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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1191
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Machinery
$201M
John H. Batten
Twin Disc, Incorporated designs, manufactures, and sells marine and heavy duty off-highway power transmission equipment. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Distribution. The company sells its products through a direct sales force and distributor network to customers primarily in the pleasure craft, commercial, and military marine markets.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = TWIN ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TWIN TWIN DISC INC | 56 | 53 | 56 | 72 | 11.3x | 32.1x | 11.7% | 5.7% | 26.1% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 23.7% | 1.1% | 24.0x | $201M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 55.6/100. It ranks #1191 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for TWIN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 53 | 49 | +4NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 72 | 77 | -5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 56 | 47 | +9ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 33 | 52 | -19DRAG |
| STABILITY | 45 | 35 | +10ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 85 | 93 | -8DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 11.7% (sector -1.9%)
GM 26% vs sector 44%, OM 3% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 24%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) as a Hold with a composite score of 55.6/100 at a current price of $17.56. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
TWIN DISC INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 55.6/100 places it at rank #1191 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 24% and momentum in the 72th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
Narrow
Medium
Standard
Fair Value
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
TWIN DISC INC represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns TWIN DISC INC a Hold rating, with a composite score of 55.6/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1191 of 7,333 stocks, TWIN presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 53/100, TWIN shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 11.7% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 26.1% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 6.0% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
TWIN's value score of 56/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 11.30x, an EV/EBITDA of 32.15x, a P/B ratio of 1.33x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
TWIN DISC INC's investment score of 33/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 23.7% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 5.7% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
TWIN shows strong momentum characteristics with a score of 72/100. The stock has been trending above key moving averages, indicating solid demand from institutional buyers. Revenue growth stands at 23.7% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.39 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. This level of momentum typically signals sustained investor confidence and favorable near-term price action.
With a stability score of 45/100, TWIN exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.39 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 24.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
TWIN's short interest factor score of 85/100 indicates very low short selling activity relative to peers — a positive signal suggesting institutional investors see limited near-term downside. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.39), elevated leverage (D/E: 24.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. As a micro-cap company with a market capitalization of $201M, TWIN DISC INC benefits from the generally lower volatility and deeper liquidity associated with its size class.
TWIN offers a modest dividend yield of 1.1%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
TWIN DISC INC is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1191 of 7,333 overall (84th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 11.7% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 2.6% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While TWIN currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Short Int. (85) vs Investment (33) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 181% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 718% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 41% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Discover why Zacks rates Twin Disc with a "Neutral" recommendation, being the first on Wall Street to initiate coverage on the stock. Explore Twin Disc's strategic acquisition, robust financial performance and innovative solutions balanced against niche market risks and rising costs.
Jeffrey S. Knutson: Welcome to the Twin Disc, Incorporated Fiscal Second Quarter 2026 Conference Call. We will begin with introductory remarks from Jeffrey S. Knutson, Twin Disc
Twin Disc (TWIN) Q2 2026 earnings call recap: record $175M backlog, defense growth, tariff impacts and margin outlook.
Twin Disc (NASDAQ:TWIN) executives told investors the company’s fiscal 2026 second quarter reflected resilient demand across several end markets, but also highlighted shipment timing issues tied to tariffs and a handful of non-recurring operational items that pressured profitability metrics. Managem
Twin Disc, Inc. (NASDAQ: TWIN) announced that its Board of Directors approved a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.04 per share, payable on March 2, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 18, 2026.