Is AAL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 43.6/100. It is ranked #2,782 out of 4,446 stocks. Key factor scores: Quality 41/100, Value 61/100, Momentum 40/100. The timing signal is "Bearish". This is quantitative analysis only — not investment advice.

What is the stock rating for AAL?

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) has a "Reduce" rating and 2-star score. The composite score of 43.6 ranks it #2,782 among 4,446 U.S. stocks. Ratings are updated weekly using academically-proven factor models.

What sector is AAL in?

American Airlines Group Inc. operates in the Industrials sector (Transportation industry) with a market cap of $7.35 billion. It is classified as a mid-cap stock.

Does AAL pay a dividend?

AAL does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.

What is AAL's P/E ratio?

AAL has a trailing P/E ratio of 66.88x. The Industrials sector average is 28.3x. This above-average P/E reflects growth expectations or premium valuation.

How profitable is AAL?

AAL's quality factor score is 41/100. Gross margin: 27.4%. Margins are moderate to low, reflecting competitive market dynamics.

How is AAL valued compared to peers?

AAL's value factor score is 61/100 (higher = cheaper). Key multiples: P/E 66.9x, EV/EBITDA 10.4x. The stock appears attractively valued versus peers.

What is AAL's debt level?

Debt data is not available for AAL.

AAL has a beta of 1.82, meaning it amplifies market moves. Stability score: 43/100.

Does AAL have high short interest?

AAL's short interest factor score is 42/100 (higher = less short selling). Elevated short interest may indicate bearish sentiment or short squeeze potential.

AAL Stock Analysis: Top Mid-Cap Reduce (Score 43.6/100) | Blank Capital Research

Data Series	1D	5D	1M	YTD	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y
AAL	-0.44%	+4.43%	+1.89%	-26.16%	+19.03%	-	-	-
Industry Proxy XLI	-0.39%	+4.73%	+0.88%	+10.57%	+38.89%	-	-	-
U.S. Market SPY	-0.07%	+3.60%	+0.34%	-0.36%	+29.52%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Market	-0.37%	+0.82%	+1.55%	-25.80%	-10.49%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Sector	-0.05%	-0.30%	+1.01%	-36.73%	-19.86%	-	-	-

Metric	AAL	Benchmark
P/E Ratio	66.9x	+136%
EV/EBITDA	10.4x	+83%
Price / Book	—

Stock Entity	Score▼	Quality	Value	Momentum	P/E Ratio	ROE	Gross Margin	Net Margin	Rev Growth	D/E Ratio	Market Cap	Compare
STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc.	64	43	96	73	-	93.3%	63.1%	53.8%	-	30.0x	$3.8B	VS
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD.	62	50	97	71	6.4x	91.9%	67.0%	32.8%	-	0.0x	$2.5B	VS
TEN TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD	61	50	86	75	7.6x	42.1%	97.8%	22.6%	-	103.0x	$1.2B	VS
HAFN Hafnia Ltd	60	42	79	77	-	439.1%	48.5%	27.0%	-	0.0x	$3.8B	VS
TPH Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.	57	50	67	66	13.6x	8.8%	47.5%	7.9%	-26.0%	50.0x	$4.0B	VS
GLDD Great Lakes Dredge & Dock CORP	57	50	69	70	16.3x	13.5%	22.2%	8.1%	14.8%	73.0x	$1.1B	VS
SOBO South Bow Corp	57	39	79	66	22.0x	48.4%	82.3%	14.9%	-	219.0x	$6.8B	VS
IMPP Imperial Petroleum Inc./Marshall Islands	54	44	98	58	2.8x	47.7%	100.0%	34.0%	-19.7%	0.0x	$156M	VS
CCO Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.	52	48	58	69	59.3x	-	53.4%	-0.3%	7.7%	-	$1.2B	VS
IMXI International Money Express, Inc.	52	50	73	52	11.6x	25.5%	0.0%	6.4%	-9.7%	221.0x	$476M	VS
AAL American Airlines Group Inc.	44	41	61	40	66.9x	-	27.4%	-0.4%	-4.5%	-	$7.3B

Key Ratio	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
Gross Margin %	0.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.4%
Operating Margin %	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	-0.0%	-0.6%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
EBITDA Margin %	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-0.5%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%
Net Margin %	-0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.1%	-0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
FCF Margin %	1.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-49.0%	-17.7%	-0.5%	-2.9%	2.0%
ROE %	3.7%	-3.0%	-21.3%	-15.8%	-2.2%	27.2%	129.4%	-1,428.8%	-835.5%	-246.0%	0.7%
ROA %	-0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0%	-0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
ROIC %	0.0%	5.5%	10.0%	10.1%	4.9%	-3.0%	-32.3%	10.1%	8.7%	13.4%	15.0%

