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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2230
Positioning
Market Dominance
Wholesale Trade
Wholesale
$19.3B
Paul D. Donahue
Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive replacement parts, and industrial parts and materials. It operates through Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group segments. The company distributes replacement parts for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational vehicles, farm vehicles, small engines, and marine equipment.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = GPC ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ITRN Ituran Location & Control Ltd. | 74 | 95 | 97 | 62 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$COR Cencora, Inc. | 70 | 84 | 77 | 70 | 21.1x | 11.8x | 161.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 8.6% | 0.7% | 416.0x | $58.1B | VS | |
$CENT CENTRAL GARDEN & PET CO | 70 | 84 | 95 | 48 | 5.9x | 3.5x | 20.3% | 8.5% | 34.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 75.0x | $2.2B | VS | |
$SNX TD SYNNEX CORP | 67 | 80 | 93 | 57 | 13.5x | 6.2x | 13.1% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 50.0x | $12.2B | VS | |
$HLF HERBALIFE LTD. | 65 | 60 | 75 | 96 | 5.0x | 1.4x | -32.4% | 6.3% | 77.7% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% | - | $870M | VS | |
$GIC GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL Co | 65 | 82 | 60 | 62 | 18.7x | 12.5x | 24.0% | 12.5% | 35.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.0x | $1.4B | VS | |
$JXG JX Luxventure Group Inc. | 63 | 84 | 75 | 88 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ | 63 | 74 | 48 | 67 | 21.4x | 14.3x | 39.4% | 12.6% | 30.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 68.0x | $48.9B | VS | |
$SYY SYSCO CORP | 60 | 68 | 49 | 65 | 22.7x | 9.2x | 89.9% | 5.9% | 18.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 595.0x | $35.3B | VS | |
$DXPE DXP ENTERPRISES INC | 60 | 58 | 55 | 79 | 21.6x | 8.5x | 25.1% | 6.2% | 31.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 128.0x | $1.9B | VS | |
$GPC GENUINE PARTS CO | 49 | 55 | 43 | 47 | 18.2x | 1.3x | 20.3% | 4.3% | 37.2% | 68.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 108.0x | $19.3B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 19.1x | 8.2x | 8.6% | 3.4% | 27.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.6x | - | REF |
GENUINE PARTS CO (GPC) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 48.7/100. It ranks #2230 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Wholesale Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for GPC.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 55 | 61 | -6DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 47 | 43 | +4NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 43 | 40 | +3NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 31 | 38 | -7DRAG |
| STABILITY | 72 | 81 | -9DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 51 | 53 | -2NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 373.9% vs WACC 7.7% (spread +366.2%)
GM 37% vs sector 27%, OM 68% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 5.57x
Rev growth 5%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 404.5x, Net debt/EBITDA 0.3x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate GENUINE PARTS CO (GPC) as a Reduce with a composite score of 48.7/100 at a current price of $120.01. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
GENUINE PARTS CO holds a lower-quartile position (#48 of 50) within the Wholesale Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 48.7/100 places it at rank #2230 in our full universe.
Wide
Medium
Standard
Fair Value
Returns on equity of 20.3% exceed cost of capital.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 108% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
GENUINE PARTS CO represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
GENUINE PARTS CO receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 48.7/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2230 out of 7,333 stocks. GPC's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 55/100, GPC shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 20.3% (sector avg: 8.6%), gross margins of 37.2% (sector avg: 27.4%), net margins of 3.7% (sector avg: 1.4%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 43/100, GPC appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 18.21x, an EV/EBITDA of 1.25x, a P/B ratio of 3.70x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
GENUINE PARTS CO's investment score of 31/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 5.0% vs. a sector average of 3.6% and a return on assets of 4.3% (sector: 3.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
GPC is currently showing below-average momentum at 47/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 5.0% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.62 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
GPC shows good financial stability with a score of 72/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.62 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 108.00x (sector avg: 0.6x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 51/100 for GPC suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 108.00x). With a $19.3B market cap (large-cap), GENUINE PARTS CO may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
GPC pays a solid dividend yield of 2.9%, contributing an income component to total returns. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 0.6%. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
GENUINE PARTS CO is a large-cap company in the Wholesale Trade sector, ranked #48 of 50 in its sector (4th percentile) and #2230 of 7,333 overall (70th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 20.3% exceeding the 8.6% sector median and operating margins of 68.2% above the 3.4% sector average. This bottom-quartile standing highlights significant competitive headwinds within the Wholesale Trade space.
While GPC currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the WHOLESALE TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Wholesale Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Investment (31) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
RANK #48 OF 50 IN CONSUMER STAPLES
EV/EBITDA 85% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 136% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 36% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
About GENUINE PARTS CO Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive replacement parts, and industrial parts and materials. It operates through Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group segments. The company distributes automotive replacement parts for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational vehicles, farm vehicles, small engines, farm equipment, marine equipment, and heavy duty equipment; and accessory and supply items used by various automotive afte
Target stock has declined 65% since 2021, but remains a Dividend King with potential for long-term recovery. Despite current challenges, the company has a history of business turnarounds and maintains a stable dividend.
The S&P 500 was on track for double-digit earnings growth, with more than half of companies having reported Q4 results so far.
The S&P 500 was on track for double-digit earnings growth, with more than half of companies having reported Q4 results so far.
The S&P 500 was on track for double-digit earnings growth, with more than half of companies having reported Q4 results so far.