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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2437
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Computer Software
$8.9B
Carey A. Smith
Parsons Corporation provides integrated solutions and services in the defense, intelligence, and critical infrastructure markets. It operates through two segments, Federal Solutions and Critical Infrastructure. The company offers cyber security and intelligence services, as well as offensive and defensive cybersecurity platforms, tools, and operations to the U.S. Department of Defense.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = PSN ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PSN PARSONS CORP | 47 | 57 | 60 | 33 | 21.8x | 15.3x | 11.6% | 5.5% | 21.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | -2.9% | 0.0% | 45.0x | $8.9B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
PARSONS CORP (PSN) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 47.3/100. It ranks #2437 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for PSN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 57 | 56 | +1NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 33 | 21 | +12ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 60 | 52 | +8ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 38 | 70 | -32DRAG |
| STABILITY | 68 | 68 | 0NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 51 | 56 | -5NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 41.0% vs WACC 8.8% (spread +32.2%)
GM 22% vs sector 44%, OM 7% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 7.81x
Rev growth -3%, 7yr history
Interest coverage 8.1x, Net debt/EBITDA 1.5x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate PARSONS CORP (PSN) as a Reduce with a composite score of 47.3/100 at a current price of $64.70. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
PARSONS CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 47.3/100 places it at rank #2437 in our full universe.
Narrow
Low
Standard
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
PARSONS CORP represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
PARSONS CORP receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 47.3/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2437 out of 7,333 stocks. PSN's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 57/100, PSN shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 11.6% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 21.7% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 4.9% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
PSN's value score of 60/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 21.83x, an EV/EBITDA of 15.27x, a P/B ratio of 2.52x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
PARSONS CORP's investment score of 38/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -2.9% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 5.5% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
PSN is currently showing below-average momentum at 33/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -2.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.67 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
PSN shows good financial stability with a score of 68/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.67 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 45.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 51/100 for PSN suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 45.00x). With a $8.9B market cap (mid-cap), PARSONS CORP may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
PARSONS CORP is a mid-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2437 of 7,333 overall (67th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 11.6% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 6.5% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While PSN currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (33) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 33% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 708% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 51% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
U.S. stock futures pared earlier gains on Tuesday as investors await delayed Q3 GDP and durable goods reports. Major indices showed mixed performance with SPY and QQQ slightly lower in premarket trading. Key movers included Parsons (contract award), ZIM (acquisition proposals), Trump Media (Bitcoin purchase), and XMax (public offering). Markets are pricing an 80.1% likelihood of unchanged Fed rates, with a truncated trading week ahead.
Parsons Corporation announced the acquisition of Altamira Technologies Corporation for up to $375 million ($330 million upfront plus $45 million contingent on 2027 performance targets). The McLean, Virginia-based Altamira specializes in analytics, signals intelligence, and space systems engineering with over 600 employees, 90% holding security clearances. The deal is expected to generate over $200 million in revenue for Parsons in 2026 and strengthen its national security and intelligence capabilities. Parsons shares declined 1.69% in premarket trading following the announcement.
Parsons Corporation (NYSE:PSN) announced the acquisition of Northern Virginia-based Altamira Technologies Corporation for up to $375 million. The deal includes $330 million in cash at closing and a $45 million earn-out in Q1 2027 based on EBITDA targets. Altamira's advanced analytics, signals intelligence, cyber, and space capabilities will strengthen Parsons' defense and intelligence portfolio. The transaction is expected to be accretive to Parsons' 2026 revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA margin, and earnings per share.
Parsons stock fell 14.4% after reporting Q4 earnings that missed analyst expectations with $1.6 billion in sales (down 8% YoY) and $0.75 EPS. The decline was driven by softened sales in a confidential contract, though the company expects to return to growth with 2026 guidance of $6.5-6.8 billion in revenue.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081