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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#320
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Steel Works
$79.1B
John C. Plant
Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = HWM ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 64 | 66 | 60 | 76 | 70.2x | 47.0x | 27.4% | 13.1% | 35.0% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 0.2% | 57.0x | $79.1B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 64.4/100. It ranks #320 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Fair valuation relative to peers
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for HWM.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 66 | 76 | -10DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 76 | 82 | -6DRAG |
| VALUATION | 60 | 51 | +9ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 38 | 70 | -32DRAG |
| STABILITY | 77 | 81 | -4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 56 | 66 | -10DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 71.7% vs WACC 9.6% (spread +62.1%)
GM 35% vs sector 44%, OM 25% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 3.45x, R&D intensity 0.4%
Rev growth 11%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 1.0x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) as a Hold with a composite score of 64.4/100 at a current price of $261.73. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 64.4/100 places it at rank #320 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 11% and momentum in the 76th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
Narrow
Medium
Exemplary
Fair Value
Returns on equity of 27.4% exceed cost of capital.
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 70.2x leaves little room for execution misses.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Howmet Aerospace Inc. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 64.4/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #320 of 7,333 stocks, HWM presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
HWM earns a quality score of 66/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 27.4% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 35.0% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 18.5% (sector avg: 1.0%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
HWM's value score of 60/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 70.20x, an EV/EBITDA of 47.03x, a P/B ratio of 19.25x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
Howmet Aerospace Inc.'s investment score of 38/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 11.1% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 13.1% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
HWM shows strong momentum characteristics with a score of 76/100. The stock has been trending above key moving averages, indicating solid demand from institutional buyers. Revenue growth stands at 11.1% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.12 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. This level of momentum typically signals sustained investor confidence and favorable near-term price action.
HWM shows good financial stability with a score of 77/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.12 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 57.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 56/100 for HWM suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 57.00x). With a $79.1B market cap (large-cap), Howmet Aerospace Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
HWM offers a modest dividend yield of 0.2%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. is a large-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #320 of 7,333 overall (96th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 27.4% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 24.9% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While HWM currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Investment (38) is the limiting factor — improvement here would lift the composite score most.
EV/EBITDA 310% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 1543% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 21% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
About Howmet Aerospace Inc. Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings primarily for aircraft engines and industrial gas turb
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) is back in focus after a fresh earnings update and higher 2026 revenue guidance put its recent share price strength and premium valuation under a brighter spotlight for investors. See our latest analysis for Howmet Aerospace. Those earnings and guidance updates sit alongside a very strong run in the stock, with a 30 day share price return of 21.43% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 100.87%. This suggests momentum has been building as buybacks, debt funded...
In February 2026, Howmet Aerospace announced and completed several senior unsecured note offerings totaling about US$1.20 billion, with maturities ranging from 2028 to 2036, to help finance its approximately US$1.80 billion acquisition of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing alongside commercial paper borrowings and cash on hand. This new debt-funded acquisition comes on the heels of higher 2025 sales and earnings, fresh 2026 revenue guidance, and a completed US$2.15 billion share repurchase...
In February 2026, Howmet Aerospace completed several fixed‑rate senior unsecured note offerings totaling about US$1.20 billion, with maturities ranging from 2028 to 2036, to help finance its approximately US$1.80 billion proposed acquisition of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing and supplement borrowings under its commercial paper program and existing cash. This combination of debt‑funded acquisition plans, ongoing share repurchases, and solid 2025 earnings puts Howmet’s balance sheet,...
Howmet Aerospace has acquired Brunner Manufacturing, a Wisconsin-based manufacturer of agricultural, industrial and commercial vehicle fasteners and high-strength components. Brunner will become part of Howmet Fastening Systems. The acquisition allows Howmet to expand its product portfolio and manufacturing capabilities, particularly in larger-size fasteners and structural threaded bolts. Angle Advisors served as the exclusive investment banking advisor.