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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3991
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Electronic Equipment
$715M
Brian E. O'Toole
BlackSky Technology provides geospatial intelligence, imagery and related data analytic products and services. The company processes a range of observations from its constellation, as well as various space, internet-of-things, and terrestrial based sensors and data feeds. Its products are used in government defense and intelligence; commercial, construction, and industrial; and catastrophe, climate, and environment applications.
Headcount
210
HQ Base
Pending Verification
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. | 36 | 22 | 33 | 65 | - | - | -90.0% | -21.5% | 0.0% | -61.9% | -90.8% | -21.3% | 0.0% | 214.0x | $715M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 36.2/100. It ranks #3991 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for BKSY.
View All RatingsROIC -8.0% vs WACC 8.0% (spread -16.0%)
GM 0% vs sector 44%, OM -62% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 0.12x, R&D intensity 0.4%
Rev growth -21%, 6yr history
Interest coverage -4.2x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) as Avoid with a composite score of 36.2/100 at a current price of $19.66. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
BlackSky Technology Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 36.2/100 places it at rank #3991 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at -21% and momentum in the 65th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 214% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
BlackSky Technology Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags BlackSky Technology Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 36.2/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #3991 of 7,333 stocks, BKSY falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
BlackSky Technology Inc. registers a weak quality score of just 22/100, indicating significant profitability challenges. The company reports a return on equity of -90.0% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 0.0% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of -90.8% (sector avg: 1.0%). Low quality scores are often associated with businesses in turnaround mode, early-stage growth, or structurally challenged industries.
With a value score of 33/100, BKSY appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 7.64x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
BlackSky Technology Inc.'s investment score of 32/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -21.3% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of -21.5% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
BKSY demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 65/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at -21.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 2.22 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
BKSY's stability score of 25/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 2.22 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 214.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
BlackSky Technology Inc.'s short interest score of 34/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 2.22), elevated leverage (D/E: 214.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $715M (small-cap), BKSY carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
BlackSky Technology Inc. is a small-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3991 of 7,333 overall (46th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -90.0% trailing the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of -61.9% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While BKSY currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Quality (22) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 4639% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 100% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 2568% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Zacks Equity Research anticipates BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, with an expected loss of $0.49 per share. The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.41% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish outlook from analysts. The company's Earnings ESP of -4.08% combined with a Zacks Rank #3 suggests it's difficult to conclusively predict an earnings beat.
BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY) has seen a significant 39% jump in its shares over the past month, contributing to a 92% increase over the last year. Despite a high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 9.4x compared to the industry average of 1.3x, analysts are forecasting strong revenue growth of 29% per annum for the next three years, substantially higher than the broader Professional Services industry's forecast of 6.5%. This optimistic outlook on future revenue growth appears to be the primary driver behind the stock's popularity and high P/S ratio.
BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY) has seen a 38% share price bounce in the last month, contributing to a 74% increase over the last year. Despite a high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 6.4x compared to the industry average of 1.3x, analysts are optimistic about the company's future revenue growth, forecasting a 31% annual increase over the next three years, significantly outperforming the broader industry's 6.5% forecast. This strong outlook justifies the current high P/S ratio, indicating investor confidence in its future performance.
BlackSky Technology (BKSY) recently secured a multi-year contract exceeding $30 million for Gen-3 tactical ISR services, highlighting increased demand for its AI-powered space intelligence. Despite recent share price volatility with a 19.98% drop over the past month, the company boasts a strong long-term performance with a 1-year total shareholder return of 197.23%. Analysts consider BlackSky undervalued, with a fair value of $27.29 per share compared to its current $20.42, anticipating significant revenue growth and profitability shifts due to its Gen-3 satellite constellation expansion.
Jim Cramer recommended buying Roblox and Reddit, endorsing Roblox as likely to go higher and calling Reddit's CEO "the real deal." He also expressed confidence in Oklo, stating "Nuclear is coming back." However, Cramer admitted he "got it wrong" on Lululemon Athletica and is not convinced about BlackSky Technology due to its competitive space and recent stock surge.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081