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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#983
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Food Products
$7.8B
James P. Zallie
Ingredion Incorporated produces and sells starches and sweeteners for various industries. It operates through four segments: North America, South America, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East and Africa. The company's products are derived primarily from processing corn and other starch-based materials, such as tapioca, potato, and rice.
Headcount
11.7K
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = INGR ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$INGR Ingredion Inc | 57 | 60 | 78 | 40 | 9.7x | 6.9x | 17.6% | 9.6% | 25.6% | 14.5% | 10.3% | -3.3% | 2.6% | 82.0x | $7.8B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Ingredion Inc (INGR) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 57.3/100. It ranks #983 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Westchester, Illinois
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for INGR.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 60 | 65 | -5NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 40 | 30 | +10ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 78 | 83 | -5NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 43 | 80 | -37DRAG |
| STABILITY | 95 | 99 | -4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 40 | 34 | +6ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 56.5% vs WACC 7.5% (spread +49.0%)
GM 26% vs sector 44%, OM 15% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 5.26x, R&D intensity 1.0%
Rev growth -3%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 145.1x, Net debt/EBITDA 1.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Ingredion Inc (INGR) as a Hold with a composite score of 57.3/100 at a current price of $117.89. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Ingredion Inc holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 57.3/100 places it at rank #983 in our full universe.
Narrow
Low
Standard
Undervalued
Returns on equity of 17.6% exceed cost of capital.
Value factor score of 78 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Ingredion Inc represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Ingredion Inc a Hold rating, with a composite score of 57.3/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #983 of 7,333 stocks, INGR presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 60/100, INGR shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 17.6% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 25.6% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 10.3% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
INGR carries a solid value score of 78/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 9.74x, an EV/EBITDA of 6.94x, a P/B ratio of 1.72x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
With an investment score of 43/100, INGR exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -3.3% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 9.6% (sector: 0.9%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
INGR is currently showing below-average momentum at 40/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -3.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.33 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
Ingredion Inc earns an excellent stability score of 95/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.33 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 82.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
The short interest score of 40/100 for INGR suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 82.00x). With a $7.8B market cap (mid-cap), Ingredion Inc may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
INGR pays a solid dividend yield of 2.6%, contributing an income component to total returns. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
Ingredion Inc is a mid-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #983 of 7,333 overall (87th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 17.6% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 14.5% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While INGR currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (95) vs Momentum (40) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 39% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 1029% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 42% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Univar Solutions LLC ("Univar Solutions" or "the Company"), a leading global solutions provider to users of specialty ingredients and chemicals, today announced that its Ingredients + Specialties from Univar Solutions division has been appointed as a distributor for Ingredion Pharma Solutions, part of Ingredion Incorporated (NYSE: INGR). The agreement includes distribution of Ingredion's global pharmaceuticals portfolio and positions the Company as the exclusive distributor of pharmaceutical sta
If you are wondering whether Ingredion's current share price really reflects what the business is worth, you are not alone. This article will walk through that question step by step. Ingredion's share price closed at US$116.06, with returns of a 1.9% decline over the last 7 days, a 0.7% decline over 30 days, a 5.7% gain year to date, and an 8.6% decline over 1 year, while the 3 year and 5 year returns sit at 25.0% and 49.3% respectively. Recent coverage around Ingredion has focused on its...
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Why Ingredion is on investors’ radar today Ingredion (INGR) did not move on a single headline event, but its recent share performance and current valuation metrics have drawn fresh attention from investors who are examining large, established ingredients producers. See our latest analysis for Ingredion. At a share price of US$117.16, Ingredion has seen a 10.67% 90 day share price return and a 49.24% five year total shareholder return, which points to steady long term value creation but more...
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