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Toll Brothers, Inc. vs Mueller Water Products, Inc. — Side-by-side quantitative comparison
MWA and TOL are remarkably close in our quantitative rankings. Mueller Water Products, Inc. holds a slight edge with a composite score of 69.2/100 (Buy) versus Toll Brothers, Inc. at 68.7/100 (Buy). With a spread of just 0.5 points, the difference is marginal — investors should weigh qualitative factors like management quality, competitive positioning, and industry outlook to make a final decision.
On the Quality factor, which measures profitability and business quality through metrics like ROE, gross margins, and capital efficiency, these stocks are closely matched (MWA: 85/100, TOL: 83/100). The narrow 2-point spread suggests similar quality profiles, so this factor alone is unlikely to be a decisive differentiator.
For the Value factor — which evaluates whether a stock is cheap or expensive relative to its earnings, book value, and cash flows — TOL leads at 92/100, while MWA trails at 87/100 (TOL: 92/100, MWA: 87/100). The 5-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in value characteristics between these stocks.
For the Momentum factor — which captures price trends and institutional sentiment over the trailing 3-12 months — TOL leads at 63/100, while MWA trails at 57/100 (TOL: 63/100, MWA: 57/100). The 6-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in momentum characteristics between these stocks.
For the Investment factor — which assesses capital allocation quality including reinvestment rates and asset growth — MWA leads at 46/100, while TOL trails at 37/100 (MWA: 46/100, TOL: 37/100). The 9-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in investment characteristics between these stocks.
For the Stability factor — which measures financial health through leverage ratios and price volatility — MWA leads at 84/100, while TOL trails at 73/100 (MWA: 84/100, TOL: 73/100). The 11-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in stability characteristics between these stocks.
For the Short Interest factor — which tracks institutional bearish positioning and potential risk from elevated short selling — TOL leads at 55/100, while MWA trails at 48/100 (TOL: 55/100, MWA: 48/100). The 7-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in short interest characteristics between these stocks.
Based on our 6-factor model, Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) is utilizing a stronger overall profile than TOL, with a Composite Score of 69 vs 69. The comparison is extremely close. While MWA leads slightly on Stability, TOL remains a competitive alternative.
| Overall Rating | ||
| Composite Score | 69 | 69 |
| Rank | #116 | #131 |
| Stars | 4 / 5 | 4 / 5 |
| Action | Buy | Buy |
| Factor Scores | ||
| Quality | 85 | 83 |
| Value | 87 | 92 |
| Momentum | 57 | 63 |
| Stability | 84 | 73 |
| Investment | 46 | 37 |
| Short Interest | 48 | 55 |
| Valuation | ||
| P/E Ratio | 17.94 | 7.86 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.05 | 1.44 |
| P/S Ratio | 2.48 | 0.99 |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.03 | 5.56 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Profitability | ||
| ROE | 21.4% | 16.9% |
| ROA | 11.0% | 9.7% |
| Gross Margin | 36.1% | 25.1% |
| Operating Margin | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| Net Margin | 13.4% | 12.3% |
| Growth & Risk | ||
| Revenue Growth | 8.8% | 1.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 46.00 | 34.00 |
| Beta | 0.88 | 0.80 |
| Market | ||
| Market Cap | $3.98B | $13.01B |
Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, MWA currently has the higher composite score (69.2/100, Buy) and ranks #116 in our universe. However, the "better" stock depends on your investment goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. We recommend reviewing the full factor breakdown above before making a decision.
Our comparison analyzes six quantitative factors: Quality (profitability and business strength, 30% weight), Momentum (price trends, 25%), Value (valuation attractiveness, 15%), Investment (capital allocation, 10%), Stability (financial health, 10%), and Short Interest (institutional positioning, 10%). Each factor is scored 0-100 and combined into a composite score.
TOL has the higher value score at 92/100 compared to MWA at 87/100. A higher value score indicates the stock trades at a more attractive valuation relative to its earnings, book value, and cash flows.
Our stock rankings and comparisons are updated daily using the latest available market data, financial statements, and price information. Factor scores reflect the most recent quarterly filings and trailing price data.