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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3276
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Automobiles And Trucks
$2.1B
Richard J. Kramer
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells tires and related products. It offers various lines of tires for automobiles, trucks, buses, aircraft, motorcycles, earthmoving equipment, and mining and industrial equipment. The company retreads truck, aviation, and off-the-road tires; manufactures and sells tread rubber and other tire retreading materials.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | 28.5% | 8.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.4% | -4.6% | 3.3% | 0.0x | $141.8B | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | 46.1% | 16.6% | 51.3% | 31.9% | 26.8% | -4.0% | 1.0% | 25.0x | $272.1B | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | 10.3% | 3.1% | 24.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 25.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | 2.2% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | -8.5% | 2.2% | 16.0x | $18.9B | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 35.5% | 19.8% | 48.7% | 29.2% | 24.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 32.0x | $181.9B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | 11.8% | 8.8% | 45.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 25.7% | 3.7% | 0.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.6% | 7.0% | 66.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $115M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | 22.6% | 4.9% | 71.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 124.0x | $72.1B | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | 3.0% | 1.1% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 67.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | 8.2% | 3.5% | 55.3% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.0x | $87.0B | VS | |
$GT GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ | 42 | 40 | 44 | 45 | - | - | -57.6% | -9.1% | 18.0% | -1.6% | -9.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 227.0x | $2.1B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -2.5% | -0.1% | 42.5% | 1.3% | -0.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ (GT) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 42.0/100. It ranks #3276 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Bottom-line conversion
Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
Richard J. Kramer
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
74,000
40
32
57
Audit Verdict: Lower quality and stability scores may indicate governance concerns.
No recent insider transactions available for GT
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for GT.
View All RatingsMaterial decline in asset turnover efficiency detected
High margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
ROIC -9.0% vs WACC 3.5% (spread -12.5%)
GM 18% vs sector 43%, OM -2% vs sector 1%
Capital turnover 0.72x
Rev growth 2%, 10yr history
Interest coverage -6.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 42.0/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3276 out of 7,333 stocks. GT's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
GT's quality score of 40/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -57.6% (sector avg: -2.5%), gross margins of 18.0% (sector avg: 42.5%), net margins of -9.7% (sector avg: -0.2%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 44/100, GT appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 0.81x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/'s investment score of 32/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 1.6% vs. a sector average of 5.9% and a return on assets of -9.1% (sector: -0.1%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
GT is currently showing below-average momentum at 45/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 1.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.87 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
With a stability score of 57/100, GT exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.87 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 227.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/'s short interest score of 38/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 227.00x). At $2.1B (mid-cap), GT carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ is a mid-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3276 of 7,333 overall (55th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -57.6% trailing the -2.5% sector median and operating margins of -1.6% below the 1.3% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While GT currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Investment (32) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 2225% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 58% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 224% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)
We rate GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ (GT) as a Reduce with a composite score of 42.0/100 at a current price of $8.79. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential and elevated risk of underperformance relative to peers over the next 12 months.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in stability (57th percentile) and momentum (45th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in investment (32th percentile) and quality (40th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (18/100), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.
Key items to watch: balance sheet deleveraging progress; the path to profitability. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 42.0/100 places it at rank #3276 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $2.1B in market capitalization, GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ is a mid-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Revenue is growing at 2%, though momentum at the 45th percentile suggests the market has not yet fully recognized this trajectory. This potential disconnect between fundamental improvement and market recognition could represent an opportunity for patient investors if the growth trend persists.
The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 18% (-24.5pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of -2% (-2.9pp vs sector) and net margins of -9.7%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of -54%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.
At a current price of $8.79, GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ is trading near fair value based on current fundamentals. Our value factor score of 44/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. Valuation metrics are mixed, with no strong signal of mispricing in either direction.
The stock currently trades at P/B of 0.8x, P/S of 0.1x. We evaluate these multiples in the context of both absolute levels and sector-relative positioning to form our valuation view.
The stock may offer contrarian value if near-term headwinds prove transitory — the current weakness in factor scores may reverse if business fundamentals stabilize.
The Reduce rating (composite 42.0/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.
Elevated leverage (227% D/E) amplifies downside risk and limits management's financial flexibility in adverse scenarios.
