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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2391
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Candy & Soda
$14.8B
John Fieldly
Celsius Holdings, Inc. develops, processes, markets, distributes, and sells functional drinks and liquid supplements. It offers various carbonated and non-carbonated functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS Originals name; dietary supplement in carbonated flavors, including apple jack'd, orangesicle, inferno punch, cherry lime, blueberry pomegranate, strawberry dragon fruit, tangerine grapefruit, and jackfruit.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 48 | 46 | 42 | 58 | 139.0x | 119.2x | 7.4% | 1.7% | 50.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 80.4% | 0.0% | 72.0x | $14.8B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 47.6/100. It ranks #2391 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for CELH.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 46 | 36 | +10ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 58 | 58 | 0NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 42 | 32 | +10ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 18 | 1 | +17ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 57 | 53 | +4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 60 | 71 | -11DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -98.0% vs WACC 9.2% (spread -107.2%)
GM 50% vs sector 44%, OM 6% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 11.24x
Rev growth 80%, 10yr history
Interest coverage -6.0x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) as a Reduce with a composite score of 47.6/100 at a current price of $50.86. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
Celsius Holdings, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 47.6/100 places it at rank #2391 in our full universe.
Narrow
Medium
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 50% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 139.0x leaves little room for execution misses.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Celsius Holdings, Inc. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Celsius Holdings, Inc. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 47.6/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2391 out of 7,333 stocks. CELH's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 46/100, CELH shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 7.4% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 50.3% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 5.2% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 42/100, CELH appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 139.00x, an EV/EBITDA of 119.22x, a P/B ratio of 10.35x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Celsius Holdings, Inc.'s investment score of 18/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 80.4% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 1.7% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
CELH demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 58/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 80.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.96 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
With a stability score of 57/100, CELH exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.96 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 72.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
CELH carries a short interest score of 60/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 72.00x). At $14.8B market cap (large-cap), Celsius Holdings, Inc. offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
Celsius Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2391 of 7,333 overall (67th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 7.4% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 5.7% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While CELH currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Investment (18) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 940% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 492% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 14% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Celsius Holdings rebounded 74% in 2025 after a 52% decline in 2024, driven by recovery from a temporary inventory issue with PepsiCo. The company reported 75% top-line growth through Q3 2025, with the core Celsius brand growing 13% organically. Growth drivers include the Alani Nu acquisition and international expansion, which currently represents only 3% of revenue. The author maintains a positive outlook for 2026 despite acknowledging the valuation has become more attractive at a P/S ratio of 6.
Seascape Capital Management initiated a new $4.3 million position in Monster Beverage, purchasing 64,258 shares, representing 1.2% of its reportable U.S. equity assets as of September 30, 2025.
Celsius Holdings (NasdaqCM:CELH) appointed PepsiCo executives Christy Jacoby and John Short to its Board of Directors. The appointments follow resignations of prior PepsiCo linked board members and were announced alongside comments on distribution expansion. The moves come as Celsius and PepsiCo deepen their distribution partnership and highlight growing retail presence at recent industry events. Celsius Holdings sells energy drinks positioned around fitness and active lifestyles, and its...
Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH) is among the 11 Best High Growth Consumer Stocks to Buy Right Now. On February 11, 2026, Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH) announced the appointment of Christy Jacoby and John Short to its Board of Directors following the resignation of Israel Kontorovsky and Michael Del Pozzo, effective immediately. Jacoby and Short were […]
Celsius, a health-focused energy drink company, experienced remarkable 7,330% stock growth before declining 58% from its peak. Despite strong revenue growth and potential international expansion, the company faces challenges with inventory buildup and limited brand recognition compared to market leaders.