About WINMARK CORP
Winmark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a franchisor of retail store concepts that buy, sell, trade, and consign used merchandise primarily in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Franchising and Leasing. Its franchises retail stores operate under the Plato's Closet, Once Upon A Child, Play It Again Sports, Style Encore, and Music Go Round brand names. The company's Plato's Closet brand stores buys and sells used clothing and accessories for the teenage and young adult market; and Once Upon A Child brand stores buys and sells used and new children's clothing, toys, furniture, equipment, and accessories primarily to parents of children ages infant to 12 years.
Its Play It Again Sports brand stores buys, sells, trades in, and used and new sporting goods, equipment, and accessories for various athletic activities, such as team sports, fitness, ski/snowboard, golf, and others; Style Encore brand stores buys and sells used women's apparel, shoes, and accessories; and Music Go Round brand stores buys, sells, trades in, and used and new musical instruments, speakers, amplifiers, music-related electronics, and related accessories. In addition, the company is also involved in the middle-market equipment leasing business focusing on technology and business-essential equipment. As of February 23, 2022, it had 1,271 franchised stores, as well as offers its products online at musicgoround.com, playitagainsports.com, and style-encore.com. Winmark Corporation was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
WINA operates in the Retail Trade | Retail | headquartered in MINNEAPOLIS, Minnesota | approximately 80 employees | led by CEO Brett D. Heffes.
The $1.8B question: What happens when a company this good becomes this expensive?
The American consumer has always been a fickle beast — spending freely in good times and retreating in bad. WINMARK CORP has spent decades learning to read those moods, and right now, the reading is surprisingly sanguine.
At $1.8B in market capitalization, WINMARK CORP (WINA) currently ranks #226 in our quantitative model, with a composite score of 76.0/100. That places it firmly in "Strong Buy" territory — our highest conviction rating.
But here's the thing about stocks priced for perfection: They leave no room for error.
The Numbers That Matter
Let's start with what's undeniably true. Our 6-factor model gives WINA the following scores:
| Factor | Score | Weight | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 73/100 | 30% | Strong |
| Value | 94/100 | 15% | Attractive |
| Momentum | 56/100 | 25% | Steady |
| Investment | 78/100 | 10% | Growing |
| Stability | 35/100 | 10% | Volatile |
| Short Interest | 10/100 | 10% | High shorts |
The quality score of 73/100 is the headline here. It reflects profitability metrics that would make most CFOs weep with envy:
- ROE: -1.4%
- Net Margin: 49.2%
- Gross Margin: 97.1%
These aren't just good numbers. They're the kind of numbers that make WINA a "must-own" stock for institutional portfolios.
The Bull Case
"If you could design a business in a laboratory, it would look something like WINA."
The bull case writes itself:
- Quality is persistent. Academic research shows high-quality stocks outperform by 4-6% annually over long periods. WINA is quality defined.
- Momentum is real. With a momentum score of 56/100, the stock has been recognized by the market — and momentum tends to persist.
- The moat is deep. Companies with these margins don't lose them easily. The competitive position is entrenched.
The Bear Case
But here's what keeps value investors up at night:
- Valuation compression risk. At current levels, the stock is priced for continued perfection. Any stumble — a missed quarter, a competitive threat, a macro slowdown — could compress the multiple from 43.2x to the low 20s. That's a 20-30% decline without anything fundamentally "wrong."
- The crowded trade problem. When everyone owns a stock, who's left to buy? Momentum works until it doesn't.
- Mean reversion. Trees don't grow to the sky. At some point, growth decelerates.
The Valuation Framework
| Scenario | Assumption | Fair Value | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | Multiple compression to 20x | -20% | Downside |
| Base | Current trajectory continues | +10-15% | Modest upside |
| Bull | Momentum accelerates | +30-40% | Significant upside |
The risk-reward is ... fine. Not exceptional. Not terrible. Just fine.
The Bottom Line
WINMARK CORP is exactly what it appears to be: a high-quality business with strong momentum trading at a premium price. Whether that's attractive depends entirely on what kind of investor you are.
For long-term, buy-and-hold investors, WINA is a core holding. For value investors or short-term traders, look elsewhere.
The company is priced for perfection — and in markets, as in life, perfection is a fragile thing.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Rating: 5-Star Strong Buy
Score: 76.0/100 | Rank: #226 of 3,571 stocks
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
This analysis reflects the views of Blank Capital Research as of February 16, 2026. It is not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