Key Ratio

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Gross Margin %

0.3%

-0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

Operating Margin %

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.6%

0.1%

EBITDA Margin %

0.1%

0.0%

-0.5%

0.1%

0.2%

Net Margin %

-0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.1%

FCF Margin %

1.0%

-49.0%

-17.7%

-0.5%

-2.9%

2.0%

ROE %

3.7%

-3.0%

-21.3%

-15.8%

-2.2%

27.2%

129.4%

-1,428.8%

-835.5%

-246.0%

0.7%

ROA %

-0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

ROIC %

0.0%

5.5%

10.0%

10.1%

4.9%

-3.0%

-32.3%

10.1%

8.7%

13.4%

15.0%

Line Item	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
	$54.3B	$54.6B	$54.2B	$52.8B	$49.0B	$29.9B	$17.3B	$45.8B	$44.5B	$42.2B	$40.2B	$41.0B
	$3.8B	—	—	—	—	—	-$3.2B	$15.8B	$13.8B	$14.6B	$13.4B	$16.1B
Gross Margin	27.4%	---	---	---	---	---	-18.4%	34.5%	31.0%	34.8%	37.4%	39.3%
	—	$1.9B	$1.9B	$1.9B	$2.0B	$2.0B	$2.4B	$0	$2.2B	$1.9B	$1.7B	$1.5B
Total Operating Expenses	—	$53.2B	$51.6B	$49.8B	$47.4B	$30.9B	—	—	—	—	—	—
	$1.1B	$1.5B	$2.6B	$3.0B	$1.6B	-$1.1B	-$10.4B	$3.1B	$2.7B	$4.1B	$5.3B	$6.2B
EBIT	$1.1B	$1.5B	$2.6B	$3.0B	$1.6B	-$1.1B	-$10.4B	$3.1B	$2.7B	$4.1B	$5.3B	$6.2B
EBITDA	$3.1B	$3.4B	$4.5B	$5.0B	$3.6B	$960M	-$7.9B	$5.5B	$5.0B	$6.1B	$6.8B	$6.9B
Operating Margin	1.9%	2.7%	4.8%	5.8%	3.3%	-3.5%	-60.1%	6.7%	6.0%	9.9%	12.6%	15.1%
EBITDA Margin	5.6%	6.1%	8.4%	9.4%	7.3%	3.2%	-45.5%	12.1%	11.2%	14.3%	16.9%	16.9%
	—	—	—	$2.1B	$2.0B	$1.8B	$1.2B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$991M	$880M
	—	$190M	$1.2B	$1.1B	$186M	-$2.5B	—	—	—	—	—	—
Income Tax Expense	—	$79M	$308M	$299M	$59M	-$555M	-$2.6B	$570M	$472M	$1.2B	$1.6B	-$3.0B
	-$137M	$111M	$846M	$822M	$127M	-$2.0B	-$8.9B	$1.7B	$1.4B	$1.9B	$2.7B	$7.6B
Net Margin	-0.4%	0.2%	1.6%	1.6%	0.3%	-6.7%	-51.2%	3.7%	3.2%	3.0%	6.4%	18.6%
	$0.17	$0.17	$1.29	$1.26	$0.20	$-3.09	$-18.36	$3.80	$3.04	$3.92	$4.85	$11.39
Diluted EPS	$0.17	$0.17	$1.24	$1.21	$0.19	$-3.09	$-18.36	$3.80	$3.04	$3.92	$4.85	$11.39
Weighted Avg Basic	—	660M	657M	654M	650M	644M	—	—	—	—	—	—
Weighted Avg Diluted	—	661M	721M	720M	655M	644M	—	—	—	—	—	—