Thin net margins of -9.7% provide limited cushion against cost pressures, competitive pricing, or macroeconomic headwinds — even small changes in costs could swing the company to a loss.
We assign a High uncertainty rating to GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/. Key risk factors include significant leverage (227% debt-to-equity), current negative profitability (net margin -9.7%), the combination of leverage (227% D/E) and thin margins (-9.7% net) amplifies downside risk. The wide range of potential outcomes widens our fair value estimate and increases the possibility of permanent capital impairment. Investors considering this name should size positions accordingly and demand a meaningful margin of safety before initiating.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: significant leverage (227% debt-to-equity); current negative profitability (net margin -9.7%); the combination of leverage (227% D/E) and thin margins (-9.7% net) amplifies downside risk. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 57th percentile and quality factor at the 40th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
We identify limited risk mitigants at this time, which contributes to our high uncertainty assessment. Investors should monitor for improvement in balance sheet metrics, margin stability, and business predictability that could warrant a downgrade in our risk assessment over time.
We rate GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/'s capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include low returns on equity (-57.6%), elevated leverage (227% D/E), negative profitability, weak asset returns (ROA -9.1%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.
Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.
In summary, GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 42.0/100 (rank #3276 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (18/100, trend: stable), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 43/100.
Our analysis does not support a constructive view on GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, high uncertainty, and poor capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ a meaningful economic moat, scoring 18/100 on our composite assessment. The ROIC-WACC spread of -12.5% is the primary signal of economic value creation. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, margin superiority, reached only 8.5/20.
The strongest moat sources are margin superiority (8.5/20) and growth durability (4.1/20). GM 18% vs sector 43%, OM -2% vs sector 1%. Rev growth 2%, 10yr history. These pillars form the core of GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/'s competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include reinvestment efficiency (0.5/20) and economic value creation (1.5/20). Capital turnover 0.72x. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/'s moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers are not clearly identifiable from current fundamentals. This may reflect a company in transition, a cyclical downturn, or structural challenges in the business model. We assign a quality factor of 40/100 which further underscores our concern regarding earnings sustainability.
The margin profile shows gross margins of 18%, operating margins of -2%, net margins of -9.7%. Return metrics include ROE of -57.6% and ROA of -9.1%. Relative to the Manufacturing sector, gross margins are 24.5 percentage points below the sector median of 43%, and ROE of -57.6% compares to a sector median of -2.5%.
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with D/E of 227%, which may limit financial flexibility, revenue growth of 2%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/ at higher leverage than the typical peer. Elevated leverage in combination with the current margin profile warrants close monitoring for any deterioration in debt-servicing capacity.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company reported a miss on adjusted profit but exceeded sales expectations. Shares showed mixed performance in after-hours trading following the announcement, initially struggling for direction due to the profit miss. The company's revenue performance helped to partially offset investor concerns regarding the earnings miss.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) stock fell 14% this week due to cautious Q1 guidance despite strong Q4 results, with management projecting a 10% fall in Q1 volume and a $60 million overhead headwind. Analyst models suggest GT is undervalued with a target price of $13, implying a 35% upside, driven by new product launches, commercial truck recovery, and continued balance sheet improvement rather than aggressive revenue growth. The company’s future performance is expected to rely on margin recovery through product mix and cost discipline, as well as deleveraging.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber (NASDAQ: GT) reported downbeat quarterly earnings, missing analyst estimates, although revenue exceeded expectations. Shares of Goodyear Tire dipped 8% in pre-market trading, leading a group of other stocks, including Tectonic Therapeutic, Upwork, and Regenxbio, that also saw significant declines after releasing financial results or other significant news. U.S. stock futures were slightly higher overall despite these individual stock movements.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (NASDAQ:GT) reported mixed Q4 2025 financial results, with a slight revenue beat of $4.92 billion but a significant non-GAAP EPS miss at $0.39 per share against an estimate of $0.49. This led to a sharp decline in the stock during after-hours trading. The market's negative reaction highlights investor concern over profitability challenges despite stable sales.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber has acquired Ventech Systems GmbH, a German provider of automated tire inspection technology. This acquisition aims to enhance Goodyear's "Proactive Solutions" offerings for fleets in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region by integrating Ventech's systems for checking tire pressure, tread depth, and vehicle weight. The move is expected to help fleets optimize their total cost of ownership and efficiency.