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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#481
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Steel Works
$280M
John M. Steitz
Tredegar Corporation manufactures and sells aluminum extrusions, polyethylene (PE) films, and polyester films. The PE Films segment offers single- and multi-layer surface protection films for protecting components of flat panel displays that are used in televisions, monitors, notebooks, smart phones, tablets, e-readers, and digital signage. The Flexible Packaging Films segment provides thin-gauge films as overwrap for bathroom tissue and paper towels.
Headcount
2.4K
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = TG ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TG TREDEGAR CORP | 62 | 70 | 89 | 51 | 20.5x | 4.6x | 7.4% | 4.0% | 16.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 33.5% | 0.0% | 87.0x | $280M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
TREDEGAR CORP (TG) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 62.3/100. It ranks #481 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Richmond, Virginia
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for TG.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 70 | 80 | -10DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 51 | 47 | +4NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 89 | 94 | -5NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 24 | 11 | +13ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 71 | 73 | -2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 61 | 72 | -11DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 21.3% vs WACC 8.6% (spread +12.7%)
GM 16% vs sector 44%, OM 5% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 5.38x
Rev growth 33%, 5yr history
Interest coverage 12.9x, Net debt/EBITDA 2.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate TREDEGAR CORP (TG) as a Hold with a composite score of 62.3/100 at a current price of $8.83. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
TREDEGAR CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 62.3/100 places it at rank #481 in our full universe.
Narrow
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Value factor score of 89 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
TREDEGAR CORP represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns TREDEGAR CORP a Hold rating, with a composite score of 62.3/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #481 of 7,333 stocks, TG presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
TG earns a quality score of 70/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 7.4% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 16.0% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 4.0% (sector avg: 1.0%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
TG carries a solid value score of 89/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 20.47x, an EV/EBITDA of 4.56x, a P/B ratio of 1.51x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
TREDEGAR CORP's investment score of 24/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 33.5% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 4.0% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
TG demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 51/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 33.5% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.11 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
TG shows good financial stability with a score of 71/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.11 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 87.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
TG carries a short interest score of 61/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 87.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $280M market cap (micro-cap), TREDEGAR CORP offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
TREDEGAR CORP is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #481 of 7,333 overall (93rd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 7.4% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 5.0% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While TG currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (89) vs Investment (24) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 60% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 489% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 64% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
William M. Gottwald, a significant shareholder in Tredegar Corp (NYSE:TG), recently sold 3,483 shares of the company's stock for approximately $30,896. This sale occurred in two transactions on February 17 and 18, 2026, as Tredegar shares approached their 52-week high and were up nearly 22% year-to-date. Despite the sales, Gottwald retains a substantial holding in various trusts, and the company is also undergoing a leadership transition with John M. Steitz retiring as CEO and Arijit "Bapi" DasGupta taking over on January 1, 2026.
Tredegar Corp (TG) has undergone a significant restructuring, transforming into a leaner specialty-films manufacturer after divesting its aluminum business and cutting debt. Despite these positive changes, the micro-cap stock remains largely overlooked by Wall Street analysts and is thinly traded. The article suggests that Tredegar could offer an opportunity for value investors seeking under-the-radar small caps, highlighting its potential for margin recovery and diversification within a US investment portfolio.
John D. Gottwald, a significant shareholder of Tredegar Corp (NYSE:TG), recently sold a total of 11,914 shares across two transactions for approximately $107,701. These sales took place on February 12 and February 13, 2026. Following these transactions, Gottwald continues to hold a substantial number of shares, both directly and indirectly through various trusts. The article also mentions a recent leadership change at Tredegar, with Arijit "Bapi" DasGupta set to succeed John M. Steitz as President and CEO on January 1, 2026.
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U.S. stocks were lower, with the Dow Jones index falling around 100 points on Friday. Shares of Blend Labs, Inc. (NASDAQ: BLND) rose sharply during Friday’s session after the company reported fourth-quarter financial results. Blend Labs posted quarterly loss of 9 cents per share, in-line with market estimates of 9 cents per share. The company’s quarterly sales came in at $36.10 million versus estimates of $36.93 million, according to data from Benzinga Pro. Blend Labs shares jumped 24.3% to $2.92 on Friday. Here are some other big stocks recording gains in today’s session. Cardlytics, Inc. (NASDAQ: CDLX) jumped 57.1% to $12.86 after the company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings. American Vanguard Corporation (NYSE: AVD) rose 25.8% to $13.32 following fourth-quarter financial results. Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: