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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2400
Positioning
Market Dominance
Wholesale Trade
Wholesale
$232M
Ryan Greenawalt
Alta Equipment Group Inc. owns and operates integrated equipment dealership platforms in the United States. It operates in Material Handling and Construction Equipment. The company sells, rents, and provides parts and service support for various categories of specialized equipment.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = ALTG ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ITRN Ituran Location & Control Ltd. | 74 | 95 | 97 | 62 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$COR Cencora, Inc. | 70 | 84 | 77 | 70 | 21.1x | 11.8x | 161.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 8.6% | 0.7% | 416.0x | $58.1B | VS | |
$CENT CENTRAL GARDEN & PET CO | 70 | 84 | 95 | 48 | 5.9x | 3.5x | 20.3% | 8.5% | 34.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 75.0x | $2.2B | VS | |
$SNX TD SYNNEX CORP | 67 | 80 | 93 | 57 | 13.5x | 6.2x | 13.1% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 50.0x | $12.2B | VS | |
$HLF HERBALIFE LTD. | 65 | 60 | 75 | 96 | 5.0x | 1.4x | -32.4% | 6.3% | 77.7% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% | - | $870M | VS | |
$GIC GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL Co | 65 | 82 | 60 | 62 | 18.7x | 12.5x | 24.0% | 12.5% | 35.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.0x | $1.4B | VS | |
$JXG JX Luxventure Group Inc. | 63 | 84 | 75 | 88 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ | 63 | 74 | 48 | 67 | 21.4x | 14.3x | 39.4% | 12.6% | 30.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 68.0x | $48.9B | VS | |
$SYY SYSCO CORP | 60 | 68 | 49 | 65 | 22.7x | 9.2x | 89.9% | 5.9% | 18.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 595.0x | $35.3B | VS | |
$DXPE DXP ENTERPRISES INC | 60 | 58 | 55 | 79 | 21.6x | 8.5x | 25.1% | 6.2% | 31.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 128.0x | $1.9B | VS | |
$ALTG ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. | 48 | 53 | 50 | 39 | - | 9.2x | -3320.7% | -6.7% | 27.1% | 1.4% | -5.6% | -13.4% | 3.1% | 49245.0x | $232M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 19.1x | 8.2x | 8.6% | 3.4% | 27.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.6x | - | REF |
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. (ALTG) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 47.6/100. It ranks #2400 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Wholesale Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for ALTG.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 53 | 58 | -5NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 39 | 32 | +7ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 50 | 57 | -7DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 33 | 44 | -11DRAG |
| STABILITY | 27 | 18 | +9ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 34 | 24 | +10ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 0.4% vs WACC 4.5% (spread -4.0%)
GM 27% vs sector 27%, OM 1% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover 0.50x
Rev growth -13%, 7yr history
Interest coverage 0.2x, Net debt/EBITDA 176.0x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. (ALTG) as a Reduce with a composite score of 47.6/100 at a current price of $6.91. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Wholesale Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 47.6/100 places it at rank #2400 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 49245% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 47.6/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2400 out of 7,333 stocks. ALTG's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 53/100, ALTG shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -3320.7% (sector avg: 8.6%), gross margins of 27.1% (sector avg: 27.4%), net margins of -5.6% (sector avg: 1.4%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
ALTG's value score of 50/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 9.16x, a P/B ratio of 78.37x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC.'s investment score of 33/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -13.4% vs. a sector average of 3.6% and a return on assets of -6.7% (sector: 3.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
ALTG is currently showing below-average momentum at 39/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -13.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.70 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
ALTG's stability score of 27/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.70 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 49245.00x (sector avg: 0.6x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC.'s short interest score of 34/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 1.70), elevated leverage (D/E: 49245.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $232M (micro-cap), ALTG carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
ALTG pays a solid dividend yield of 3.1%, contributing an income component to total returns. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 0.6%. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. is a micro-cap company in the Wholesale Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2400 of 7,333 overall (67th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -3320.7% trailing the 8.6% sector median and operating margins of 1.4% below the 3.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Wholesale Trade peers.
While ALTG currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the WHOLESALE TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Wholesale Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Stability (27) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 12% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 38668% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

Alta Equipment Group Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.625 per Series A Preferred share, payable on January 30, 2026, to shareholders of record by January 15, 2026. This move signals the company's financial stability and commitment to shareholder value, despite potential concerns about cash flow prioritization over reinvestment. Alta operates a large network of equipment dealerships across North America, offering comprehensive material handling, construction, and environmental processing equipment.
Alta Equipment Group Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, with total revenues decreasing by $26.2 million year-over-year to $422.6 million. Despite a challenging market, the company's product support business remained strong, and October showed improved sales, particularly in Construction Equipment, driven by the OBBBA and interest rate cuts. Alta Equipment Group updated its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $168.0 million and $172.0 million.

Alta Equipment Group Inc. in Livonia has agreed to acquire Ecoverse Industries, an Ohio-based distributor of environmental processing equipment, for $51 million. This acquisition gives Alta exclusive North American distribution rights for several European equipment OEMs and is expected to boost future parts and service growth. Ecoverse will retain its brand, employees, and management team, and the deal is anticipated to close in Q4 2022.
Alta Equipment Group's stock (ALTG) has faced significant analyst downgrades, with its consensus price target dropping from $11.38 to $9.95 due to mixed market signals, tariff pressures, and a cautious growth outlook. Despite some analysts maintaining a "Buy" rating based on underlying strengths, firms like DA Davidson have become more bearish following a Q3 earnings miss, citing reduced EBITDA outlooks. The evolving narrative for ALTG indicates that future performance will largely depend on improved execution, cost control, and how the company navigates ongoing market challenges and leverages its acquisition strategy.

Daniel Shribman, a Director at Alta Equipment Group (NYSE:ALTG), recently purchased 40,000 shares of the company's stock for $202,800, increasing his total holdings to 131,393 shares. This insider buying comes amidst mixed signals for ALTG, including a significant earnings miss, high debt-to-equity ratio, and a consensus "Hold" rating from analysts with an $11 target.