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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#969
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Apparel
$8.3B
Oliver Reichert
BIRKENSTOCK is a revered global brand rooted in function, quality and tradition dating back to 1774. Our principal executive offices are located at 1-2 Berkeley Square, London W1J 6EA, United Kingdom.
Headcount
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = BIRK ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc | 57 | 80 | 87 | 28 | 20.4x | 3.2x | 51.2% | 28.2% | 59.1% | 22.5% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 0.0% | 48.0x | $8.3B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 57.4/100. It ranks #969 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Pending Verification
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for BIRK.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 80 | 91 | -11DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 28 | 15 | +13ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 87 | 91 | -4NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 39 | 73 | -34DRAG |
| STABILITY | 74 | 77 | -3NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 54 | 62 | -8DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 36.1% vs WACC 8.7% (spread +27.4%)
GM 59% vs sector 44%, OM 23% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 2.16x
Rev growth 22%, 3yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 1.7x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) as a Hold with a composite score of 57.4/100 at a current price of $38.30. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Birkenstock Holding plc holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 57.4/100 places it at rank #969 in our full universe.
Wide
Low
Exemplary
Undervalued
Gross margins of 59% signal strong pricing power.
Returns on equity of 51.2% exceed cost of capital.
Value factor score of 87 suggests attractive pricing.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Birkenstock Holding plc represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Birkenstock Holding plc a Hold rating, with a composite score of 57.4/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #969 of 7,333 stocks, BIRK presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
BIRK earns a quality score of 80/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 51.2% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 59.1% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 16.6% (sector avg: 1.0%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
BIRK carries a solid value score of 87/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 20.36x, an EV/EBITDA of 3.16x, a P/B ratio of 2.35x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
Birkenstock Holding plc's investment score of 39/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 22.4% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 28.2% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Birkenstock Holding plc is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 28/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 22.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.07 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
BIRK shows good financial stability with a score of 74/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.07 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 48.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 54/100 for BIRK suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 48.00x). With a $8.3B market cap (mid-cap), Birkenstock Holding plc may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Birkenstock Holding plc is a mid-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #969 of 7,333 overall (87th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 51.2% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 22.5% above the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While BIRK currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (87) vs Momentum (28) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 72% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 2793% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 34% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)

Birkenstock Holding plc reported robust Q1 2026 revenue of EUR 401.9 million, an 11.1% increase year-over-year, driven by strong holiday demand. Despite this growth, Deutsche Bank slightly lowered its price target on Birkenstock from $50 to $49 while maintaining a Buy rating, indicating a cautiously optimistic market outlook. CEO Oliver Reichert reaffirmed the company's three-year strategic plan, aiming for 13-15% revenue growth and over 30% EBITDA margin, emphasizing sustainable growth and optimized supply chain management.

Birkenstock (NYSE: BIRK) announced an 11% increase in reported revenue and a 151% increase in net profit for its first fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. The company's constant currency revenue growth of 18% surpassed its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, driven by strong holiday demand across all categories and regions. Margins were affected by currency fluctuations, U.S. tariffs, and acquisition costs, though these were partially offset by sales price adjustments and improved capacity.
Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE: BIRK) announced it is maintaining its financial guidance for fiscal year 2026, which ends on September 30, 2026. The company expects revenue growth of 13-15% in constant currency, translating to reported revenue of EUR 2.30-2.35 billion, and anticipates at least EUR 700 million in Adjusted EBITDA. Additionally, BIRKENSTOCK plans to repurchase USD 200 million in shares and open around 40 new own-retail stores globally during fiscal 2026.
Birkenstock Holding plc announced robust fiscal first quarter 2026 results, driven by strong holiday demand, with revenue increasing 18% in constant currency, surpassing the full-year target of 13-15%. The company reported double-digit constant currency revenue growth across all segments (Americas, EMEA, APAC) and channels (B2B and DTC), and a net profit increase of 151% year-over-year. Despite a decrease in gross profit margin due to currency and tariffs, adjusted net profit and adjusted EBITDA significantly improved, reflecting strong consumer demand and strategic investments in production capacity and retail footprint.

This article analyzes BIRKENSTOCK (NYSE:BIRK) as a compelling investment opportunity, combining strong fundamental growth with a potential technical breakout. The company exhibits robust financial health, impressive EPS and revenue growth, and high profitability. Technically, BIRK is consolidating after a downtrend, showing a clear support area and lowered volatility, suggesting a potential upward reversal.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081