued relative to the replacement cost of its assets.
Risk Factors & Bear Case
A sudden and severe global recession would slow travel demand and increase the risk of airline lease defaults. Additionally, rising interest rates increase the company's cost of capital for future aircraft purchases.
Conclusion
Air Lease is a premier industrial financial institution. It offers low-volatility, asset-backed growth with significant long-term upside. Rated 'Buy'.
Upcoming Catalysts
No upcoming catalysts identified.
Unlock Investment Thesis
Sign up for free access to institutional-quality research tools.
Relative valuation derived from Industrials sector median benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Multiples adjusted for extreme outliers and non-recurring volatility.
Auditing capital efficiency...
Quality Profile Audit
Score: 40.6GRADE C
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation.
Return on Equity
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
11.9%
Sector: 8.9%
Dividend Analysis audit
GROWTH
1.38%
Trailing Yield
$1.38
Per $100 Invested
Modest dividend — capital prioritized for reinvestment.
Est. Payout Ratio
10%SAFE
Analyst Projections
Analyst Consensus
Unlock Valuation Tools
Sign up for free access to institutional-quality research tools.
Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, AIR LEASE CORP (AL) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 51.2/100, ranked #199 out of 4446 stocks. Key factor scores: Quality 41/100, Value 64/100, Momentum 54/100. This is quantitative analysis only — not investment advice.
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast
Company Overview — What Does AIR LEASE CORP Do?
Air Lease Corporation, an aircraft leasing company, engages in the purchase and leasing of commercial jet aircraft to airlines worldwide. It also sells aircraft from its operating lease portfolio to third parties, including other leasing companies, financial services companies, airlines, and other investors. In addition, the company provides fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios. As of December 31, 2021, it owned a fleet of 382 aircraft, including 278 narrowbody aircraft and 104 widebody aircraft. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California. AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is classified as a mid-cap stock in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Business Services industry. The company is led by CEO John L. Plueger and employs approximately 150 people, headquartered in LOS ANGELES, California. With a market capitalization of $7.3B, AL is one of the notable companies in the Industrials sector.
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Stock Rating — Hold (April 2026)
As of April 2026, AIR LEASE CORP receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 51.2/100 and 3 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.AL ranks #199 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Industrials sector, AIR LEASE CORP ranks #36 of 752 stocks, placing it in the top 10% of its Industrials peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).
AL Stock Price and 52-Week Range
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) currently trades at $64.61. The stock lost $0.10 (0.2%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for AL is $64.96, which means the stock is currently trading -0.5% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $38.25, putting the stock 68.9% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 1.6M shares, reflecting moderate market activity.
Is AL Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) carries a value factor score of 64/100 in the Blank Capital model, indicating fair valuation relative to historical norms. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 7.20x, compared to the Industrials sector average of 28.33x — a discount of 75%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 0.86x, versus the sector average of 2.23x. The price-to-sales ratio is 2.52x, compared to 0.50x for the average Industrials stock. On an enterprise value basis, AL trades at 21.21x EV/EBITDA, versus 5.70x for the sector.
Overall, AL's valuation appears roughly in line with sector benchmarks, suggesting the market is pricing the stock fairly given its current fundamentals and growth trajectory. Neither deep value nor significantly overpriced, the stock occupies a middle ground on valuation.
AIR LEASE CORP Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) earns a quality factor score of 41/100, signaling below-average profitability metrics relative to the broader market. The return on equity (ROE) is 11.9%, compared to the Industrials sector average of 8.9%, which is within a healthy range. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at 3.1% versus the sector average of 3.3%.
On a margin basis, AIR LEASE CORP reports gross margins of 100.0%, compared to 35.8% for the sector. The operating margin is 43.7% (sector: 6.2%). Net profit margin stands at 34.7%, versus 3.9% for the average Industrials stock. Revenue growth is running at 8.7% on a trailing basis, compared to 6.4% for the sector. Profitability is below benchmark levels, which may reflect industry headwinds, elevated reinvestment, or structural challenges.