Line Item

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

$54.3B

$54.6B

$54.2B

$52.8B

$49.0B

$29.9B

$17.3B

$45.8B

$44.5B

$42.2B

$40.2B

$41.0B

$3.8B

—

-$3.2B

$15.8B

$13.8B

$14.6B

$13.4B

$16.1B

Gross Margin

27.4%

---

-18.4%

34.5%

31.0%

34.8%

37.4%

39.3%

—

$1.9B

$2.0B

$2.4B

$2.2B

$1.9B

$1.7B

$1.5B

Total Operating Expenses

—

$53.2B

$51.6B

$49.8B

$47.4B

$30.9B

—

$1.1B

$1.5B

$2.6B

$3.0B

$1.6B

-$1.1B

-$10.4B

$3.1B

$2.7B

$4.1B

$5.3B

$6.2B

EBIT

$1.1B

$1.5B

$2.6B

$3.0B

$1.6B

-$1.1B

-$10.4B

$3.1B

$2.7B

$4.1B

$5.3B

$6.2B

EBITDA

$3.1B

$3.4B

$4.5B

$5.0B

$3.6B

$960M

-$7.9B

$5.5B

$5.0B

$6.1B

$6.8B

$6.9B

Operating Margin

1.9%

2.7%

4.8%

5.8%

3.3%

-3.5%

-60.1%

6.7%

6.0%

9.9%

12.6%

15.1%

EBITDA Margin

5.6%

6.1%

8.4%

9.4%

7.3%

3.2%

-45.5%

12.1%

11.2%

14.3%

16.9%

—

$2.1B

$2.0B

$1.8B

$1.2B

$1.1B

$991M

$880M

—

$190M

$1.2B

$1.1B

$186M

-$2.5B

—

Income Tax Expense

—

$79M

$308M

$299M

$59M

-$555M

-$2.6B

$570M

$472M

$1.2B

$1.6B

-$3.0B

-$137M

$111M

$846M

$822M

$127M

-$2.0B

-$8.9B

$1.7B

$1.4B

$1.9B

$2.7B

$7.6B

Net Margin

-0.4%

0.2%

1.6%

0.3%

-6.7%

-51.2%

3.7%

3.2%

3.0%

6.4%

18.6%

$0.17

$1.29

$1.26

$0.20

$-3.09

$-18.36

$3.80

$3.04

$3.92

$4.85

$11.39

Diluted EPS

$0.17

$1.24

$1.21

$0.19

$-3.09

$-18.36

$3.80

$3.04

$3.92

$4.85

$11.39

Weighted Avg Basic

—

660M

657M

654M

650M

644M

—

Weighted Avg Diluted

—

661M

721M

720M

655M

644M

—

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Last updated: April 2026

Company Overview — What Does American Airlines Group Inc. Do?

American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a mainline fleet of 865 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is classified as a mid-cap stock in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Transportation industry. The company is led by CEO Robert D. Isom and employs approximately 129,700 people, headquartered in FORT WORTH, Texas. With a market capitalization of $7.3B, AAL is one of the notable companies in the Industrials sector.

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)

As of April 2026, American Airlines Group Inc. receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 43.6/100 and 2 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.AAL ranks #2,782 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Industrials sector, American Airlines Group Inc. ranks #462 of 752 stocks, placing it in the lower half of its Industrials peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).

AAL Stock Price and 52-Week Range

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) currently trades at $11.33. The stock lost $0.04 (0.4%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for AAL is $16.50, which means the stock is currently trading -31.3% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $8.50, putting the stock 33.3% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 31.9M shares, indicating strong institutional interest and high liquidity.

Is AAL Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) carries a value factor score of 61/100 in the Blank Capital model, indicating fair valuation relative to historical norms. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 66.88x, compared to the Industrials sector average of 28.33x — a premium of 136%. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.13x, compared to 0.50x for the average Industrials stock. On an enterprise value basis, AAL trades at 10.42x EV/EBITDA, versus 5.70x for the sector.

Overall, AAL's valuation appears roughly in line with sector benchmarks, suggesting the market is pricing the stock fairly given its current fundamentals and growth trajectory. Neither deep value nor significantly overpriced, the stock occupies a middle ground on valuation.

American Airlines Group Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) earns a quality factor score of 41/100, signaling below-average profitability metrics relative to the broader market. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at -0.2% versus the sector average of 3.3%.

On a margin basis, American Airlines Group Inc. reports gross margins of 27.4%, compared to 35.8% for the sector. The operating margin is 1.9% (sector: 6.2%). Net profit margin stands at -0.4%, versus 3.9% for the average Industrials stock. Revenue growth is running at -4.5% on a trailing basis, compared to 6.4% for the sector. Profitability is below benchmark levels, which may reflect industry headwinds, elevated reinvestment, or structural challenges.

AAL Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

Balance sheet data for AAL is evaluated through our stability factor. The current ratio is 0.50x, which may signal near-term liquidity tightness. Total debt on the balance sheet is $24.64B. Cash and equivalents stand at $835M.

