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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4608
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Apparel
$46M
Joseph Z. Zwillinger
Allbirds, Inc. manufactures and sells footwear and apparel products for men and women. It sells its products through its retail stores in the United States and internationally, as well as online. The company's apparel products include activewear, tops, bottoms, dresses, sweaters, underwear, and socks.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BIRD Allbirds, Inc. | 29 | 43 | 10 | 11 | - | - | -151.9% | -65.8% | 43.3% | -55.9% | -54.5% | -36.0% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $46M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Allbirds, Inc. (BIRD) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 28.7/100. It ranks #4608 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Average quality profile
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for BIRD.
View All RatingsROE proxy -151.9% (sector -1.9%)
GM 43% vs sector 44%, OM -56% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth -36%, 5yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Allbirds, Inc. (BIRD) as Avoid with a composite score of 28.7/100 at a current price of $2.77. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Allbirds, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 28.7/100 places it at rank #4608 in our full universe.
No Moat
High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 43% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Allbirds, Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Allbirds, Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 28.7/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4608 of 7,333 stocks, BIRD falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
BIRD's quality score of 43/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -151.9% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 43.3% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of -54.5% (sector avg: 1.0%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
BIRD registers a value score of just 10/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 0.50x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
Allbirds, Inc.'s investment score of 34/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -36.0% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of -65.8% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Allbirds, Inc. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 11/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at -36.0% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.92 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
BIRD's stability score of 31/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.92 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 24.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
Allbirds, Inc.'s short interest score of 15/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 1.92), elevated leverage (D/E: 24.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $46M (micro-cap), BIRD carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Allbirds, Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4608 of 7,333 overall (37th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -151.9% trailing the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of -55.9% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While BIRD currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Value (10) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 7894% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Op. Margin 2328% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Allbirds announced Wednesday that it will close all of its full-price U.S. stores and shift its focus to e-commerce to boost profitability.
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Allbirds reported Q2 2025 financial results with revenue decline of 23.1%, meeting analyst expectations but showing challenges in sales and margins. The company is focusing on cost discipline, strategic transformation, and new product launches to drive future growth.