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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2376
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Food Products
$23M
Andrew Gordon
Coffee Holding Co. Inc. manufactures, roasts, packages, markets, and distributes roasted and blended coffees. The company offers wholesale green coffee products, which include unroasted raw beans of approximately 90 varieties. It also roasts and blends company label branded coffee to supermarkets, wholesalers, and individually owned and multi-unit retail customers.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = JVA ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$JVA COFFEE HOLDING CO INC | 48 | 77 | 76 | 21 | 15.0x | 8.7x | 4.4% | 2.9% | 19.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 25.9% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $23M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
COFFEE HOLDING CO INC (JVA) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 47.7/100. It ranks #2376 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Headcount
80
HQ Base
Las Vegas, New York
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for JVA.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 77 | 87 | -10DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 21 | 10 | +11ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 76 | 80 | -4NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 24 | 10 | +14ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 31 | 18 | +13ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 54 | 61 | -7DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 29.3% vs WACC 8.0% (spread +21.3%)
GM 20% vs sector 44%, OM 3% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 18.00x
Rev growth 26%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 8.9x, Net debt/EBITDA 2.5x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate COFFEE HOLDING CO INC (JVA) as a Reduce with a composite score of 47.7/100 at a current price of $3.17. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
COFFEE HOLDING CO INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 47.7/100 places it at rank #2376 in our full universe.
Narrow
High
Poor
Undervalued
Value factor score of 76 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
COFFEE HOLDING CO INC represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
COFFEE HOLDING CO INC receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 47.7/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2376 out of 7,333 stocks. JVA's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
JVA earns a quality score of 77/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 4.4% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 19.7% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 1.6% (sector avg: 1.0%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
JVA carries a solid value score of 76/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 14.99x, an EV/EBITDA of 8.68x, a P/B ratio of 0.66x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
COFFEE HOLDING CO INC's investment score of 24/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 25.9% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 2.9% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
COFFEE HOLDING CO INC is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 21/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 25.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.57 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
JVA's stability score of 31/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.57 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 52.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
The short interest score of 54/100 for JVA suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 1.57), elevated leverage (D/E: 52.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. With a $23M market cap (micro-cap), COFFEE HOLDING CO INC may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
COFFEE HOLDING CO INC is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2376 of 7,333 overall (68th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 4.4% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 2.6% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While JVA currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (21) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 24% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 333% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 55% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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