AAL has a beta of 1.82, meaning it is more volatile than the broader market — a $10,000 investment in AAL would be expected to move 82.0% more than the S&P 500 on any given day. The stability factor score for American Airlines Group Inc. is 43/100, reflecting average volatility within the normal range for its sector.

American Airlines Group Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

In TTM 2026, American Airlines Group Inc. reported revenue of $54.28B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.17. Net income for the quarter was $-137M. Gross margin was 27.4%. Operating income came in at $1.10B.

In FY 2025, American Airlines Group Inc. reported revenue of $54.63B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.17. Net income for the quarter was $111M. Revenue grew 0.8% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $1.47B.

In Q3 2025, American Airlines Group Inc. reported revenue of $13.69B and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.17. Net income for the quarter was $-114M. Gross margin was 27.4%. Revenue grew 0.3% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $151M.

In Q2 2025, American Airlines Group Inc. reported revenue of $14.39B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91. Net income for the quarter was $599M. Revenue grew 0.4% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $1.14B.

Over the past 8 quarters, American Airlines Group Inc. has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $14.33B to $54.28B. Investors analyzing AAL stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.

AAL Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) does not currently pay a dividend. This is common among smaller companies in the Transportation industry that prefer to reinvest cash flows into business expansion rather than returning capital to shareholders. Income-focused investors looking for Industrials dividend stocks may want to explore other Industrials stocks or use the stock screener to filter by dividend yield.

AAL Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) has a momentum factor score of 40/100, reflecting neutral trend characteristics. The stock is neither significantly outperforming nor underperforming the broader market on a momentum basis. The investment factor score is 35/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 42/100 reflects moderate short selling activity.

AAL vs Competitors — Industrials Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

Within the Industrials sector, American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) ranks #462 out of 752 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places AAL in the lower half of all Industrials stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include South Bow Corp (SOBO) with a score of 56.5/100, TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD (TEN) with a score of 61.4/100, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock CORP (GLDD) with a score of 56.7/100, Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (TPH) with a score of 57.3/100, and Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. (CCO) with a score of 52.2/100.

Comparing AAL against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full AAL vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how American Airlines Group Inc. stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.

AAL Next Earnings Date

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is scheduled to report earnings on April 23, 2026 for Q1 2026. Analysts estimate EPS of $-0.45. Revenue is estimated at $13.79B.Investors can track all upcoming reports on the earnings calendar.

Should You Buy AAL? — Investment Thesis Summary

The quantitative profile for American Airlines Group Inc. suggests caution. The value score of 61/100 suggests attractive pricing relative to fundamentals.

In summary, American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) earns a Reduce rating with a composite score of 43.6/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on AAL stock.

Related Resources for AAL Investors

Explore more research and tools: AAL vs S&P 500 comparison, top Industrials stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare AAL head-to-head with peers: AAL vs SOBO, AAL vs TEN, AAL vs GLDD.

Business quality

Valuation edge

Market alpha

Unlock Investment Thesis

Unlock Performance & Technicals

Unlock Valuation Tools

Institutional peer matrix

Dispersion: efficiency vs. valuation

Lateral intelligence network

Unlock Financial Statements

Unlock Ownership & Management

Intelligence Feed

Airfares Skyrocket as Carriers Tackle Rising Fuel Costs

American Airlines Group announces webcast of first-quarter 2026 financial results

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Lower Pre-Bell Thursday as Fragile Middle East Ceasefire Lifts Oil Prices

Airlines are raising checked bag fees. Here's how to avoid paying with credit cards

Techint dice culmina sistema de impulsin de agua para desaladora de mina chilena Collahuasi

Unlock Earnings Transcripts

Institutional Intelligence FAQ

Related Research & Tools

Related Industrials Stocks

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Company Overview — What Does American Airlines Group Inc. Do?

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)

AAL Stock Price and 52-Week Range

Is AAL Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

American Airlines Group Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

AAL Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

American Airlines Group Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

AAL Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

AAL Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

AAL vs Competitors — Industrials Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

AAL Next Earnings Date

Should You Buy AAL? — Investment Thesis Summary

Related Resources for AAL Investors

Comments

Institutional Benchmarks

Related research

Get alerted on rating changes

Intelligence Feed

Airfares Skyrocket as Carriers Tackle Rising Fuel Costs

American Airlines Group announces webcast of first-quarter 2026 financial results

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Lower Pre-Bell Thursday as Fragile Middle East Ceasefire Lifts Oil Prices

Airlines are raising checked bag fees. Here's how to avoid paying with credit cards

Techint dice culmina sistema de impulsin de agua para desaladora de mina chilena Collahuasi