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HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Based on our 5-factor quantitative model, QQQ (QQQ) is the stronger ETF with a composite score of 80.0/100 and a Strong Buy rating, compared to VGT (VGT) at 43.0/100 (Hold). QQQ has an edge of 37.0 points across cost efficiency, performance, momentum, liquidity, and tracking quality factors.
On the Cost Efficiency factor, which measures expense ratio competitiveness relative to category peers — lower fees mean more of your returns stay in your pocket, these ETFs are closely matched (QQQ: 50/100, VGT: 50/100). The narrow 0-point spread suggests similar cost efficiency profiles, so this factor alone is unlikely to be a decisive differentiator.
For the Performance factor — which evaluates historical returns across 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year periods compared to category benchmarks — QQQ leads at 100/100, while VGT trails at 50/100 (QQQ: 100/100, VGT: 50/100). The 50-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in performance characteristics between these ETFs.
For the Momentum factor — which captures recent price trends and relative strength over trailing 2-12 months — QQQ leads at 100/100, while VGT trails at 50/100 (QQQ: 100/100, VGT: 50/100). The 50-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in momentum characteristics between these ETFs.
For the Liquidity factor — which assesses trading ease through AUM size and average daily volume — higher liquidity means tighter bid-ask spreads — QQQ leads at 100/100, while VGT trails at 0/100 (QQQ: 100/100, VGT: 0/100). The 100-point gap indicates a meaningful difference in liquidity characteristics between these ETFs.
On the Tracking Quality factor, which measures how closely the ETF follows its stated benchmark — lower tracking error indicates better index replication, these ETFs are closely matched (QQQ: 50/100, VGT: 50/100). The narrow 0-point spread suggests similar tracking quality profiles, so this factor alone is unlikely to be a decisive differentiator.
| Time Horizon | QQQ | VGT |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | +0.0% | — |
| 1 YEAR | +16.6% | — |
| 3 YEAR | +105.0% | — |
| 5 YEAR | +87.8% | — |
Based on our 5-factor quantitative model, QQQ currently has the higher composite score (80.0/100, Strong Buy). However, the "better" ETF depends on your investment goals, risk tolerance, and cost sensitivity. We recommend reviewing the full factor breakdown above before making a decision.
Our comparison analyzes five quantitative factors: Cost Efficiency (expense ratio, 25% weight), Performance (historical returns, 25%), Momentum (price trends, 20%), Liquidity (AUM and volume, 15%), and Tracking Quality (benchmark accuracy, 15%). Each factor is scored 0-100 and combined into a composite score.
Expense ratio data is currently unavailable for these ETFs.
Our ETF rankings and comparisons are updated daily using the latest available market data, price information, and fund characteristics. Factor scores reflect the most recent data available.
Yes. QQQ is a U.S. Large Cap Growth ETF while VGT is a Technology ETF. Our model scores every ETF on the same 0-100 scale across all five factors, making cross-category comparisons meaningful. However, keep in mind that category-specific dynamics may affect how certain factors behave.