About Restaurant Brands International Inc.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. operates as quick service restaurant company in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tim Hortons (TH), Burger King (BK), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK), and Firehouse Subs (FHS). The company owns and franchises TH chain of donut/coffee/tea restaurants that offer blend coffee, tea, and espresso-based hot and cold specialty drinks; and fresh baked goods, including donuts, Timbits, bagels, muffins, cookies and pastries, grilled paninis, classic sandwiches, wraps, soups, and others. It is also involved in owning and franchising BK, a fast food hamburger restaurant chain, which offers flame-grilled hamburgers, chicken and other specialty sandwiches, french fries, soft drinks, and other food items; and PLK quick service restaurants that provide Louisiana style fried chicken, chicken tenders, fried shrimp and other seafood, red beans and rice, and other regional items.
In addition, the company owns and franchises FHS restaurants quick service restaurants that offer subs, soft drinks, and local specialties. As of February 15, 2022, the company had approximately 29,000 restaurants in 100 countries under the Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, And Firehouse Subs brands. Restaurant Brands International Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
QSR operates in the Retail Trade | Restaurants, Hotels, Motels | headquartered in OAKVILLE, Ontario | approximately 6,400 employees | led by CEO José E. Cil.
The $29.2B question: What happens when a company this good becomes this expensive?
The American consumer has always been a fickle beast — spending freely in good times and retreating in bad. Restaurant Brands International Inc. has spent decades learning to read those moods, and right now, the reading is surprisingly sanguine.
At $29.2B in market capitalization, Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) currently ranks #49 in our quantitative model, with a composite score of 78.9/100. That places it firmly in "Strong Buy" territory — our highest conviction rating.
But here's the thing about stocks priced for perfection: They leave no room for error.
The Numbers That Matter
Let's start with what's undeniably true. Our 6-factor model gives QSR the following scores:
| Factor | Score | Weight | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 80/100 | 30% | Exceptional |
| Value | 87/100 | 15% | Attractive |
| Momentum | 68/100 | 25% | Steady |
| Investment | 78/100 | 10% | Growing |
| Stability | 86/100 | 10% | Fortress |
| Short Interest | 10/100 | 10% | High shorts |
The quality score of 80/100 is the headline here. It reflects profitability metrics that would make most CFOs weep with envy:
- ROE: 38.3%
- Net Margin: 17.8%
- Gross Margin: 54.4%
These aren't just good numbers. They're the kind of numbers that make QSR a "must-own" stock for institutional portfolios.
The Bull Case
"If you could design a business in a laboratory, it would look something like QSR."
The bull case writes itself:
- Quality is persistent. Academic research shows high-quality stocks outperform by 4-6% annually over long periods. QSR is quality defined.
- Momentum is real. With a momentum score of 68/100, the stock has been recognized by the market — and momentum tends to persist.
- The moat is deep. Companies with these margins don't lose them easily. The competitive position is entrenched.
The Bear Case
But here's what keeps value investors up at night:
- Valuation compression risk. At current levels, the stock is priced for continued perfection. Any stumble — a missed quarter, a competitive threat, a macro slowdown — could compress the multiple from 31.6x to the low 20s. That's a 20-30% decline without anything fundamentally "wrong."
- The crowded trade problem. When everyone owns a stock, who's left to buy? Momentum works until it doesn't.
- Mean reversion. Trees don't grow to the sky. At some point, growth decelerates.
The Valuation Framework
| Scenario | Assumption | Fair Value | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | Multiple compression to 20x | -20% | Downside |
| Base | Current trajectory continues | +10-15% | Modest upside |
| Bull | Momentum accelerates | +30-40% | Significant upside |
The risk-reward is ... fine. Not exceptional. Not terrible. Just fine.
The Bottom Line
Restaurant Brands International Inc. is exactly what it appears to be: a high-quality business with strong momentum trading at a premium price. Whether that's attractive depends entirely on what kind of investor you are.
For long-term, buy-and-hold investors, QSR is a core holding. For value investors or short-term traders, look elsewhere.
The company is priced for perfection — and in markets, as in life, perfection is a fragile thing.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Rating: 5-Star Strong Buy
Score: 78.9/100 | Rank: #49 of 3,571 stocks
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
This analysis reflects the views of Blank Capital Research as of February 16, 2026. It is not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
