About NVR INC
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury buyers.
It also provides various mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers, as well as brokers title insurance; performs title searches in connection with mortgage loan closings; and sells mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets on a servicing released basis. The company primarily serves in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee, and Washington, D.C. NVR, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
NVR operates in the Construction | headquartered in RESTON, Virginia | approximately 6,550 employees | led by CEO Eugene J. Bredow.
The $23.1B question: What happens when a company this good becomes this expensive?
In the constellation of American capitalism, certain companies shine brighter than others — not because they are inherently more valuable, but because they have positioned themselves at the nexus of forces that shape the economy. NVR INC is one such company.
At $23.1B in market capitalization, NVR INC (NVR) currently ranks #66 in our quantitative model, with a composite score of 78.6/100. That places it firmly in "Strong Buy" territory — our highest conviction rating.
But here's the thing about stocks priced for perfection: They leave no room for error.
The Numbers That Matter
Let's start with what's undeniably true. Our 6-factor model gives NVR the following scores:
| Factor | Score | Weight | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 96/100 | 30% | Exceptional |
| Value | 47/100 | 15% | Premium |
| Momentum | 43/100 | 25% | Slowing |
| Investment | 98/100 | 10% | Growing |
| Stability | 87/100 | 10% | Fortress |
| Short Interest | 42/100 | 10% | Normal |
The quality score of 96/100 is the headline here. It reflects profitability metrics that would make most CFOs weep with envy:
- ROE: 32.1%
- Net Margin: 13.1%
- Gross Margin: 22.5%
These aren't just good numbers. They're the kind of numbers that make NVR a "must-own" stock for institutional portfolios.
The Bull Case
"If you could design a business in a laboratory, it would look something like NVR."
The bull case writes itself:
- Quality is persistent. Academic research shows high-quality stocks outperform by 4-6% annually over long periods. NVR is quality defined.
- Momentum is real. With a momentum score of 43/100, the stock has been recognized by the market — and momentum tends to persist.
- The moat is deep. Companies with these margins don't lose them easily. The competitive position is entrenched.
The Bear Case
But here's what keeps value investors up at night:
- Valuation compression risk. At current levels, the stock is priced for continued perfection. Any stumble — a missed quarter, a competitive threat, a macro slowdown — could compress the multiple from 16.1x to the low 20s. That's a 20-30% decline without anything fundamentally "wrong."
- The crowded trade problem. When everyone owns a stock, who's left to buy? Momentum works until it doesn't.
- Mean reversion. Trees don't grow to the sky. At some point, growth decelerates.
The Valuation Framework
| Scenario | Assumption | Fair Value | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | Multiple compression to 20x | -20% | Downside |
| Base | Current trajectory continues | +10-15% | Modest upside |
| Bull | Momentum accelerates | +30-40% | Significant upside |
The risk-reward is ... fine. Not exceptional. Not terrible. Just fine.
The Bottom Line
NVR INC is exactly what it appears to be: a high-quality business with strong momentum trading at a premium price. Whether that's attractive depends entirely on what kind of investor you are.
For long-term, buy-and-hold investors, NVR is a core holding. For value investors or short-term traders, look elsewhere.
The company is priced for perfection — and in markets, as in life, perfection is a fragile thing.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Rating: 5-Star Strong Buy
Score: 78.6/100 | Rank: #66 of 3,571 stocks
Sector: Industrials
This analysis reflects the views of Blank Capital Research as of February 16, 2026. It is not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.