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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3456
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Defense
$52.3B
Patrick W. Smith
Axon Enterprise, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells conducted energy devices (CEDs) under the TASER brand in the United States and internationally. The company also offers hardware and cloud-based software solutions that enable law enforcement to capture, securely store, manage, share, and analyze video and other digital evidence.
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Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
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Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AXON AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. | 41 | 47 | 51 | 26 | 182.4x | 179.3x | 6.2% | 2.8% | 60.5% | 0.6% | 8.0% | 41.0% | 0.0% | 66.0x | $52.3B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. (AXON) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 40.7/100. It ranks #3456 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for AXON.
View All RatingsROIC -0.3% vs WACC 9.3% (spread -9.6%)
GM 60% vs sector 44%, OM 1% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 1.21x, R&D intensity 24.7%
Rev growth 41%, 10yr history
Interest coverage -0.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. (AXON) as a Reduce with a composite score of 40.7/100 at a current price of $514.16. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 40.7/100 places it at rank #3456 in our full universe.
Narrow
Medium
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 60% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 182.4x leaves little room for execution misses.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 40.7/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3456 out of 7,333 stocks. AXON's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 47/100, AXON shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 6.2% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 60.5% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 8.0% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
AXON's value score of 51/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 182.44x, an EV/EBITDA of 179.26x, a P/B ratio of 11.38x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC.'s investment score of 25/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 41.0% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 2.8% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 26/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 41.0% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.11 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
With a stability score of 53/100, AXON exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.11 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 66.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
AXON carries a short interest score of 65/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 66.00x). At $52.3B market cap (large-cap), AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC. is a large-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3456 of 7,333 overall (53rd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 6.2% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of 0.6% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While AXON currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Investment (25) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 1464% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 428% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 37% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

Ten large-cap stocks experienced significant declines during the week of January 26-30, 2026. Unity Software fell 31.63% following CEO comments about world models amid competition from Google's Project Genie. Precious metals stocks including Hecla Mining (down 33.33%) and Coeur Mining (down 26.13%) declined after President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair strengthened the dollar. Healthcare stocks UnitedHealth (down 17.87%) and Humana (down 26.07%) fell after analyst downgrades. Other notable losers included The Trade Desk (down 16.61%), First Majestic Silver (down 22.86%), Axon Enterprise (down 20.88%), Reddit (down 16.79%), and Regencell Bioscience (down 13.38%).

Axon Enterprise President Josh Isner discusses the company's recent acquisitions of Prepared and Carbyne to launch Axon 911, which aims to streamline emergency response by reducing dispatch time from 2+ minutes to seconds using AI. The company is experiencing strong growth in its AI EAPlan software, with AI bookings expected to exceed 10% of US state and local bookings. Axon is also expanding into enterprise markets like retail with new body camera products and surveillance solutions, while maintaining its focus on less-lethal alternatives to firearms in law enforcement.
Self defense company AXON (NASDAQ:AXON) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, with sales up 38.5% year on year to $796.7 million. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $6 billion at the midpoint came in 74.4% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.15 per share was 34.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
Axon Enterprise Inc (NASDAQ:AXON) reports financial results for the fourth quarter after the bell on Tuesday.