About GULFPORT ENERGY CORP
Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica Shale covering an area approximately 187,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Eastern Ohio; and SCOOP covering an area approximately 74,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Garvin, Grady, and Stephens.
As of December 31, 2021, it had 3.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent to proved reserves; and proved undeveloped reserves comprising 8 MMbbl oil and 22 MMBbl NGL, and 1,550 Bcf natural gas. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
GPOR operates in the Mining | Petroleum And Natural Gas | headquartered in Wilmington, Oklahoma | approximately 210 employees | led by CEO Timothy J. Cutt.
The $3.2B question: What happens when a company this good becomes this expensive?
In the constellation of American capitalism, certain companies shine brighter than others — not because they are inherently more valuable, but because they have positioned themselves at the nexus of forces that shape the economy. GULFPORT ENERGY CORP is one such company.
At $3.2B in market capitalization, GULFPORT ENERGY CORP (GPOR) currently ranks #142 in our quantitative model, with a composite score of 77.5/100. That places it firmly in "Strong Buy" territory — our highest conviction rating.
But here's the thing about stocks priced for perfection: They leave no room for error.
The Numbers That Matter
Let's start with what's undeniably true. Our 6-factor model gives GPOR the following scores:
| Factor | Score | Weight | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 86/100 | 30% | Exceptional |
| Value | 80/100 | 15% | Attractive |
| Momentum | 43/100 | 25% | Slowing |
| Investment | 75/100 | 10% | Growing |
| Stability | 71/100 | 10% | Solid |
| Short Interest | 11/100 | 10% | High shorts |
The quality score of 86/100 is the headline here. It reflects profitability metrics that would make most CFOs weep with envy:
- ROE: 20.4%
- Net Margin: 29.3%
- Gross Margin: 74.6%
These aren't just good numbers. They're the kind of numbers that make GPOR a "must-own" stock for institutional portfolios.
The Bull Case
"If you could design a business in a laboratory, it would look something like GPOR."
The bull case writes itself:
- Quality is persistent. Academic research shows high-quality stocks outperform by 4-6% annually over long periods. GPOR is quality defined.
- Momentum is real. With a momentum score of 43/100, the stock has been recognized by the market — and momentum tends to persist.
- The moat is deep. Companies with these margins don't lose them easily. The competitive position is entrenched.
The Bear Case
But here's what keeps value investors up at night:
- Valuation compression risk. At current levels, the stock is priced for continued perfection. Any stumble — a missed quarter, a competitive threat, a macro slowdown — could compress the multiple from N/Ax to the low 20s. That's a 20-30% decline without anything fundamentally "wrong."
- The crowded trade problem. When everyone owns a stock, who's left to buy? Momentum works until it doesn't.
- Mean reversion. Trees don't grow to the sky. At some point, growth decelerates.
The Valuation Framework
| Scenario | Assumption | Fair Value | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | Multiple compression to 20x | -20% | Downside |
| Base | Current trajectory continues | +10-15% | Modest upside |
| Bull | Momentum accelerates | +30-40% | Significant upside |
The risk-reward is ... fine. Not exceptional. Not terrible. Just fine.
The Bottom Line
GULFPORT ENERGY CORP is exactly what it appears to be: a high-quality business with strong momentum trading at a premium price. Whether that's attractive depends entirely on what kind of investor you are.
For long-term, buy-and-hold investors, GPOR is a core holding. For value investors or short-term traders, look elsewhere.
The company is priced for perfection — and in markets, as in life, perfection is a fragile thing.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Rating: 5-Star Strong Buy
Score: 77.5/100 | Rank: #142 of 3,571 stocks
Sector: Energy
This analysis reflects the views of Blank Capital Research as of February 16, 2026. It is not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.