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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#561
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Machinery
$14.0B
Mark W. Sheahan
Graco Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets systems and equipment used to move, measure, control, dispense, and spray fluid and powder materials. Industrial segment offers proportioning systems to spray polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings. Process segment offers pumps to move and dispense chemicals, water, wastewater, petroleum, food, lubricants, and other fluids. Contractor segment offers sprayers to apply paint to walls and other structures; and viscous coatings to roofs.
Headcount
4.0K
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = GGG ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GGG GRACO INC | 61 | 70 | 64 | 50 | 30.2x | 25.2x | 19.3% | 15.6% | 52.8% | 28.3% | 23.7% | -1.8% | 1.3% | 23.0x | $14.0B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
GRACO INC (GGG) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 61.4/100. It ranks #561 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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View All RatingsVerified SEC Filings Aggregate • GGG
Direct unfiltered access to 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K filings for GGG.
Open Regulatory DossierFigures adjusted for stock splits and restatements where applicable.
TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) data updates within 48 hours of quarterly filings.
YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Equity efficiency
Financial leverage
Direct cash return
HQ Base
Minneapolis, Minnesota
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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ROE proxy 19.3% (sector -1.9%)
GM 53% vs sector 44%, OM 28% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 3.7%
Rev growth -2%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 878.8x, Net debt/EBITDA -0.9x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate GRACO INC (GGG) as a Hold with a composite score of 61.4/100 at a current price of $93.46. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
GRACO INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 61.4/100 places it at rank #561 in our full universe.
Narrow
Low
Exemplary
Undervalued
Gross margins of 53% signal strong pricing power.
Returns on equity of 19.3% exceed cost of capital.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
GRACO INC represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns GRACO INC a Hold rating, with a composite score of 61.4/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #561 of 7,333 stocks, GGG presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
GGG earns a quality score of 70/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 19.3% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 52.8% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 23.7% (sector avg: 1.0%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
GGG's value score of 64/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 30.17x, an EV/EBITDA of 25.22x, a P/B ratio of 5.82x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
GRACO INC's investment score of 32/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -1.8% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 15.6% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
GGG demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 50/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at -1.8% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.74 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
GRACO INC earns an excellent stability score of 92/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.74 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 23.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
GGG carries a short interest score of 62/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 23.00x). At $14.0B market cap (large-cap), GRACO INC offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
GGG offers a modest dividend yield of 1.3%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
GRACO INC is a large-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #561 of 7,333 overall (92nd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 19.3% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 28.3% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While GGG currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (92) vs Investment (32) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 120% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 1115% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 20% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Relative to Manufacturing Median (N=1906)
Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
Synthesized from recent 13F filings, Form 4 insider transactions, and outstanding short interest metrics.
Average governance indicators based on financial metrics. Verified against factor-based integrity benchmarks.
No recent insider transactions available for GGG
Institutional cap table data requires verified 13F filing feeds.
Access SEC 13F Dossier →Insider transaction data currently awaiting regulatory verification.
Access SEC Form 4 Dossier →Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
The $14.0B question: What happens when a company this good becomes this expensive? In the constellation of American capitalism, certain companies shine brighter than others — not because they are inherently more valuable, but because they have positioned themselves at the nexus of forces that shape the economy. GRACO INC is one such company. At $14.0B in market capitalization, GRACO INC (GGG) currently ranks #244 in our quantitative model, with a composite score of 75.7/100. That places
Graco, a 100-year-old manufacturer of fluid handling equipment, has generated impressive returns and has a history of raising its dividend for 22 consecutive years. The company's focus on innovation and acquisitions has helped it build a wide moat around its niche operations, making it a potential market-beating investment opportunity.
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