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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3277
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Electronic Equipment
$849M
Chiu S. Lo
NETGEAR, Inc. designs, develops, and markets networking and Internet connected products for consumers, businesses, and service providers. The company operates in two segments, Connected Home, and Small and Medium Business. It markets and sells its products through traditional retailers, online retailers, wholesale distributors, direct market resellers, value-added resellers.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = NTGR ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTGR NETGEAR, INC. | 42 | 54 | 45 | 23 | 8.7x | 8.2x | 13.6% | 8.1% | 35.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 28.3% | 0.0% | 68.0x | $849M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
NETGEAR, INC. (NTGR) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 42.0/100. It ranks #3277 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for NTGR.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 54 | 52 | +2NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 23 | 12 | +11ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 45 | 33 | +12ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 43 | 81 | -38DRAG |
| STABILITY | 57 | 53 | +4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 28 | 18 | +10ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 13.6% (sector -1.9%)
GM 36% vs sector 44%, OM 9% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 12.3%
Rev growth 28%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate NETGEAR, INC. (NTGR) as a Reduce with a composite score of 42.0/100 at a current price of $20.31. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
NETGEAR, INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 42.0/100 places it at rank #3277 in our full universe.
Narrow
Medium
Standard
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
NETGEAR, INC. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
NETGEAR, INC. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 42.0/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3277 out of 7,333 stocks. NTGR's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 54/100, NTGR shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 13.6% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 35.6% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 9.1% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 45/100, NTGR appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 8.65x, an EV/EBITDA of 8.19x, a P/B ratio of 1.18x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
With an investment score of 43/100, NTGR exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 28.3% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 8.1% (sector: 0.9%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
NETGEAR, INC. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 23/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 28.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.46 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
With a stability score of 57/100, NTGR exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.46 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 68.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
NETGEAR, INC.'s short interest score of 28/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.46), elevated leverage (D/E: 68.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $849M (small-cap), NTGR carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
NETGEAR, INC. is a small-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3277 of 7,333 overall (55th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 13.6% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 8.8% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While NTGR currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (23) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 29% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 817% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 19% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
The recent trim in NETGEAR’s fair value estimate from US$39.00 to about US$36.67 reflects analysts rebalancing their expectations for the company’s revenue growth and required return. Bullish views frame this as a cleaner reset that could still leave room for upside if management delivers on growth initiatives and earnings quality, while bearish voices see it as a sign that earlier growth assumptions may have been too optimistic. Stay tuned to see how you can keep on top of these shifting...
SAN JOSE, Calif., February 09, 2026--NETGEAR, Inc. (Nasdaq: NTGR), a global leader in intelligent networking solutions designed to power extraordinary experiences, today announced that it has granted restricted stock units ("RSU’s) as an inducement material to employment under its inducement plan.
NETGEAR (NTGR) Q4 2025 earnings call recap: record 41.2% gross margin, enterprise growth, ARR gains, and 2026 outlook amid memory costs—read now.
Netgear Inc (NTGR) reports revenue growth and strategic expansions, while navigating memory shortages and consumer market declines.
SAN JOSE, Calif., February 24, 2026--NETGEAR, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR), a global leader in intelligent networking solutions designed to power extraordinary experiences, today announced CJ Prober, CEO, and Bryan Murray, CFO, are scheduled to present at the following upcoming investor conference in March 2026.