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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4499
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Computer Software
$1.6B
Jun Peng
Pony is a global leader in achieving large-scale commercialization of autonomous mobility. Our principal executive offices are located in Hengli Town, Nansha District, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PONY Pony AI Inc. | 30 | 32 | 13 | 30 | - | - | -230.9% | -209.0% | 15.2% | -380.6% | -731.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $1.6B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Pony AI Inc. (PONY) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 30.4/100. It ranks #4499 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for PONY.
View All RatingsROE proxy -230.9% (sector -1.9%)
GM 15% vs sector 44%, OM -381% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 320.1%
Rev growth 4%, 2yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Pony AI Inc. (PONY) as Avoid with a composite score of 30.4/100 at a current price of $13.31. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Pony AI Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 30.4/100 places it at rank #4499 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Pony AI Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Pony AI Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 30.4/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4499 of 7,333 stocks, PONY falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
PONY's quality score of 32/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -230.9% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 15.2% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of -731.9% (sector avg: 1.0%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
PONY registers a value score of just 13/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 6.20x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
Pony AI Inc.'s investment score of 32/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 4.3% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of -209.0% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
PONY is currently showing below-average momentum at 30/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 4.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 2.77 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
Pony AI Inc. registers a low stability score of 19/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 2.77 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
The short interest score of 47/100 for PONY suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 2.77), small-cap liquidity risk. With a $1.6B market cap (small-cap), Pony AI Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Pony AI Inc. is a small-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4499 of 7,333 overall (39th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -230.9% trailing the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of -380.6% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While PONY currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Value (13) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 12055% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 66% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 15262% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
U.S. stock futures rose on Monday with optimism about a potential December interest rate cut. Investors are awaiting earnings from several tech and industrial companies while monitoring potential economic shifts.
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Pony.ai, in partnership with Toyota Motor China and GAC Toyota, has started mass production and commercial rollout of the bZ4X Robotaxi fleet in major Chinese cities. The company is moving from pilot programs to scaled robotaxi operations using Toyota's bZ4X electric vehicle platform. Pony.ai, listed as NasdaqGS:PONY, has become the first robotaxi company to be included in the MSCI China Index. The MSCI China Index inclusion signals growing institutional attention on Pony.ai within global...
Cathie Wood's Ark Invest increased positions in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC), Oklo, and Pony AI on Friday. TSMC posted strong earnings with 21% revenue growth and record 45.1% net margins. Oklo, a nuclear fission and recycling company, has quadrupled in value despite no revenue expected until next year. Pony AI, a Chinese autonomous driving leader, trades at $16.30, up 25% from its IPO price of $13, with revenue expected to triple next year.