AL Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health
AIR LEASE CORP has a debt-to-equity ratio of 233.0%, compared to the Industrials sector average of 70.0%. This elevated leverage warrants close monitoring, as it increases the company's sensitivity to rising interest rates and economic downturns. The current ratio is 1.35x, suggesting adequate working capital coverage. Total debt on the balance sheet is $19.73B. Cash and equivalents stand at $452M.
AL has a beta of 0.97, meaning it is roughly in line with the broader market in terms of price volatility. The stability factor score for AIR LEASE CORP is 84/100, indicating low-volatility characteristics and consistent price behavior that appeals to risk-averse investors.
AIR LEASE CORP Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend
In TTM 2026, AIR LEASE CORP reported revenue of $2.89B and earnings per share (EPS) of $9.35. Net income for the quarter was $1.01B. Operating income came in at $1.27B.
In FY 2025, AIR LEASE CORP reported revenue of $3.02B and earnings per share (EPS) of $9.35. Net income for the quarter was $1.09B. Revenue grew 10.3% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $1.37B.
In Q3 2025, AIR LEASE CORP reported revenue of $725M and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.21. Net income for the quarter was $146M. Revenue grew 5.1% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $185M.
In Q2 2025, AIR LEASE CORP reported revenue of $732M and earnings per share (EPS) of $3.35. Net income for the quarter was $385M. Revenue grew 9.7% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $487M.
Over the past 8 quarters, AIR LEASE CORP has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $667M to $2.89B. Investors analyzing AL stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.
AL Dividend Yield and Income Analysis
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) currently pays a dividend yield of 1.4%. At this yield, a $10,000 investment in AL stock would generate approximately $$138.00 in annual dividend income. With a net margin of 34.7%, the dividend appears well-covered by earnings, suggesting sustainable payouts going forward.
AL Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a momentum factor score of 54/100, reflecting neutral trend characteristics. The stock is neither significantly outperforming nor underperforming the broader market on a momentum basis. The investment factor score is 30/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 48/100 reflects moderate short selling activity.
AL vs Competitors — Industrials Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison
Comparing AL against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full AL vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how AIR LEASE CORP stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.
AL Next Earnings Date
No upcoming earnings date has been announced for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.
Should You Buy AL? — Investment Thesis Summary
AIR LEASE CORP presents a balanced picture with arguments on both sides. The value score of 64/100 suggests attractive pricing relative to fundamentals. Low volatility (stability score 84/100) reduces downside risk.
In summary, AIR LEASE CORP (AL) earns a Hold rating with a composite score of 51.2/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on AL stock.
We'll email you when stocks you follow change their composite rating.
Execution Benchmarks audit
Revenue Growth
YOY expansion rate
8.7%
Sector: 6.4%
+37% VS SCTR
Gross Margin
Core pricing power
100.0%
Sector: 35.8%
+179% VS SCTR
Operating Margin
Operating efficiency
43.7%
Sector: 6.2%
+601% VS SCTR
Net Margin
Bottom-line conversion
34.7%
Sector: 3.9%
+798% VS SCTR
Return on Equity
Equity capital efficiency
11.9%
Sector: 8.9%
+33% VS SCTR
Return on Assets
Asset base utilization
3.1%
Sector: 3.3%
IN LINE
Debt/Equity
Financial leverage load
233.0%
Sector: 70.0%
-233% VS SCTR
Dividend Yield
Direct cash return
1.4%
Sector: 0.0%
+Infinity% VS SCTR
-61%
Price / Sales
2.5x
+404%
AIR LEASE CORP exhibits a 135% valuation premium relative to institutional benchmarks. This represents a potential valuation overextension based on current multiples.
Return on Assets
Efficiency of asset utilization
3.1%
Sector: 3.3%
Gross Margin
Pricing power and cost efficiency
100.0%
Sector: 35.8%
Operating Margin
Core business profitability
43.7%
Sector: 6.2%
Net Margin
Bottom-line profitability
34.7%
Sector: 3.9%
Factor Methodology
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior competitive moats and financial resilience through economic cycles.
Sector Avg Yield0.00%
Yield Delta—
Income Projection audit
A $10,000 investment would generate approximately $138 annually in dividends at the current trailing rate.