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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4418
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Consumer Goods
$166M
Jeremy Andrus
Traeger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, sells, and supports wood pellet fueled barbeque grills. Wood pellet grills are internet of things devices that allow owners to program, monitor, and control their grill through its Traeger app. The company also produces a library of digital content, including instructional recipes and videos.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$COOK Traeger, Inc. | 32 | 37 | 34 | 19 | - | - | -63.3% | -17.1% | 40.4% | -18.6% | -23.4% | -25.6% | 0.0% | 270.0x | $166M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Traeger, Inc. (COOK) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 31.5/100. It ranks #4418 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Average quality profile
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for COOK.
View All RatingsROIC -15.8% vs WACC 3.3% (spread -19.1%)
GM 40% vs sector 44%, OM -19% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 0.30x
Rev growth -26%, 5yr history
Interest coverage -10.7x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Traeger, Inc. (COOK) as Avoid with a composite score of 31.5/100 at a current price of $0.86. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Traeger, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 31.5/100 places it at rank #4418 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 40% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 270% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Traeger, Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Traeger, Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 31.5/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4418 of 7,333 stocks, COOK falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
COOK's quality score of 37/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -63.3% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 40.4% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of -23.4% (sector avg: 1.0%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 34/100, COOK appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 0.66x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Traeger, Inc.'s investment score of 30/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -25.6% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of -17.1% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Traeger, Inc. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 19/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at -25.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.60 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
COOK's stability score of 32/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.60 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 270.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
Traeger, Inc.'s short interest score of 39/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 1.60), elevated leverage (D/E: 270.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $166M (micro-cap), COOK carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Traeger, Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4418 of 7,333 overall (40th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -63.3% trailing the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of -18.6% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While COOK currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (19) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 3230% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 8% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 841% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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The Salt Lake Tribune reports that 70 Traeger Grills workers have filed a lawsuit over unpaid wages amid the company's restructuring and closing Costco roadshows.
Could this stock really have 200% upside?
While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Traeger (COOK) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended March 2024, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
COOK earnings call for the period ending March 31, 2024.